BIG GAME PLAY--rated as a Conf USA GOM Selection...w/ Write-Up INSIDE!...

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***BIG GAME PLAY---RATED AS A CONF USA GOM SELECTION ON:



TCU -10



-This will be S Florida's 2nd straight road game this week and they will certainly find out that Fort Worth is just as unfriendly and tough place to play as it was in SC last week....The Horn Frogs are 2-0 in their House so far this year, and are coming back home off of an embarrassing 70-35 loss to instate rival TT....S Florida is coming into this one also off of an embarrassing loss at the hands of the SC Gamecocks, where they were pasted 34-3, but this situation today greatly favors the Horn Frogs in this game...I will keep this simple and simply state several Advantages that TCU has over this S Florida Bull's team which should result in the Horn Frogs getting another solid win at home today...

Advantage #1: The Horn Frogs have an Offense that can score a lot of points, either running it or passing it...Currently they possess the 11th ranked Total Offensive Unit in the nation...averaging 467 ypg and 42.3 ppg in their last 3 games...A major reason for this TCU squad being so potent so early in the season, is due to them returning 8 starters on the Offensive side of the ball, which include two very capable QB's to run the Offense...The Horn Frogs also return their Top Two RBs and 4 of their 5 Top WRs from last season...But a big plus TCU has is that they also return the majority of their O-Line, who are very big, experienced, and has a lot of depth...In fact, this could easily be the best O-Line unit in the Conference this year, and a big reason for TCU's finding continued success on the ground and through the air this season....
S Florida, on the other hand, Offensively ranks 9th worst in the Nation in Total Offense averaging just 234 ypg, after two games...and its Passing Offense is one of the worst in the nation ranking 3rd to the bottom in this category with only 102 ypg...S Florida's woes on the Offensive side of the ball is very evident in their point production where they are currently one of the lowest scoring teams in the nation averaging just 12 ppg, with no TD's through the air...Last week vs SC, the Bulls Offense could only get 8 first downs, 80 yards on the ground, and just 11 yards through the air...They were 2-13 on 3rd downs and wasn't able to get inside of South Carolina's Red Zone at all...WOW!

The strength of this Bull Offense is in its experienced O-Line which returns in tact...but their big weakness is in their skilled positions, especially at the QB position where no one player has solidified a strong hold on running the team...Last year, both QB's for the Bulls had playing time with QB Banks taking the majority of the snaps, but they both were equally inefficient in passing and both averaged in the mid to high 40% completion rates....This year, it seem that they are continuing to struggle moving it through the air and that should spell trouble, especially on the road vs a potent Offense like the Horn Frogs possess...

Advantage #2: This ineffectiveness in the Bulls passing game is a big advantage for TCU who has currently struggled at defending the pass, ranking dead last in the nation in Pass Defense, giving up an average of 382.7 ypg and 9 TD's so far on the year...Still, eventhough this Horn Frog pass defense has been shredded, you have to also remember that it was vs TT's #1 ranked Passing Offense and NW's #8 ranked Passing Offense...and this Bull squad even on their best day, is nowhere near as potent as either of these teams through the air....Plus, TCU's secondary was able to get 5 picks so far in three games and they should have an easier time against this S Florida team that must find replacements for their Top Two WRs from last year, as well as, for their best all-around player in Fisher who was moved from WR to starting RB this season....Helping the Horn Frog secondary's cause as well, is the poor ratio that both of the Bulls QBs have...Last year, they combined for 11 TDs but also threw 11 Ints....So far this year no TD's has come via the air..
Advantage #3: The Horn Frogs still will have one of the best Defenses against the run in the Conference this year....So far, the Horn Frogs have only allowed 81.7 ypg on the ground this year...The Bulls on Offense will definately utilize the run more as they are averaging 132.5 ypg so far...This is where they are getting the most production, but it is still way below the norm...and without a dangerous threat to attack this TCU secondary through the air, it definately will give the Horn Frog's a Big advantage at stacking the line to stop the Bulls and RB Fisher on the ground...No competent balance attack or any real deep threat from S Florida's Offense, plays right into the strength of the Horn Frogs and gives them the advantage of controling the line of scrimmage when on Defense today.

Advantage #4: Both teams come into this one with banged up starting QB's..QB.Gunn(ribs) for TCU and QB Julmiste(knee)...but TCU will have the luxury of going to QB Brandon Hasell who started the majority of the games last season after Gunn went down to injury...QB Hassell last year throw for over 2,000 yards in 9 games, which is more than both of S Florida's QBs yardage from last year put together...Hassell is also the more accurate passer of the two hitting 62.5% of his passes w/ 3 TDs and no Ints....and he will also bring to this TCU Offense another threat in running the ball, as last year he was TCU's 3rd leading rusher with 369 yards and 5 TDs...If Hassell is called to take the snaps in place of the injured Gunn today...I dont expect any type of drop off from the Offensive point productions as both Gunn (32.1 ppg) and Hassell (31.7 ppg) as you can see, when starting, has averaged similar point totals per game...Lastly, QB Hassell as a starter last year is a solid 7-2...This is QB Hassell's last season at TCU, so I have to expect that he will also make the most of it starting with todays game...

