Author NBA Season 2023-24

[authorbytrade]

#542 LA Clippers/Minnesota over 224

 

[phokingood]

2X Totals = 4-4 50.0%. -0.8 units
Totals = 57-74-1 43.5%. -24.3 units
Sides = 13-10-1 56.5% +2.0 units
Ridiculous OVER = 8-4 66.7% +3.7 units
2X Ridiculous OVERS = 2-0 100% +4.0 units

CLV starting on 12-26-23
Totals = 33
Closing line value overs = +42.5 (8-17)
Closing line value under = +3.5 (4-4)

For 1-14-24:

Ridiculous OVER of the day:
#546 Phoenix/Portland OVER 233.5
Here we get another number that is just ludicrous. These two teams have 7 relevant meetings over the last 2 years and not a single one of those games have exceeded this posted total. Those 7 games were lined at an average of 224 and played to an average totals of just 207 in regulation. In those 7 games the under went 6-1 and the two games lined at >230 both went under by an average of 25 ppg!!! Trades, injuries, and poor drafting have made the Trailblazers, perhaps, the worst team in the league and over their last 7 games they are most assuredly playing like it. Portland has averaged just 93.9 ppg while scoring under 100 points in 6 of 7. In terms of the NBA in 2023-24 that is abysmally low. Phoenix has become one of the slowest paced teams in the league and Portland is riddled with injuries and has been terrible at home.....so lets make the total 230 and watch it get bet up to 233.5. This make no sense.

Nice find. I Missed it

 

[spiderman777]

Did you pack it in Author? You seem to still be getting line value. Looks like a lot more unders coming in now. I guess the lines got high enough and teams are occasionally playing defense.

 

[authorbytrade]

Final tally for 2023-24 NBA.

2X Totals = 4-4 50.0%. -0.8 units
Totals = 57-75-1 43.2%. -25.3 units
Sides = 13-10-1 56.5% +2.0 units
Ridiculous OVER = 9-4 69.2% +4.7 units
2X Ridiculous OVERS = 2-0 100% +4.0 units

Grand Total = minus 15.4 units

I feel like my wagers were better than the results as I consistently gained line value. I also pivoted a bit midway through and found a solid angle to play (Ridiculous OVERS) that gained positive results. I think I bet sized properly as I limited my 2 unit plays and those were more successful overall than my regular plays, albeit over a very insignificant sample size. All in all, I would say pretty good capping with poor results. That happens, I simply could not gain traction on the main portion of my capping strategy which constituted daily totals. We'll be back at it next season. Thanks to the few people who chimed in with comments and support.