BIG Game Thoughts and Touts

[XENO]

Well a cappers nightmare in this one-looks like money on both sides -So can wash QB evade strong pass rush and probably the Best dee they ever faced in Michigan? He did dam good versus a texas team, but Horns turnovers iced them. Michigan much more disciplined then tex and will stay in thier lanes -Upfront will be the key -Michigan will run Corum to the max, and try to take ball away from super Penix with quick short passes is my guess-Mich will not want to trade passes with Wash QB, -like texas tried -wash had 500+ yds but texas came dam near 500 themselves -Mich completely different but 4.5 is very Tempting
So far notable touts Lang 150 dimes on Wash + 4 1/2 and Mattress Mack 500k wash money line-a few big plays on mich as well -ill update as we go-any thoughts appreciated

 

[vinnyvegas]

Agree X

Pennix did run and I suspect other than designed runs which they did vs TX, he will be more prone to getting or taking any opps Michigan gives. OLine Wash showed how good they are vs TX, and I dont know or think Mich that much better. If Pennix has time he will shred them. If pressured, will he get it out quicker to avoid sacks or will he scramble enough to buy time. It’s a chess match for sure. Harbaugh is good, bigger question is DeBoer as advertised with his experience at all the diff levels or does he chalk this up to another notch and builds for a future run again with more experienc. Harbaugh has won at every level and stop. But hasn’t won the biggest game as player or coach so that’s missing while his brother has and maybe can use some advice.


GL tonight whichever side and congrats on great CFB season.

 

[skoda]

My exact thoughts after watching both games last week. Seeing 1st quarter for both total at 6 1/2 shaking head on 1st half pointspread of 3 1/2 and game 4 1/2

30-28 based on PPG allowed/scored for each side… usually plays out…. Maybe 28-23 as the clock winds down….

 

[XENO]

Great points -and mich did conquer its snafu 0-6 past 6 bowls -huge win vs Bama and confidence sky high now

 

[Serbone]

Artificial turf favors the speed of the defensive pass rush.

The Michigan front 7 surprisingly overwhelmed the Bama OL on semi wet natural turf, will the fast track help their pass rush tonight? IMO---an advantage for Michigan in this spot.

 

[XENO]

Talking to my bud in vegas excalibur so far public taking wash + points 60% and money line about 55% /most money on over close to 70% but again 60% of all money comes in last 2 hours

 

[Hamilbet]

 

[XENO]

Those stats are way off hannilbet

 

[XENO]

Washington has won 21 strait games dating back to 2022 wow

 

[XENO]

Line now up to 5 1/2,

 

[XENO]

I must say this one is baffling -my heart and 21 in row has me wash but 2 huge loosers mattress mack n lang on wash -it appears most players are on washington but big money could be on michigan it looks like -mattress has lost like 5 strait and his last was 1 mil on texas last week vs huskies now going wash scares me

 

[G-Man!]

I'm all-in on Washington +6 and ML+170

 

[MotorCityMadman]

People overbet when they are behind. Common mistake in gambling.

 

[smalminded1]

So the way I understand it is most of the betters have been on Washington getting the points, but the big money seems to have pushed the line from 4 to 5. Interesting that the touts are on Washington, but they do tend to favor the underdog a lot in big games. Just thinking out loud here…… seeing Wash at +5.5 now makes me believe Mich might actually be the play

 

[XENO]

Hard to guage it seems public on dog n sharps mich as defense is usually the way to go. I had mich good vs bama but this one is difficult -ohio st threw on mich and only lost by 6 /they threw a couple of interceptions - was closer then we think 30-24 wash has a trio of recievers that catch everything-an qb is more mobile i think then bama qb and throws pin point passes-but can mich run run and wash cant seem to stop the run -texas ran and threw for close to 500 yds

 

[crownreserve]

All I have seen and heard is people on washington including myself. Scares me a little bit and the defense with all the great trick plays michigan ran against bama. Bama was lucky to beat auburn to get to the playoff .Bama is not the team as in the past and Michigan only tied it up late in the 4th qt as I thought bama looked to relax like they had it in the bag. Their defense didn't play like they had up to that point as the say play till the clock says 000

GL tonight

 

[Serbone]

Dillon is probably going to start, but will his leg injury hold up for 4 quarters? He is the key runner and top notch RB blocker for Washington.

 

[XENO]

Yes Serbone that too -i never liked a 1 dimensional team-but they have been been dogs like 5 strait since Oregon st close finish -thier Mantra cries no Respect and have a great coach as well -again Lang And Mattress Mack on wash very scary-if Stevens goes wash ill def go mich lol

 

[XENO]

Matresss Lang and stevens on wash oh oh