Big Al's Preakness Winner!!!!!

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BIG AL'S PAID PREAKNESS WINNER


At 6:05 pm, our selection is on Curlin, and our recommendation is to wager on Curlin 'across the board' -- that is, to Win, Place, and Show.

One of the interesting differences between the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness Stakes is how differently lightly-raced horses fare in each of these legs. In the Derby, it is almost a mortal certainty that any horse with three or less lifetime starts is not going to be in the same zip code as the winner. But two weeks later, in the second jewel, being a lightly-raced horse is not a negative factor at all. Indeed, some would say that it is an advantage. Suffice it to say that when Curlin, who only had three lifetime starts AND had never raced as a two-year old, stepped into the starting gate two weeks ago at Churchill Downs, most experts did not give him a snowball's chance in hell of finishing in the money. And when one considers that a) he had a virtual death knell of drawing the #2 hole in the 20 horse Derby field (you can pretty much throw out any horse in the first 4 post positions in that race); and b) he was steadied at the start of the race and found himself in 13th place early on, then it is nothing short of a miracle that Curlin managed to rally to finish third and pick up a nice paycheck for his owners. A feat that no doubt has gone largely unnoticed given the brilliant performances of both Hard Spun, and the winner of the race, Street Sense, both of whom got dream trips around the Churchill Downs track that day.

Hard Spun (who we cashed with an 'across the board' wager in the Derby) had a perfect post position for his running style, sprinted out to an uncontested lead, and almost stole the race under a brilliant pace ride by Mario Pino. Street Sense, who likes to close, was allowed to drop back without being bothered. And then, when Calvin "I love the golden rail at Churchill" Borel saw the inside open up, he simply guided Street Sense for a ground-saving trip around the track until he was able to collar Hard Spun in the final 1/8 of a mile and pull away to a somewhat easy victory. Now I don't take anything away from these two exceptional animals, but if Curlin can finish third given all the things he had going against him in that race, I sure like his chances a heck of a lot better as a lightly-raced horse with the #4 hole in a 9 horse field at Pimlico. Curlin's morning line is 7-2, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him drift up to 5-1, which would be a gift under these conditions. Big name trainers Todd Pletcher, Nick Zito, and D. Wayne Lucas are grasping at straws with inferior entries in this race that will no doubt suck up some money from the bettors who simply can't resist wagering on these guys come Triple Crown season. Curlin could be primed to deliver an eye-catching performance at very juicy odds. Let's wager on Curlin 'across the board'. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
 

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BIG AL'S PAID PREAKNESS WINNER


At 6:05 pm, our selection is on Curlin, and our recommendation is to wager on Curlin 'across the board' -- that is, to Win, Place, and Show.

One of the interesting differences between the Kentucky Derby and the Preakness Stakes is how differently lightly-raced horses fare in each of these legs. In the Derby, it is almost a mortal certainty that any horse with three or less lifetime starts is not going to be in the same zip code as the winner. But two weeks later, in the second jewel, being a lightly-raced horse is not a negative factor at all. Indeed, some would say that it is an advantage. Suffice it to say that when Curlin, who only had three lifetime starts AND had never raced as a two-year old, stepped into the starting gate two weeks ago at Churchill Downs, most experts did not give him a snowball's chance in hell of finishing in the money. And when one considers that a) he had a virtual death knell of drawing the #2 hole in the 20 horse Derby field (you can pretty much throw out any horse in the first 4 post positions in that race); and b) he was steadied at the start of the race and found himself in 13th place early on, then it is nothing short of a miracle that Curlin managed to rally to finish third and pick up a nice paycheck for his owners. A feat that no doubt has gone largely unnoticed given the brilliant performances of both Hard Spun, and the winner of the race, Street Sense, both of whom got dream trips around the Churchill Downs track that day.

Hard Spun (who we cashed with an 'across the board' wager in the Derby) had a perfect post position for his running style, sprinted out to an uncontested lead, and almost stole the race under a brilliant pace ride by Mario Pino. Street Sense, who likes to close, was allowed to drop back without being bothered. And then, when Calvin "I love the golden rail at Churchill" Borel saw the inside open up, he simply guided Street Sense for a ground-saving trip around the track until he was able to collar Hard Spun in the final 1/8 of a mile and pull away to a somewhat easy victory. Now I don't take anything away from these two exceptional animals, but if Curlin can finish third given all the things he had going against him in that race, I sure like his chances a heck of a lot better as a lightly-raced horse with the #4 hole in a 9 horse field at Pimlico. Curlin's morning line is 7-2, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him drift up to 5-1, which would be a gift under these conditions. Big name trainers Todd Pletcher, Nick Zito, and D. Wayne Lucas are grasping at straws with inferior entries in this race that will no doubt suck up some money from the bettors who simply can't resist wagering on these guys come Triple Crown season. Curlin could be primed to deliver an eye-catching performance at very juicy odds. Let's wager on Curlin 'across the board'. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Way to sell it Big Al!! This write up is more emotion based than logical. Nobody picked Curlin in Derby AL? Thats why he almost went off as favorite, eh? So Curlin was 13th at start -- SSense was 19th. And automatically tossing horses in posts 1-4 is moronic. And of course the to-be-expected dream trip.. Well what if Borel creates 'perfect trip' yet again Al? A field half the size of Derby, think Borel might have easier time of weaving?
Follow this guy at your own peril -- wow!
 

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Way to sell it Big Al!! This write up is more emotion based than logical. Nobody picked Curlin in Derby AL? Thats why he almost went off as favorite, eh? So Curlin was 13th at start -- SSense was 19th. And automatically tossing horses in posts 1-4 is moronic. And of course the to-be-expected dream trip.. Well what if Borel creates 'perfect trip' yet again Al? A field half the size of Derby, think Borel might have easier time of weaving?
Follow this guy at your own peril -- wow!
Not to mention Curlin will be overbet today, and there is potential for regression seeing this is fifth race lifetime.

Quite frankly the only horse that I think can beat Street Sense is Circular Quay.
8 weeks off hurt him in the Derby, and was for the most part trapped in traffic.
If he reverts back to his winter form, watch out !
Plus, Fletcher is careful with his horses, if he thought Circular Quay was tired, he would start him.

It's hard to bet against Street Sense though, eye popping 110 figure followed up by a razor sharp 5 furlong (minute even)
This horse is fast, smart and athletic.

1. Street Sense
2. Circular Quay
3. Hard Spun
 

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i really do not agree at all with this analysis but I always enjoy reading others and how they break down a race and past races...best of luck.
 

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i really do not agree at all with this analysis but I always enjoy reading others and how they break down a race and past races...best of luck.
That's why they call it horse racing.
 

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You never know, but my feeling is Curlin moves forward off the Derby.
IM drubnk already judge i like curlin too lets ask ACE-ACE TO see if i am right



ACE-ACE CURLIN IN THE PREAKNESS?




thPicture003-1.jpg
 

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I just bought a 20 dollar win ticket on Street Sense.
We shall see.
20 is all I want on this race.
 

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Congrats to Curlin'

Look at his lineage.

Mr Prospector, Deputy Minister.

Damn.

Good job.

No one threatening Affirmed. Back to the Horseshit for me.

Why can't I see this B$ the race ?????

Ever wonder 'bout that?


heh.


us
 

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