Big 12 Openers and Early Leads !

[Insiders]

Oklahoma opened 13.5 now 14.5 over Baylor.

Missouri opened 3 now 2.5 over Nebraska.

Texas A&M opened 2.5 now 3 on the road to Kansas State.

Iowa State opened 14.5 now 15.5 over Oklahoma State.

Colorado opened 13.5 now 14.5 over Kansas.

Texas opened 17 now 16 over Texas Tech.

Numbers At Cris !

Made small play on Baylor +14.5 at Oklahoma.
Med play on Nebraska at +3 at Missouri
Med play on Colorado -14
Med play on Texas Tech +17 at Texas


As GoSooners has pointed out that in conference play numbers are critical, and how ture that is at this time of the year.
Now weather and injuries could come into play later in the week but i feel that one of these will be POW.
POW record now 3-0.
BOL to ALL.

 

[Proman]

Thinking about K-State as a possible live home dog.

 

[AlwaysKeen]

agree with the Nebraska and Texas Tech plays...

 

[Insiders]

POW

Nebraska +3 at Missouri.

Missouri QB Brad Smith left last game with slight concussion. Nebraska defense will not STOP Smith, but should contain him, if he plays, which he will probably will play. HAve this feeling that they will not take any chances with this type of injury so if he gets hit, out he comes. Nebraska defense good enough to stop or contain Smith.
Stop QB Brad Smith of the Missouri Tigers and you STOP Missouri.
Nebraska will not give up 10 point lead in the 4th as the Iowa State group did last week.
Missouri defense has yet to show me they can stop Anyone.

Nebraska now road tested after defeating Baylor last week at Baylor.
Nebraska getting better each and every week in the passing game and Missouri defense will have hands full trying to stop this team anyway.
Nebraska better defense and just as good offensively. Coupled with the fact that Missouri QB Smith could in fact come out of game after the TUFF Husker defense lays a hit or two on him, which you know they will.

 

[Mjllomb]

Go ahead and fade OKState and A&M too. Nebraska looks like a pretty solid play. Also, I don't believe going against UT is a very good idea. This is from a bettor's standpoint that follows the Big 12 very closely. I was able to get a small play in at -13.5 (Pinnacle), but now its up a lot more. Think it will hover around 16.5 or so. Thats a big difference, but I truly believe we are going to dismantle Texas Tech. Though I am arguing how TT are a strong team, Texas Tech is and how they are ranked top 10 for my SoS argument for Texas, I believe TTech is overrated. The game is going to play out a lot like the Colorado game I believe. Longhorn secondary is a very strong unit.

BOL on your plays this weekend.

:drink:

 

[THECLOSER]

like the texas tech play...they will score points!

 

[nhoj]

Texas will Kill Tech

This is the 2nd must win game of the season for them. Win this one big and they can relax.

 

[Insiders]

Well time will tell as always in most Big 12 games. Think that Texas Tech will have different look than Colorado by far. YES, Texas is good, very good.
Texas Tech will spread out the Texas defense like they have not yet seen this year. Not saying that TT is going to win SU, but i think this game will be closer than the "experts" think. As everyone of us know that the "backdoor" is Always open to a team that can score.

Think that Nebraska is the best play on the board so far this week.
I do know that if Brad Smith goes out of this contest it is OVER for the Tigers from Missouri, as he is the heart an soul of this team. Missouri defense surrenders points in bunches. Nebraska defense will not allow that 4th quarter comeback as Missouri did to Iowa State........IMO.

GO HUSKERS !

 

[Mjllomb]

Well time will tell as always in most Big 12 games. Think that Texas Tech will have different look than Colorado by far. YES, Texas is good, very good.
Texas Tech will spread out the Texas defense like they have not yet seen this year. Not saying that TT is going to win SU, but i think this game will be closer than the "experts" think. As everyone of us know that the "backdoor" is Always open to a team that can score.

