Aloha Gang....First off, I hope you are all in good health and spirits today....Yesterday in the NFL there was some definate hard luck bad beats that occurred, and I like many felt the pain of it...In fact, this whole weekend both in the Colleges and NFL I experienced some dissappointing losses by teams who dominated completely for almost the entire game, only to allow their opponents to come from behind and steal what looked like an ez win away from them and me...However, those unfortunate losses we suffered over the weekend is long and gone, so no sense wasting anymore time crying about it....Today is all that matters....and today I am releasing yet another BIG GAME PLAY for everyone to Bank Big On Again!...So far my BIG GAME PLAY selections have posted a sweet 4W-1L= 80% record.(College and NFL combined)....Its Monday Night Football Baby, and I have been doing some major damage in MNF games this season...My record so far in MNF is 10W-2L= 83% on all plays released.....Tonight lets continue getting the CASH with this BIG GAME PLAY selection!......LETS ROCK-N-ROLL!
**BIG GAME PLAY---MNF GAME OF THE MONTH PLAY ON:
Green Bay Packers -3
Two playoff teams coming into this MNF game both on a 3 game slide and both standing at a disappointing 1-3 on the year, will definately want to end this trend tonight...Unfortunately though, only one team after its all said and done, will be able to get their season back on the winning track....while the other will feel the sting of yet another hit to their SB chances....Tonight, I am backing GB and their Monday Night Magic Man in Brett Farve to come out of this game with a solid victory...
Before I get to those KEY FACTORS and Situational Edges that I feel GB has on their side in this matchup vs Tenn....I want to address first that I am aware that both of these teams have been struggling on Offense and more so on the Defensive side of the ball...In addition, both teams MVP QB's in McNair and Farve are coming into this game still alittle banged up...Ok now that we are caught up on both teams current situations...I will list some Key Factors in this one which I feel that will give Farve and the Pack a greater decided advantage over McNair and hit Tenn Titans....These KEY FACTORS and edges should help with allowing GB to utilize and operate their gameplan more effectively which they will use to their advantage in this one and which should lead them to a much needed win..over Tenn tonight.
KEY FACTOR #1: (The Battle in the Trenches Part I)....Part of the main reason to Tenn's struggles and inconsistancies on Offense, especially in the passing game, has been primarily due to the poor pass protection that McNair has been getting from his Big Uglies Unit (O-Line) this year...The O-Line so far has allowed 11 QB sacks and not effectively picked up blitzes and stunt packages by opponents headhunting to disrupt McNair's timing and rhythum...When McNair is given enough time, he can be deadly accurate with his passes as he will look to hit his main receiving targets....Opponents this year know that inorder to beat Tenn you must not let McNair beat you...and thus they have been putting the pressure on him more, which the O-Line hasnt been effectively preventing... The result of this failure by the O-Line is McNair's low stats, on the year so far, with just 489 passing yards, only 1 TD, with 2 Ints...Not good because McNair's backup Volek has more TD passes then him.
Today vs this GB Defense, Tenn O-Line will benefit a little because GB will be without its big NG Jackson.(knee) ...but his loss, to me, shouldnt affect GB's plans to utilize their blitzing schemes to pressure McNair or their plans to stack the box keying up on stopping Tenn's primary weapon of attack RB Brown...Last week SD was successful in holding Brown in check by keying up on him and it worked as Brown only gained 55 yards rushing and only 3.7 ypc...I have to believe that if SD's Defense is able to successfully stop Brown..this GB Defense should be able to do as well...GB's early season stats vs the run is not as stingent as last years was, but this squad still has its three top run stoppers on the D-Line, along with all 3 LB which was ranked #3 in run Def in the NFC last year...so they do have the players to do the job vs this Tenn Offensive squad....
Tonight, I see GB utilizing their blitzing packages just like they did against Carolina's O-Line that was weak in its pass protection and it paid off big for the Pack as they totally disrupted and pressured QB Delhomme all night long...which resulted in 2 sacks, 1 Int, and just 59% completions...GB vs this Tenn O-Line, who btw just lost their G Piller (bicep inj) in last weeks game vs SD, will just make matters worst for this Unit trying to plug up the holes...
