Big 5 conference coaching records vs top 25

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I heard that Miss St has lost 15 straight games vs top 25 teams so went searching for coaching records and found this:

BvfG1hACUAE4ZAa.jpg:large
 

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I heard that Miss St has lost 15 straight games vs top 25 teams so went searching for coaching records and found this:

BvfG1hACUAE4ZAa.jpg:large

Bob Stoops, Urban Meyer, David Shaw, Nick Saban, and Les Myles. Tells me that these coaches typically have good teams and get their own teams prepared for big games.
 

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There is also some perceived "very good coaches" on there with some not so great win %'s: Dantonio 35.7%, Snyder 34.8%, Briles 22.5%, Fitzgerald 25%

Some perceived "decent/average/ok/bad coaches" with maybe not as bad of numbers as one might think: Pelini 39.1% (hot head on a hot seat), Ferentz 35.8% (hasn't been fired via contract), Swinney 40.9% (is a moron)
 

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biggest surprises to me were spurrier 18-23 at USCe, snyder 23-43 at KSU, and dantonio 12-25 history vs top 25

no doubt you look at this list and wonder how guys like jones, ferentz and rhoads signed the contracts they did. nothing like being paid for mediocrity, or worse

hoke 4-20 lifetime...not good
 

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Two that surprised me a bit were: Stanford's Shaw @ 14-4 77.7% and Org St's Riley @ 13-39 25%. Thanks rolltide, also i was wondering what u thought about the qb situation going into the season for Bama? They have done the best recruiting of talent in the past 5 years that I have ever seen. 5/1 on the title seems kinda generous to me, that was hard to type but still feel that its true.
 

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Mike Riley at Oregon St is one coach I can never figure out. He blew that bowl game with Texas and it was all to prove a point of some kind. I wonder how many schools would be interested in him if he left or got fired and that record says a lot. I think now people can see why Oklahoma fans feel the way they do about Stoops also. He has lost a couple of big ones but he has one many more than he has lost. Spurrier had better turn it around this year or he never will.
 

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I think Gary Patterson's 14-14 record is pretty phenomenal considering that just about all of those wins came when TCU was a non-P5 team
 

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Two that surprised me a bit were: Stanford's Shaw @ 14-4 77.7% and Org St's Riley @ 13-39 25%. Thanks rolltide, also i was wondering what u thought about the qb situation going into the season for Bama? They have done the best recruiting of talent in the past 5 years that I have ever seen. 5/1 on the title seems kinda generous to me, that was hard to type but still feel that its true.

wrote about it a lot in the SEC thread. It's got me looking for the tallest bridge to jump off
 

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also see that Strong has only faced 4 top 25 teams in 4 years....
 

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I think Gary Patterson's 14-14 record is pretty phenomenal considering that just about all of those wins came when TCU was a non-P5 team

I was intrigued so I looked. I only came up with 27 of the 28, but he was 8-4 vs non-Power 5 teams, 5-10 vs Power 5 teams. 1-7 the last two years since joining the B12, all against big boys. I'll give him the benefit of the doubt, because it isn't easy changing conferences, but it's obvious that playing top-25 Utah, BYU and Boise is a notch below Ttech, KSU, OU.
 

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I was intrigued so I looked. I only came up with 27 of the 28, but he was 8-4 vs non-Power 5 teams, 5-10 vs Power 5 teams. 1-7 the last two years since joining the B12, all against big boys. I'll give him the benefit of the doubt, because it isn't easy changing conferences, but it's obvious that playing top-25 Utah, BYU and Boise is a notch below Ttech, KSU, OU.
Yeah, but wouldn't you agree that even 5-10 (including one BCS bowl win) vs top 25 power 5 teams is a pretty high percentage for a program like TCU? The only coach on that list who tops it is Chris Peterson at Boise. But Peterson never had to face that many top 25 programs in the WAC. If you compare that record to other coaches who have worked most of their careers at non-power 5 schools, that's a great track record. Example Art Briles 7-24, Gary Anderson 2-8. Both considered very good coaches. On the other side of the coin you have Bill Snyder, who most of us consider a very good respected coach. But he scheduled more cupcakes and sure wins in his coaching career than any coach I know. Giving him a good but kind of deceiving overall record. But he compiled just a 23-43 record against the top 25. I knew TCU was going to have some adjustment problems when they joined the Big 12. Especially with their overall depth. But there has also been some disastrous off field incidents that has derailed this team the last couple of years. Even so, TCU has been very competitive. You very seldom see them get blown out of games. They beat two top 25 team on the road in 2012. And they lost to 2 top 25 (BCS Bowl) teams OU and Baylor by just 3 points each last season. So they are getting closer.
 

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Yeah, but wouldn't you agree that even 5-10 (including one BCS bowl win) vs top 25 power 5 teams is a pretty high percentage for a program like TCU? .

I think it's decent enough, at least on par with the second tier guys. I think the point I was trying to get at is that, even so with this very interesting chart, you have to get inside the numbers. 14-14 is inflated and it isnt as impressive, imo, when it's just one power-5 program a year (actually 7 games in 11 years of MWC), as opposed to 4 in a single year. 7 games in 11 years vs 8 games in 2 years. His win percentage bottomed out, but like I said, with conference change it's hard to completely throw out the past.
 

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I think it's decent enough, at least on par with the second tier guys. I think the point I was trying to get at is that, even so with this very interesting chart, you have to get inside the numbers. 14-14 is inflated and it isnt as impressive, imo, when it's just one power-5 program a year (actually 7 games in 11 years of MWC), as opposed to 4 in a single year. 7 games in 11 years vs 8 games in 2 years. His win percentage bottomed out, but like I said, with conference change it's hard to completely throw out the past.
I wonder how many of those top 25 games TCU were the dogs?
 

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But what if you coach Alabama; as #1 team; play and defeat a #23 ranked team; rated a 24 pt fav; is that an indication of top coaching???
 

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But what if you coach Alabama; as #1 team; play and defeat a #23 ranked team; rated a 24 pt fav; is that an indication of top coaching???
This was basically my point. Winning games where you are the dogs the majority of the time against top 25 teams vs two or three touchdown favorites in most of those games are two completely different types of records, even though they both look the same on paper...
 

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But what if you coach Alabama; as #1 team; play and defeat a #23 ranked team; rated a 24 pt fav; is that an indication of top coaching???

assuming we can agree that in the last 5 years if Bama was an underdog or as much as a 5.5 point favorite it was against a top 25 team, Saban is 9-3 (right in line with the 28-12 record)... not like he's posting that 28-12 just by being -20 favs vs #23 when he's #1 while playing at home. BTW covered all 9 by avg of 12 ppg

team = ALA and line >= -5.5 and season >= 2008
SU:9-3-0 (12.42, 75.0%)Teaser Records
ATS:9-3-0 (11.79, 75.0%) avg line: -0.6 +6: 11-1-0 (91.7%) -6: 8-4-0 (66.7%) +10: 12-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 8-4-0 (66.7%)
 

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That is the one that jumped out to me. If he doesn't have a good season this year they'll run him out of MD.

his contract doesn't expire until jan 2017 and is fully guaranteed so there is some pretty serious $$ there for them to think about.

bright side is they're Big 10's preseason #1 soccer program...probably lacrosse too whenever that starts

even with edsall i have them making a bowl game
 

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