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RICHIES BEST BETS FOR 9/4/04.


HERE'S MY BROTHER RICHIE'S WRITE UPS ON HIS BEST BETS SO FAR THIS SEASON .

CAL -12.5 @ AIR F --- FLY BOYS HAVE ONLY 6 STARTERS RETURNING , 3 ON OFF. AND 3 ON DEF. THEY RETURN 27 LETTERMEN WHILE LOSING 30 LETTERMEN . JUINOR QB ADAM FITCH WAS SUPPOSED TO START THIS YEAR IS OUT FOR THE YEAR AND TRUE FRESHMAN SHAWN CARNEY IS NOW THE STARTER . CAL RETURNS 15 STARTERS , 6 ON OFF. AND 9 ON DEF. AND 50 LETTERMEN ONLY LOSING 17 TO GRADUATION . JUINOR QB AARON RODGERS RETURNS WHO THREW FOR 2903 YDS. , 19 TD'S AND AND ONLT 5 INT. IN 10 GAMES . WHILE PLAYING INJURED IN 2 GAMES . HE IS ONE OF THE TOP QB'S IN COL. FOOTBALL AND HAS ONE OF THE TOP RECIEVERS IN GEOFF McARTHUR WHO HAD 85 RECEPTIONS FOR 1504 YDS. LAST YEAR . CAL HAS AN EXCELLENT DEF. AND SHOULD BE ABLE TO HOLD AIR F. TO ABOUT 100 YDS. RUSHING , WITH A TOTAL OF ABOUT 180 . CALS OFF LINE OUT WEIGHS AIR F BY 32 LBS. A MAN AND THE DEF.LINE BY 43 LBS. A MAN . THIS IS A CLASSIC MISMATCH AND LAY THE 12.5 BEFORE IT GOES TO 14 OR MORE .


MEMPH +3.5 @ MISS --- MISS RETURNS 10 STARTERS , 6 ON OFF. AND 4 ON DEF . THEY RETURN 47 LETTERMEN LOSING 26 . LAST YEARS DEF. WAS OUTSTANDING ALLOWING ONLY 102 YDS. RUSHING A GAME . BUT THEY LOST THEIR 3 BEST PLAYERS ON THE DEF. LINE . DE ANDERSON WAS DRAFTED BY HOU. , NT MITCHELL WAS A 1st TEAM SEC AND DE COOPER . ALSO QB MANNING IS GONE AND WILL NOT BE REPLACED SO EASILY . ONE OF THEIR TOP RB'S PITTMAN WAS ARRESTED AND SUSPENDED AS WELL AS MLB BOURNES WHO WAS SCHEDULED TO START . MEMPH RETURNS 16 STARTERS INCLUDING ALL 11 ON OFF. THAT AVERAGED OVER 30 PTS. A GAME LAST YR. QB WIMPRINE OUTPLAYED MANNING THROWING FOR 389 YDS VS MANNINGS 292 AND WINNING BY 10 POINTS . HE IS THE ALL TIME CAREER LEADER AT MEMPH WITH 30 STARTS AND 7323 YARDS . MEMPH HAS AN EXCELLENT DEF. EQUAL TO LAST YEARS DESPITE RETURNING ONLY 5 STARTERS . THE DL IS ABOUT EQUAL , THE DB'S BETTER AND THE LB'S ARE WEAKER . MEMP HAS A BETTER DEF. AND A SUPERIOR OFF. , TAKE THE 3.5 POINTS BEFORE THIS GAME DROPS BELOW 3 , TO ABOUT 1.5 .

GOOD LUCK TO ALL .
 

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I have no idea about Cal or Air Force, but I do know Ole Miss. Your brother is going to lose that bet. Ole Miss is going to be pretty good again....book it. Actually, my advice is to take them in the first four games BIG. The only thing main stream bettors know about Ole Miss is that they lost Eli Manning. Trust your buddy Pete, Coach Cutcliffe has prepared for life after Eli. The Rebels will cover against Memphis.
 

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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by LSUpete:
I have no idea about Cal or Air Force, but I do know Ole Miss. Your brother is going to lose that bet. Ole Miss is going to be pretty good again....book it. Actually, my advice is to take them in the first four games BIG. The only thing main stream bettors know about Ole Miss is that they lost Eli Manning. Trust your buddy Pete, Coach Cutcliffe has prepared for life after Eli. The Rebels will cover against Memphis. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

"pretty good again"???
hell, they LOST to Memphis last year by 10 points!!! --- freakin' Wimprine showed up Eli in that game!
bigsmiley.gif


hardly a "slam dunk" game for the Rebels
 

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GREAT....you sound confident. Let's have a friendly wager.
 

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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by LSUpete:
GREAT....you sound confident. Let's have a friendly wager. <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

NEVER said that I was condfident ... hardly the case -- FWIW, one of the computer projection systems I use to find "value" in lines REALLY likes Ole Miss in this one ... a VERY strong play ---- just trying to keep an open mind and analyze it from both sides

Memphis has a pretty damn good RB in DeAngelo Williams ... and like I said, they DID beat the Rebs by 10 last year, so they're certainly no slouches ... especially with 10 returning starters on offense
 

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I AM GLAD YOU GUYS ARE NOT DUKING IT OUT , THERE'S ALOT OF HOSTILITY ON THIS SITE AND WE DO NOT WANT ANY PART OF THAT . WE JUST WANT TO PUT OUT SOME PLAYS THAT WE THINK ARE STRONG AND WE HAVE OUR MONEY ON .

ADDIND ONE MORE PLAY

PLAY HOU -2.5 AT RELIANT STADIUM --- RICE FINISHED VERY STRONG LAST YEAR GOING 4 - 2 IN THEIR LAST 6 GMS. LOSING BY ONLY 3 AT FRESNO ST AND BY 3 TO A MUCH IMPROVED TULSA TEAM . THEY BEAT NEV. BY 10 , SMU BY 21 , UTEP BY 31 AND LA.T. BY 35 . HOWEVER , THAT HAPPENED WHEN QB KYLE HERM RETURNED FROM HIS INJURY WHICH HAPPENED IN RICE'S OPENING LOSS TO HOU BY 34 POINTS . QB GREG HENDERSON WENT 1 - 4 IN HIS 5 STARTS . EACH TEAM HAS 15 STARTERS BACK AND WILL BE BETTER THAN LAST YEAR . HOU'S POTENT OFFENSE AVERAGED 34.5 POINTS LAST YEAR AND IS EXPECTED TO BE EVEN BETTER THIS YEAR WITH SOPH. QB KEVIN KOLB HAVING 13 STARTSAS AS A TRUE FRESHMAN AND PASSING FOR OVER 3100 YDS. WITH 25 TD'S AND ONLY 6 INT. WITH 9 STARTERS RETURNING TO A DEF. WHICH HELD RICE TO ONLY 14 POINTS LAST YR.AND ALL OF AUG. TO PREPARE FOR RICE'S WISHBONE , HOU. SHOULD CRUISE TO A 14 POINT WIN. RELIANT STADIUM IS A NEUTRAL SITE FOR THESE TWO RIVALS FROM THE CITY OF HOUSTON . HOUS. IS 10 - 4 STREIGHT UP AND 9 -5 AGAINST THE SPREAD VS RICE . HOU. WON THE LAST 2 GAMES THEY PLAYED 24 - 10 AND 48 - 14 .
 

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