KEY FACTOR #2: (Battle in the Trenches Part II)....Now, on the other side of this one, we have GB's Big Uglies Unit which is possibly one of the Best Veteran OL Units in the League this year...This year they are showing their effectiveness in protecting their main man Farve, only giving up 3 sacks so far, which ranks them tops in pass protection along with only Denver and Indy's O-Line who also have only allowed 3 total sacks as well this year....
GB's solid O-Line pass protecting has also enabled the Pack to rank among the Top in the league in Passing Offense at #8 averaging 252.3 yards passing per game and a 62.0 % completion rate....QB Farve because of this protection has been able to also rank again, amongst the Top QB's in the league at #8 in QB rating with 92.9 and #8 in overall completion % with 64.3%....Solid!
Tonight, I cannot see any reason as to why this O-Line of GB will not dominate Tenn's front 7 in the trenches both in the passing game and especially in the running game...and the next Key Factors should further explain why I feel strongly about this happening...
KEY FACTOR #3: (GB's Solid Run Attack led by RB Green).....Besides the O-Line providing Farve the necessary time to pick apart opponents secondaries...the Pack also benefit from their solid play in run blocking, which should allow All Pro RB Green to be able to get this ground attack back on track vs the Titan's weakness on Def....which is stopping the Run....Yes, that is right!...The Titans Weakness on Defense is against the RUN....I guess, one can only say, "what a difference a year makes"....In fact, last year, the strength of the Titans Defense was its Run Defense, which they were also the Best in the league at allowing opponents only 80.9 yards per a game and 3.8 ypc....This year though is a completely different story..as the Titan's are giving up an average of 131.3 yards per a game (26th), and are currently allowing the most yards per carry in the entire league at 5.5 ypc....Holy Moly!
In Tenn's last 3 losses, they faced 3 solid running teams with All Pro RB's....Vs Indy, they allowed RB James to rush for 124 yards and 5.9 ypc....Vs the Jags, they allowed RB Taylor to rush for 81 yards and 4.8 ypc (team total of 136 rushing yards and 4.7 ypc given up to the Jags)....and last week Vs SD, they allowed RB Tomlinson to rush for 147 yards and a whopping 8.6 ypc...This is definately not good news, as they must now face the second best running back from last year tonight, in Green (1,883 yards on the ground last season), who will be operating behind the Best O-Line in the league this year....
The next Key Factor should explain also why things wont change overnight for this Titan team and why GB will have the best opportunity between the two to come out on top tonight...
KEY FACTOR #4: (Tenn's Team Injuries)....First off, the Titans Top ranked Defense from last year isnt all there...and the losses of Kearse and Smith from the DL to free agency has weakened this team upfront more than they expected...Teams this year are aware of their departure and are now attacking areas where these two once dominated....Making matters worst though, is the injuries to several players has led the Titans to have to rely on playing 3 other new starters, 2 of them at the LB positions....The Titan's heavy reliance on their Rookies upfront in DE LaBoy and Odom, tackle Starks, and LB Reynolds aren't helping matters for them....In fact, their pressence has been the main point of attack by teams with solid running games and solid O-Lineman like Indy, Jack, and SD has, and they exploited the Titans obvious weakness on Defense to its extent....Tonight should be no different for the Pack ground attack, as I see them as well totally attack straight at these newbies and rookies all night long...
More Rookies and new players, means more missed assignments and mistakes...and playing under the bright lights of Monday Night Football simply wont make it any easier for these rookies making their first ever debut on MNF, not to mention, their first experience playing at historic Lambeau Field...
Noteble injuries for the Titans on Def are: LB Boiman (knee), LB Sirmon, LB Calmus (back)...also DT Haynesworth (ankle) is banged up and is listed as questionable for this one..huge loss upfront if he cant go tonight....Starting FS Schulters (foot) is out.