Think that Nebraska is the best play on the board so far this week.
I do know that if Brad Smith goes out of this contest it is OVER for the Tigers from Missouri, as he is the heart an soul of this team. Missouri defense surrenders points in bunches. Nebraska defense will not allow that 4th quarter comeback as Missouri did to Iowa State........IMO.

GO HUSKERS !

Fair assessment of TT offense vs. UT Defense. I just don't see the Horn D letting TT score that many points. If you really like TT, I think yuo need to hope that their D (which has been steadily improving over the last few years) holds down the UT offense. I don't see it happening. This of course is just my opinion.

I agree with your other plays.

BTW, It would not upset me one bit if TT covers but UT wins.

:drink:

 

[AlwaysKeen]

mjlomb, I agree that it's not smart to play against Texas...I just think Texas Tech seems to play better at Texas traditionally and that Tech can keep up scoring here...call me crazy, but at 17.5 or more I'll be on Tech...GL...

 

[Mjllomb]

I think the line is actually pretty good. And you are right, TT has a history of playing Texas close. If I do make a play on UT, it will be small, just for kicks. TT has a very dangerous and explosive offense.

BOL guys.

 

[Mjllomb]

BTW, that should read additional play on it... Anyway, BCS is out guys, so that whole controversy should heat up again. LOL

 

[AlwaysKeen]

good thoughts mjlomb...

 

[jwunderdog]

"I was able to get a small play in at -13.5 (Pinnacle), but now its up a lot more."

It opened at 17 and dropped to 15, how did you get 13.5?

 

[Mjllomb]

What site do you use?

I was able to get it at -13.5 on pinnacle before it went higher (Sunday). It opened at 12 immidiately shot up.

 

[genosays]

Back-up QB Chase Daniels for Missouri came in and did pretty well, actually won the game for them vs. Iowa State .... haven't actually seen him play yet, but word is he is very talented and if Brad Smith can't go (or gets replaced), Daniels should be solid. Good luck in the Big 12 this week.

 

[PokerKingJim]

Texas will score nearly everytime they have the ball. Tx Tech run defense is soft. Tech will have to score 40+ if they want to win this game. Line looks pretty accurate to me. Tex 45 Tech 27

 

[Insiders]

genosays

Yes i heard the back-up Chase Daniels did in fact a great job late for the Tigers last week.
I just have a hard time likeing Missouri here as they have yet to stop Anyone on the defensive side of the ball.
Nebraska now road tested as the just out slugged Baylor last week. Baylor coach was quoted as saying that they were just to big and tuff for us up front.
I feel that if Smith goes that he will be beaten up by that Tuff Nebraska defense and that it will take its toll. Also think that if the Huskers have the lead in the 4th that thier defense will be able to hang on to it as Iowa State could not do.
I am sure that if Smith goes down, or out, that the Nebraska D well be preparied for him as well. They surely watched game tapes of his ability in the late stages of the Iowa State game, and i think that they will be more than ready to handle him. Matter of fact he might not be as good as Smith and that will only make it better for the Huskers.

As you metioned BOL to ya too in the Big 12 this week !

 

[Insiders]

Getting off the small play i made on Baylor at +14.5 Makeing same size play on Oklahoma only at -14.

Baylor appears to have been kinda banged up last week in the Nebraska game and it is Homecomeing for the Sooners. Used to think that the Homecomeing was not much of any value but, this years stats proves that there is some value and not wanting to have a banged up Baylor team going for me in Soonerland coupled with the Homecomeing event.

Sooners did have a much improved second half last week at Arrowhead. This basicly turnes into a no play at this time with the number of 14 being magic.

May have some information on the Az Wildcats later in the week as they are double digit home doggie this week as Oregon visits. Its about time that they actually won a game in that Tuff to pick Pac-10, but that maybe really reaching.

 

[AlwaysKeen]

yeah insiders...Bell did not play the last two series of that game vs. Nebraska...don't know if he was hurt or what...