Big 12 Week of 11/22/03

[Taxcat]

Cumulative Posted Record 9-6 - 60% +16 units less the juice.

4 units 4-0
3 units 2-1
2 units 2-3
1 unit 1-2

4-0 last week +10 units

Had a good week last week as I loved the slate. Wish I would have had the guts to lay more money on KSU, but that Nebraska jinx was to scary for me.

4* Kansas -10 Iowa St

I think I just found my play of the week. As a Kansas State fan, I do not want to see the Jayhawks in a bowl game, but this spread is screwed. I've been waiting for it to come out before I posted this week and I saw the 10 points and drooled. Get it quick. Bill Whittemore is reported to be a likely participant in this game. KU can win this game by 14 with their true freshman replacement, if not.

Other leans right now are KSU, OU, but haven't decided yet. I'm kind of waiting to see if the KSU spread goes down to 14. If I bet on OU, it will be small. I'm laying off of Baylor/OSU.

I believe that KSU is clearly the side here as Missouri has not played well on the road (averaging 14 points/game in 3 Big 12 contests) and KSU's defense has stiffened of late. KSU will pack the box and force Smith to throw to a mediocre receiving core on a cold, windy night in Manhattan. Also a chance for showers/snow. Missouri will do the same, but their defense is much less daunting and KSU's passing game has come alive. Don't worry about the letdown off of the Nebraska high either. This team was looking for a national championship to start the year. They want their shot at Oklahoma. Missouri is in their way. I will play this game at 14 1/2. It's just a matter of how much. Hopefully the spread will move to 14 and I will be willing to put more on the game.

 

[jetdriverjoe]

I've been waiting for this one too. I see a big
win for the Hawks here, esspecially if Whittemore plays. They came close to a cover
last week. They should do better at home if
their fans turn out. I'm very interested in
the OU/TTech O/U. Have you seen one?

 

[Taxcat]

scoresandodds.com has it at 74 1/2. I haven't seen one offered yet.

 

[Taxcat]

Kansas spread already at 10 1/2 on intertops. Got it at 10 just an hour ago. Still a good bet at 10 1/2, but I see this going up.

 

[Taxcat]

Making Kansas State -14 1/2 a three unit play.

 

[jimmymo]

I've hit Kansas pretty hard as weel -- good to see both of you guys on it as well.

What I can't understand is the amount of money that must have been dropped on the 'Clones to cause this line to drop from 11 1/2 to 10 at Pinnacle yesterday -- couldn't believe my eyes.

In Iowa State's defense, they have played an absolute monster of a schedule -- however they absolutely crapped the bed in their one chance to win another game by season's end at home last week against Colorado. Word from Ames is that they will stick with Waye Terry at Quarterback this week - he is completing barely 40% of his passes (29 for 71) and has a 4-1 interception to turnover ratio....Iowa St. doesn't appear to provide too much of an offensive threat through the air.

However, it does appear the Iowa St. has shown the ability to move the ball on the ground -- although they have been shut down recently, the defenses they have faced (outside of the Buffs) are much superior to the Jayhawks....It appears that this game boils down to whether the Jayhawk defense can step up against the run and get the offense on the field -- the 'Clones gameplan has to be centered upon picking up first downs by running the ball, keeping the Hawk offense off the field and shortening the game. If the Hawks "D" can stop the run consistently, they cover easy.

I just hate the fact that this line dropped so much yesterday. Any thoughts?

GLTA

 

[Redneckman]

Yeah, I know what you mean on the point drop yesterday. Wonder if Kansas "got the envelope" if you know what I mean. You're right only way Iowa State covers is if they are effective running the ball and run clock.

 

[Taxcat]

1-1 on the week, but hit my POW again.

Early leans on CU, Texas and Missouri(had posted ISU don't know where that came from) for this week.

[This message was edited by Taxcat on November 26, 2003 at 05:59 PM.]