Advantage #5: Another big advantage for TCU in this game will be in their WRs vs this S Florida inexperienced back 7....TCU this year in the WR position is loaded as they return 4 of their top 5 WRs from last year...with 3 of them averaging over 15.8, 15.9, and 17.4 ypc last season...This WR corp also has a deep veteran backup unit to complement almost every spot...
The Bulls strength on Defense is upfront, but their notable weakness this year will be in their back 7...where there is only two starters that return and no experience whatsoever from the reserves stepping in...Last year the Bulls Defense all around was solid, but this year the loss of many key players from last years squad is starting to show its effect...Last week vs SC 53rd ranked Total Offense they allowed 356 yards through the air and 174 yards on the ground...Not looking to good going up against this Horn Frog Offense ranked 11th in Total Offense in the nation..

Minor Advantages: (these alone are not as strong, but together they add up to provide TCU with many more situational advantages for them to enjoy over S Florida today.)
-TCU, like almost every position on the Offense, has a solid tandem RB combo to go to in this one..with the return of star RBs Merrill(1,107 , 5.5 ypc, 4 TDs) and solid backup RB Hobbs (659 , 3.9 ypc, 9 TDs).

-S Florida missed valuable game experience when their game with Pitt was postponed due to the hurricane.

-S Florida also missed out on some much needed practice time due to the hurricanes..

-S Florida had to practice for both of TCU's QBs because of the uncertainty of whether TCU's starting QB Gunn would play or not....This is not an easy thing at all to do and does add extra work for their defense to have to prepare for...This can cause a lot of confusion for the defense as these QB's have somewhat different styles of play..

-This will be TCU's last home game until November 20...so I am expecting a full all out effort and focus from the Horn Frogs.

-Last year the Horn Frogs took this Bull squad lightly and almost got upset, winning by only 3 pts...So I am expecting them this year to not take them for granted....and that should spell trouble for this Bulls team in Fort Worth...



I am looking for TCU to come out very upset at last weeks performance and want to again establish their dominant presence in the Conf with a solid win....What better team, right now, to bouce back on then vs this struggling S Florida team today....S Florida has been seriously struggling of late as they are trying to find a QB to take over, as well as, trying to find other new key position players to step up and fill the voids left by last years team...Today in Fort Worth is not the place to come in stubbling or filled with uncertainties...especially since this Horn Frog team on Offense has been lighting up its opponents who come to their House....Take TCU as a BIG GAME PLAY--rated as a Conf USA Game of the Month Selection.

-
GL Gang, and LETS GO GET EM!....ALOHA CC.:cool:



 

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totally agree with you. better remind fivedoors down that tcu has scored 142 points in 3 games. good luck.
 

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dale l said:
totally agree with you. better remind fivedoors down that tcu has scored 142 points in 3 games. good luck.
Not necessary...I am sure he knows what he is doing....GL to us and Aloha CC.:)
 

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Let's Rock!!!

I was thinking about them too!!!


Lets Rock'em today!!!


Thanks!

phantom
 

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Sports I posted this play earlier in my other thread before I posted this Write-Up...wanted others to get the best line as the number was moving up fast early...Right now lowest line seems to be 11.5 and 12....
 

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First half play on TCU covers by a wisker....this game is closer than I expected..but the second half looks positive...S Florida is not a team that has an unlimited supply of answers if TCU gets its Offense rolling....Let Go Horn Frogs!:)
 

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You do realize that TCU playing this one with BU QB Hassell as Tye Gunn injured ankle last week and re-injured in practice on Wednesday.


WinOne!!
 

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WinOne said:
You do realize that TCU playing this one with BU QB Hassell as Tye Gunn injured ankle last week and re-injured in practice on Wednesday.


WinOne!!
Of course I do...Did you read my Write-Up above...I have addressed this QB situation regarding both teams banged up QB's....Check out some of the stats and info that I posted on Hassell...

One of the things that I wasnt expecting was for S Florida to come up with so many big 3rd and long passing plays...Incredible.
 
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PRatings said:
wasn't even close. better luck next time, tout.
Yeah...next time I will get em back....a very rare loss, but a loss nonetheless...Thanks for your support...Aloha CC.:hihi
 

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Yeah!!

Pr, where were your picks? Co-Captain is wacky, and he's a posting machine, but at least he puts his picks up consistently.
 

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Co Captain,

I went down with you with TCU, as I had gotten them at 9 earlier in the week. It will be the last time I touch them the rest of the season. Continued success and ignore people like PR who doesn't have the nads to post his own plays. Best of luck.
 

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