Stopping the run for the Titan's isnt though their only concern this year...They have also given up 84 points in their 3 game losing streak, because they are not able to keep opponents in their Red Zone out of the endzone....This year, the Def has allowed their opponents inside their 20, eleven times...9 of which resulted in a TD...The Titans are currently the leagues worst Def in the RZ allowing 81.8% scoring.
The Titan's Offense also has been suffering due to injuries, especially to their receiving corps...Top TE target Kinney (calf inj) is out....and so is WR Calico (knee)....In fact, only two of Tenn's top 4 WR's have played in a combined two games this year...Currently the Titan's have only 4 healthy receivers on the roster...and this lack of key targets has hurt this Offense, especially in the scoring department...
This year the Titans are only scoring an average of 15.7 pts per game....compared to last year where they averaged 27.18 pts per game...The Titan's are last in the league in passing average...They also rank in the bottom third in total yards per game and passing yards per game....Also, the Titan's this season, has only scored one TD in the 1st Q....Making matters worst, is that QB McNair is still not 100%....Not good at all!
A total of 7 Titan starters have gone down to injury, with 3 of them lost for the year.
Minor KEY FACTORS: including stats, trends, info, etc...which favor GB as well in tonights game...
-Tenn hasnt played well on Monday Night road, as they are just 1-5 ATS.
-Tenn also struggle vs NFC North teams posting a 1-6 ATS mark.
-GB is solid on MNF w/ a 9-2 ATS record..
-GB is also a perfect 5-0 ATS at home vs AFC opponents.
*Bottom line tonight...is Tenn will again be exploit upfront where they have to again rely on a lot on young inexperienced players in the trenches due to an overwhelming rash of injuries they have, and GB will simply attack them there all game long, just like how Indy, Jacksonville, and SD's did...With GB's O-Line Unit doing an excellent job with protecting Farve and with the lack of a pass rush by Tenn, I also see Farve being able to pick this secondary apart, especially in the middle where they will be at their weakest...Tenn on Offense, should find some success against GB..but in the end, their O-Line will not be able to stop the blitzing package that should keep McNair pressured and running all night, just like Delhomme was in GB's first Monday Night game....To many Key injuries, especially on Def, and the lost battles in the trenches will be to much for Tenn to overcome here on the road in Lambeau Field, where Brett "the Hitman" Farve has been known to shine so brightly......Tonight its going to all Pack Attack and that will result in a very solid GB victory once more....Take the Packers as a BIG GAME PLAY---MNF GAME OF THE MONTH selection....GL and LETS GO GET EM!...ALOHA CC..
**BIG GAME PLAY---MNF GAME OF THE MONTH PLAY ON:
Green Bay Packers -3
Two playoff teams coming into this MNF game both on a 3 game slide and both standing at a disappointing 1-3 on the year, will definately want to end this trend tonight...Unfortunately though, only one team after its all said and done, will be able to get their season back on the winning track....while the other will feel the sting of yet another hit to their SB chances....Tonight, I am backing GB and their Monday Night Magic Man in Brett Farve to come out of this game with a solid victory...
Before I get to those KEY FACTORS and Situational Edges that I feel GB has on their side in this matchup vs Tenn....I want to address first that I am aware that both of these teams have been struggling on Offense and more so on the Defensive side of the ball...In addition, both teams MVP QB's in McNair and Farve are coming into this game still alittle banged up...Ok now that we are caught up on both teams current situations...I will list some Key Factors in this one which I feel that will give Farve and the Pack a greater decided advantage over McNair and hit Tenn Titans....These KEY FACTORS and edges should help with allowing GB to utilize and operate their gameplan more effectively which they will use to their advantage in this one and which should lead them to a much needed win..over Tenn tonight.
