If Biden wins texas,... look out
https://www.kxan.com/news/texas-politics/biden-has-3-point-lead-over-trump-in-texas-poll-shows/
https://www.kxan.com/news/texas-politics/biden-has-3-point-lead-over-trump-in-texas-poll-shows/
Wow. For reference, the total number of TX votes in the 2016 presidential election was around 9 million (around 60% of registered voters), and the article says over 7 million have already voted.
Over 42 percent of all registered Texas voters have already cast their ballot
https://thehill.com/homenews/522682...d-texas-voters-have-already-cast-their-ballot
Over 42 percent of all registered Texas voters have already cast their ballot
https://thehill.com/homenews/522682...d-texas-voters-have-already-cast-their-ballot
- Joined
- Sep 9, 2005
- Messages
- 89,636
- Reaction score
- 4,096
Some people were born to be stupid, some were born to be poor, others were born to be social rejects, and still more were born to be assholes
Then you have the dongers of this world, the worst of everything
It's genetics people, not really his fault. Hopefully he hates children, that would be good for the world
Then you have the dongers of this world, the worst of everything
It's genetics people, not really his fault. Hopefully he hates children, that would be good for the world
I'm with you Gas and I think at the end of the day it will be much higher. I know Biden is going to get crushed down here in Fl. It's nothing but a total sea of Red!! It's nothing like I have ever seen before!!! We had around a 1000 people on our corner here last night with non- stop horn blaring support at a major intersection and this morning there were 7-10 sad sack Biden people out there trying to replicate it. Not happening. All Red down here!!!
May not be outright bullshit,b ut, as several people in the following article point out, he almost always picks the incumbent, or, more accurately, he tends to pick the guy who does better in the primaries, which is pretty easy for an incumbent to do.
https://www.quora.com/Should-Trump-...tly-predicted-5-out-of-6-elections-since-1996
and...
Professor Allan Lichtman has made his prediction for 2020. How reliable and valid is his model?
What are your thoughts on the Helmut Northrup Primary Prediction Model that gives Donald Trump a 91% chance of winning the general election vs. Joe Biden.
Answered August 8, 2020 · Author has 3.6K answers and 346.6K answer views
Lichtan’s model has been remarkably accurate. Norpoth’s is flawed in that it is based only upon early primaries and does not account for later events like the pandemic and economic difficulties. Norpoth’s model IS effective if there are few dramatic events between the early primaries and the election. That is not the case in 2020.
teddy cruz won his Senate seat in 2012 by 16 points and in 2018 saw that cut to 1.5 pts
Texas clearly shifting Blue like most of the more populous states but we will have to wait ten more days to see if Tiny's 9 point win in 2016 will be diminished
Texas clearly shifting Blue like most of the more populous states but we will have to wait ten more days to see if Tiny's 9 point win in 2016 will be diminished
As usual, Seymour, you managed to see less: several people confirmed 5 out of 6, but, I don't see anybody confirming 24 out of 26, for a very good reason,a s one poster pointed out:
Let’s first note that it’s incorrect to say that his model predicted 25 of the last 27 elections. If that was true, he’d have to be a vampire who has existed for over a century. What is true is that he created a model that has since predicted 5 of 6 presidential elections correctly, and he created it using data from the 21 presidential elections before that. Retroactively applied, it predicted 20 out of those 21 presidential elections, but to say that it “predicted” elections that had already happened is just not true.
Put yer pecker back into yer pants, Cult 45er.
