Author NBA Season 2023-24

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Will test the market early. Overnights for 10-25-23

#512 Houston/Orlando over 221.5
#516 Detroit/Miami under 219.5
#520 Oklahoma City/Chicago under 227.5
 
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Decent capping, took me all of two days to suffer my first 1/2 point loss. We'll continue to be a little more aggressive early on and test the market vs our numbers. We'll tone it down significantly as the numbers tighten up.

NBA Record:

Totals = 3-2 60% +.8 units
 
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For 10-26-23:

#532 Phoenix/LA Lakers under 227

This feels really square with the both Beal and Booker being out but relying on my early season numbers for wagers.
 
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Overnights for 10-27-23

#539 OKC/Cleveland under 226.5
#540 NY Knicks/Atlanta under 230.5
#546 Houston/San Antonio over 227
 
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Got one back already with an overtime over in the Houston/San Antonio game.

Overnight for 10-28-23

#556 Chicago/Detroit under 219
#564 Philadelphia/Toronto over 216.5
 
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Totals = 8-4 67% +3.6 units

Overnights for 10-29-23

#570 Denver/Oklahoma City under 229.5
#576 Portland/Philadelphia over 218.5
#578 LA Lakers/Sacramento under 234.5
 
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OT in the Lakers game cost us a 3-0 day, took me all of 2 days to give back my OT winner.

The market didn't like any of my picks as I was able to get better lines than I bet overnight on all 3 games so I added some more prior to tip.

Totals = 10-5 67% +4.5 units

Overnights for 10-3-23

#502 Chicago/Indiana over 226
#504 Brooklyn/Charlotte under 228.5
#516 Golden St./New Orleans under 233.5
#512 Detroit/Oklahoma City under 226.5
#522 Orlando/LA Lakers under 221
 
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Nice job beating the closers on today’s games.
Thank you. The market spent a week not liking my plays, while I won. Now the market loves my plays and I have a losing day. I did take advantage of the CLV though, as I was able to get the Golden St./New Orleans game at 224 and I took a stab a middle that came through.
 
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Totals = 12-8 60% +3.2 units

Overnight for 10-31-23

#524 NY Knicks/Cleveland over 214.5 I like this regardless of Mitchell's status for the Cavs.
 
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Since it's such a light card for tomorrow and it's Halloween, thought I might put some candy on the board ahead of Wednesday's plays.

Here are my projected opening totals for games on 11-1-23.

Portland at Detroit 218.5
Milwaukee at Toronto 224
Washington at Atlanta 233.5
Indiana at Boston 228.5
Brooklyn at Miami 219
Cleveland at NY Knicks 218.5
New Orleans at Oklahoma City 228
Charlotte at Houston 227.5
Denver at Minnesota 224.5
Chicago at Dallas 229
Memphis at Utah 225.5
Sacramento at Golden St. 232.5
LA Lakers at LA Clippers 225
 
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Correctly predicted that Mitchell would play and yet minutes AFTER it was announced he was in the line got bet down to 213. Someone is way smarter than I am. The over never had a chance and the pace was ridiculously slow. On to tomorrow.

Overnights for 11-1-23

#529 Portland/Detroit over 214
#533 New Orleans/Oklahoma City over 225.5
#536 Washington/Atlanta under 238.5
#538 Cleveland/NY Knicks over 210.5
#544 Charlotte/Houston over 223
#550 Memphis/Utah under 228
 
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Thanks indy.

Adding a rare side play for me:

#546 Minnesota +2.5

Also, this feels really square but why make numbers if you're not going to use them. This number has moved up to the point where it's now playable.

#554 LA Lakers/LA Clippers under 227.5
 
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Pretty terrible day.....lots of wrong sides.

Totals = 13-15 46.4% -3.5 units
Sides = 1-0 100% +1 units

No plays for 11-2-23:
 

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