KEY FACTOR #1: (The Battle in the Trenches Part I)....Part of the main reason to Tenn's struggles and inconsistancies on Offense, especially in the passing game, has been primarily due to the poor pass protection that McNair has been getting from his Big Uglies Unit (O-Line) this year...The O-Line so far has allowed 11 QB sacks and not effectively picked up blitzes and stunt packages by opponents headhunting to disrupt McNair's timing and rhythum...When McNair is given enough time, he can be deadly accurate with his passes as he will look to hit his main receiving targets....Opponents this year know that inorder to beat Tenn you must not let McNair beat you...and thus they have been putting the pressure on him more, which the O-Line hasnt been effectively preventing... The result of this failure by the O-Line is McNair's low stats, on the year so far, with just 489 passing yards, only 1 TD, with 2 Ints...Not good because McNair's backup Volek has more TD passes then him.
Today vs this GB Defense, Tenn O-Line will benefit a little because GB will be without its big NG Jackson.(knee) ...but his loss, to me, shouldnt affect GB's plans to utilize their blitzing schemes to pressure McNair or their plans to stack the box keying up on stopping Tenn's primary weapon of attack RB Brown...Last week SD was successful in holding Brown in check by keying up on him and it worked as Brown only gained 55 yards rushing and only 3.7 ypc...I have to believe that if SD's Defense is able to successfully stop Brown..this GB Defense should be able to do as well...GB's early season stats vs the run is not as stingent as last years was, but this squad still has its three top run stoppers on the D-Line, along with all 3 LB which was ranked #3 in run Def in the NFC last year...so they do have the players to do the job vs this Tenn Offensive squad....
Tonight, I see GB utilizing their blitzing packages just like they did against Carolina's O-Line that was weak in its pass protection and it paid off big for the Pack as they totally disrupted and pressured QB Delhomme all night long...which resulted in 2 sacks, 1 Int, and just 59% completions...GB vs this Tenn O-Line, who btw just lost their G Piller (bicep inj) in last weeks game vs SD, will just make matters worst for this Unit trying to plug up the holes...
KEY FACTOR #2: (Battle in the Trenches Part II)....Now, on the other side of this one, we have GB's Big Uglies Unit which is possibly one of the Best Veteran OL Units in the League this year...This year they are showing their effectiveness in protecting their main man Farve, only giving up 3 sacks so far, which ranks them tops in pass protection along with only Denver and Indy's O-Line who also have only allowed 3 total sacks as well this year....
GB's solid O-Line pass protecting has also enabled the Pack to rank among the Top in the league in Passing Offense at #8 averaging 252.3 yards passing per game and a 62.0 % completion rate....QB Farve because of this protection has been able to also rank again, amongst the Top QB's in the league at #8 in QB rating with 92.9 and #8 in overall completion % with 64.3%....Solid!
Tonight, I cannot see any reason as to why this O-Line of GB will not dominate Tenn's front 7 in the trenches both in the passing game and especially in the running game...and the next Key Factors should further explain why I feel strongly about this happening...
KEY FACTOR #3: (GB's Solid Run Attack led by RB Green).....Besides the O-Line providing Farve the necessary time to pick apart opponents secondaries...the Pack also benefit from their solid play in run blocking, which should allow All Pro RB Green to be able to get this ground attack back on track vs the Titan's weakness on Def....which is stopping the Run....Yes, that is right!...The Titans Weakness on Defense is against the RUN....I guess, one can only say, "what a difference a year makes"....In fact, last year, the strength of the Titans Defense was its Run Defense, which they were also the Best in the league at allowing opponents only 80.9 yards per a game and 3.8 ypc....This year though is a completely different story..as the Titan's are giving up an average of 131.3 yards per a game (26th), and are currently allowing the most yards per carry in the entire league at 5.5 ypc....Holy Moly!
In Tenn's last 3 losses, they faced 3 solid running teams with All Pro RB's....Vs Indy, they allowed RB James to rush for 124 yards and 5.9 ypc....Vs the Jags, they allowed RB Taylor to rush for 81 yards and 4.8 ypc (team total of 136 rushing yards and 4.7 ypc given up to the Jags)....and last week Vs SD, they allowed RB Tomlinson to rush for 147 yards and a whopping 8.6 ypc...This is definately not good news, as they must now face the second best running back from last year tonight, in Green (1,883 yards on the ground last season), who will be operating behind the Best O-Line in the league this year....
