NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Friday, March 13
Big 14 tournament, Chicago
Maryland won its last seven games, allowing 55 ppg in last four; Terps won their first conference tourney game three of last four years, but this is their first Big 14 tourney. Home side won both series games this year; Terps lost by 19 at Indiana Jan 22, then won by hoop at home Feb 11, game that started the Terps' win streak. Indiana is still just 3-9 in last 12 Big 14 tourney games; Hoosiers are 5-8 in their last 13 games- their win last night helped, but win here clinches them in field of 68.
Ohio State is now 16-3 in its last 19 conference tournament games; they used four starters 33+ minutes in 79-73 win last night; OSU won four of its last five games overall, but lost 59-56 at Michigan State Feb 14, with Buckeyes just 5-13 on foul line. Spartans won first conference tourney game eight of last nine years, won six of last eight games overall, with last three wins by 8 or less points. Michigan State shot just 62.4% on line in conference games, worst in league.
Atlantic 14 tournament, Brooklyn
VCU is now 19-5 in its last 24 conference tournament games, but they're struggling without injured PG/leader Weber, going 6-6 in 12 games since he got hurt, with two losses to crosstown rival Richmond; 64-55 at home Jan 31, then 67-63 in double OT on road Feb 25. Rams used three guys 29+ minutes in 63-57 struggle over Fordham last night- VCU trailed by 5 with 8:57 left. Spiders are 1-3 in conference tourney games since winning this event in 2011; they won their last six games overall.
AAC tournament, Hartford
Temple won 61-60 at Memphis Feb 7, after trailing by 16 late in the first half; Owls won despite shooting 33% for night; they were +7 turnovers (15-8). Temple is 0-3 in conference tourney games last three years, losing by 6-5-4 points. Memphis is 21-2 in its last 23 conference tourney games with both losses coming in first round games ('10/'14); Tigers lost three of last four games- their last three wins were by 3 or less points or in OT. Temple won its last three games and ten of last twelve.
Cincinnati won its first conference tourney game last five years; they've won last five games overall, all by 9+ points. Bearcats split pair of games with UConn this year, losing 62-56 at UConn Feb 10, then winning last meeting 70-58 at home Jan 29. UConn is 9-2 in its last eleven conference games, winning last three first round games; Huskies are 3-4 in last seven games, scoring 58 ppg in losing last two. Cincy is safely in field; UConn needs to win tourney to get in; they'll have home court advantage.
ACC tournament, Greensboro
Virginia got star Anderson back for 12:00 off bench, pulled away late vs Florida State; Cavaliers won 10 of their last 11 games, allowing less than 60 points in last seven. North Carolina is 15-7 in ACC tourney last nine years; they're playing third day in row, tough for Paige, who has little help in backcourt. Cavs won 75-64 in Chapel Hill Feb 2, in only meeting this season. Last three times UNC won two ACC tourney games, they lost third one, by 20-3-10 points.
Duke hasn't won this tourney since '11, but they've won last 12 games; they pounded NC State yesterday, leading by 27 at half in low-stress tilt while Notre Dame blew 18-point halftime lead to Miami and had to work hard to win by 7- four Irish starters played 36:00+. Irish won six of last seven games; they beat Duke 77-73 at home Jan 28, then got crushed in Durham, trailing by 26 at half after leading 6-0 early. Only twice in last 12 years has Notre Dame won two conference tourney tilts in same year.
Big East tournament, NYC
Villanova is 8-10 in Big East tourney last 11 years; last time Wildcats got two wins in same tourney was 2004. Villanova crushed Marquette by 35 Thursday, has won 13 games in row, is playing for #1 seed in next week's tournament. Providence won this tourney LY, is 5-2 in last seven games overall; they won true road games yesterday, holding St John's to 31% from floor, but Friars lost twice to Villanova this season- 74-68 at home Feb 11, 89-61 in Philly 13 days later.
Xavier is just 4-3 in its last seven games; they needed OT to beat Butler last night, playing three starters 34:00+.Musketeers beat Georgetown twice this season: 70-53 at home Dec 31, 66-53 on road Jan 27. Hoyas had a 20-6 edge on foul line in tough 60-55 win over Creighton last night, with three Hoyas playing 29:00+. Only one in last eight years has Xavier won more than one conference tourney game. Hoyas are 3-4 in last seven Big East tourneys; 2010 was last time they won more than one game.
Big X tournament, Kansas City
Baylor lost twice to Kansas this year, by 1 at home Jan 7, by 10 on road Feb 14; Bears lost in finals of this tourney two of last three years- they won six of last seven games overall. Baylor beat West Virginia yesterday for third time this year- hard to beat good team three times. Kansas won this tournament six of last nine years; they struggled to beat TCU by 5 yesterday, going 0-8 on arc. If Ellis plays here, thats a big difference; he didn't play yesterday- Mason/Oubre played 34+ minutes vs TCU.
Iowa State won six of last eight games after scoring last 12 points to stun Texas last night; Cyclones lost 94-83 in Norman Feb 9, then beat Sooners 77-70 at home 11 days ago, after trailing by 19 at half. Iowa St played three starters 36:00+ last night; Hoiberg said "we didn't deserve to win" after game. Oklahoma won 10 of last 12 games, but is 1-6 vs spread in last seven. Sooners lost six of last eight Big X tourney games; they had 43-23 second half last night, beating rival Oklahoma State for 3rd time.
SEC tournament, Nashville
Vanderbilt won its last five games and eight of last ten, after starting SEC play 1-7. Commodores won 73-65 in Knoxville Feb 26 (made 13-25 on arc in game they trailed by 11 at half) after losing 76-73 in OT at home to Vols Feb 11 (led by 4 with 0:15 left). Tennessee lost six of last seven, 10 of last 13 games after starting out 4-1 in league play. Vandy won first tourney game four of last five years, losing by 14 LY; Tennessee won first SEC tourney game six of last seven years.
Pac-12 tourney, MGM Las Vegas
UCLA won its last four games against stiffs, scoring 85.3 ppg, since they lost 57-47 at Arizona Feb 21, game Bruins led by three with 10:50 left in only series meeting this season. UCLA shot 40% but had one offensive rebound in game. Wildcats won last nine games, last three by 22+ points; As good as Arizona has been, they haven't won this tournament in last 12 years. UCLA won six of last seven tourney games; they won it last year. Both teams had very easy wins yesterday.
Utah lost 69-58 at Oregon Feb 22, in only meeting this year; Wright had 20 points for Utes, but no one else had more than 7 points. Utes had big 46-17 second half vs Stanford last night; they've split last six games, so they aren't playing their best. Oregon scored 59 points in second half in win vs Colorado last night; Ducks won six in row, 10 of last 11 games. Oregon won five of last six conference tourney games; Utah is 4-3 in 2nd tourney game, last seven times they won a first round game.