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A Separate Reality
Joined
Jan 14, 2002
Messages
5,533
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RECORD YTD 40-25 (.615)
SIDES 28-17 (.622)
TOTALS 12-8 (.600)

Lost my fourth in a row last time out here on 2/3 when the total of the Dallas/GS game failed to go over. Finding myself in a losing streak, I stopped posting and betting to refresh myself. I bet “On Paper” and promptly lost 3 more bringing my losing streak to 7 in a row. On Saturday’s paper trading I took Milwacky at home and won. Yesterday I took NJ on paper and also won that one. Ready to go back in to the fray today.

Denver at home, (12-9 ATS as the favorite, win by an avg of 8) vs Memphis (11-10 as a road dog, lose by an avg of 4) looks promising tonight.

SU Nuggets own a 15-2 record against the Grizzlies at home, and have won the last 12 contests as the host. The Grizzlies last win in Denver was a 100-87 decision on Nov. 18, 1997. Nice record for Denver but its ancient history as both teams have revamped their rosters many times in the last 7 years. Recently, “The teams split the first two games this season, with each team winning on its home court… Denver won the first meeting, 106-99, at the Pepsi Center (12/22/03), while the Grizzlies won on their court, 106-88, on 1/25/04”… NBA.com.

Like the fact that Memphis is 2-6 vs the Midwest on the road, while Denver is 12-5 vs the Western conference at home. Fox Stats show that Memphis is 5-8 ATS on the road vs teams with winning records. Denver is 11-5 ATS at home vs .500+ teams.

Memphis has been hot and looks for its 5th straight win. Out of their last 13 games they’ve had the luxury of playing 9 of them at home. Memphis is a solid 8-3-1 ATS on a backtobacks.

Denver has won their last two at home by 19 and 16 points and get a satisfied Memphis team coming off a road win vs Minny.

DENVER-4’
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[This message was edited by OccamsRazor on February 09, 2004 at 07:01 PM.]
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
786
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OR, Welcome back. I really like the Nuggets in this spot as well.

Lets Win
Gary
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
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Razor, where do you think the best nuetral write-ups are?
 

A Separate Reality
Joined
Jan 14, 2002
Messages
5,533
Tokens
Odds are starting to catch up to me. I've been able to avoid losing to the number for the most part this season, not tonight. Charlie, Sportsnetwork preview writeups are pretty neutral.
 

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