The next Key Factor should explain also why things wont change overnight for this Titan team and why GB will have the best opportunity between the two to come out on top tonight...
KEY FACTOR #4: (Tenn's Team Injuries)....First off, the Titans Top ranked Defense from last year isnt all there...and the losses of Kearse and Smith from the DL to free agency has weakened this team upfront more than they expected...Teams this year are aware of their departure and are now attacking areas where these two once dominated....Making matters worst though, is the injuries to several players has led the Titans to have to rely on playing 3 other new starters, 2 of them at the LB positions....The Titan's heavy reliance on their Rookies upfront in DE LaBoy and Odom, tackle Starks, and LB Reynolds aren't helping matters for them....In fact, their pressence has been the main point of attack by teams with solid running games and solid O-Lineman like Indy, Jack, and SD has, and they exploited the Titans obvious weakness on Defense to its extent....Tonight should be no different for the Pack ground attack, as I see them as well totally attack straight at these newbies and rookies all night long...
More Rookies and new players, means more missed assignments and mistakes...and playing under the bright lights of Monday Night Football simply wont make it any easier for these rookies making their first ever debut on MNF, not to mention, their first experience playing at historic Lambeau Field...
Noteble injuries for the Titans on Def are: LB Boiman (knee), LB Sirmon, LB Calmus (back)...also DT Haynesworth (ankle) is banged up and is listed as questionable for this one..huge loss upfront if he cant go tonight....Starting FS Schulters (foot) is out.
Stopping the run for the Titan's isnt though their only concern this year...They have also given up 84 points in their 3 game losing streak, because they are not able to keep opponents in their Red Zone out of the endzone....This year, the Def has allowed their opponents inside their 20, eleven times...9 of which resulted in a TD...The Titans are currently the leagues worst Def in the RZ allowing 81.8% scoring.
The Titan's Offense also has been suffering due to injuries, especially to their receiving corps...Top TE target Kinney (calf inj) is out....and so is WR Calico (knee)....In fact, only two of Tenn's top 4 WR's have played in a combined two games this year...Currently the Titan's have only 4 healthy receivers on the roster...and this lack of key targets has hurt this Offense, especially in the scoring department...
This year the Titans are only scoring an average of 15.7 pts per game....compared to last year where they averaged 27.18 pts per game...The Titan's are last in the league in passing average...They also rank in the bottom third in total yards per game and passing yards per game....Also, the Titan's this season, has only scored one TD in the 1st Q....Making matters worst, is that QB McNair is still not 100%....Not good at all!
A total of 7 Titan starters have gone down to injury, with 3 of them lost for the year.
Minor KEY FACTORS: including stats, trends, info, etc...which favor GB as well in tonights game...
-Tenn hasnt played well on Monday Night road, as they are just 1-5 ATS.
-Tenn also struggle vs NFC North teams posting a 1-6 ATS mark.
-GB is solid on MNF w/ a 9-2 ATS record..
-GB is also a perfect 5-0 ATS at home vs AFC opponents.
*Bottom line tonight...is Tenn will again be exploit upfront where they have to again rely on a lot on young inexperienced players in the trenches due to an overwhelming rash of injuries they have, and GB will simply attack them there all game long, just like how Indy, Jacksonville, and SD's did...With GB's O-Line Unit doing an excellent job with protecting Farve and with the lack of a pass rush by Tenn, I also see Farve being able to pick this secondary apart, especially in the middle where they will be at their weakest...Tenn on Offense, should find some success against GB..but in the end, their O-Line will not be able to stop the blitzing package that should keep McNair pressured and running all night, just like Delhomme was in GB's first Monday Night game....To many Key injuries, especially on Def, and the lost battles in the trenches will be to much for Tenn to overcome here on the road in Lambeau Field, where Brett "the Hitman" Farve has been known to shine so brightly......Tonight its going to all Pack Attack and that will result in a very solid GB victory once more....Take the Packers as a BIG GAME PLAY---MNF GAME OF THE MONTH selection....GL and LETS GO GET EM!...ALOHA CC..
