around the country saturday (and a big pick-6 carryover at hollywood, too)

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mazeltrick

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hey guys, will post my hollywood thoughts first and then continue this thread for a few hours if any of you guys are around to chat and have some good plays from across the country.

i won't be playing all of these, but will give my two cents worth.

race 1: richebourg could be stakes material as he's come into his own this year for the blistering drysdale barn. at even money or so, i'd look to play passive resistance, a five year old son of seattle slew who hasn't quite lived up to expectations in his short career. frankel is ice-cold @hollywood, but at 7/2, he's the value. i will pass this race.

race 2: six pack of 3 year old claimers, going in different directions. i will also not play this race, but if pressed would back the fave, my boy joey, despite the bad rail draw.

race 3: another short field (i'll be passing the first three races it seems) and turf time looks like the bet, though i doubt we'll get the 6/1 morning line.

race 4: the pick-6 kicks off with this inseperable group of 40k turf sprinters. i can't make heads of tails out of this race, so i'll be spreading in the p/6, but if you're going to play this race, demand a price as any one of 5 could win. my slight preference is to thunder ponche, but he's no standout @ 7/2. the whacky longshot is trish's diamond, who goes only second time turf for the very cagey peter eurton barn.

race 5: another great betting race if you have an opionion and i like big mountain who goes up the ladder for jack carava. second off the layoff, likes teh distance and has a very good win %- 12/1 on the m/l seals the deal.

race 6: red fort. another decent betting race, unless, of course, you like red fort, who ran way too good to lose last time against king of happiness. no mistakes today for nakatani. exacta partners look like sweet return and vangelis; sorry- no carazy long shots in here today.


race 7: el sevillano. i'm going to use greg's gold, too, but preference is to this argentinian bred for kitchingman, who is making a name for himself on this circuit. is he good enough off the shelf to win? dunno, but he'll be a big number on the board.

race 8: i'm glad ender's shadow scratched, b/c i didn't really like him, but i would have used him in the pick-6, so i'll side with st. averil who was overpowering versus softer last montyh. he was graded stakes material last year before he went sour, and now should be on the upswing.

race 9: republican hawk. i'm reluctant to back the favorite in this weak race, but only fire wood scares me and he, not that much. drysdale/garcia to end the day?


ok, any opinions, other than the belmont, which i won't be wagering on b/c i have no idea who fits other than afleet alex and he'll be even money.
 

mazeltrick

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going to play the opener at monmouth. the 5, shaker up looks like easy speed with cc lopez and she's 5/2 in a small field.
 
jimmyk+

jimmyk+

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gl today Mazel !!........any pick six thoughts ???
 

mazeltrick

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hey jimmy, i put all my thoughts on the card above- the first two races look wide wide open and after that, it may be chalk city.
 

mazeltrick

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going to play the 4th at monmouth #2 image.
 

mazeltrick

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image loses by half a length at 10/1, if he doesn't lug in mid stretch he win for fun. oh well, moving on to arlington 3- going to play #5 flying chance for one of my favorite jockeys, ee perez.
 

Poopanugget

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Awesome Friday Maz.

I have to leave the computer soon do you have time to share your Belmont thoughts?

Thanks

Poopanugget
 

mazeltrick

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nugget,
i've looked through the form and i'm going to pass the belmont. the track is like a conveyor belt for speed today as it's near impossible to make up ground. that means that the speed horses will be sent harder and everyone else will be asked to keep up. this frankly helps the favorite afleet alex as he has natural tracking speed. at even money, i'd watch the race. as for longshots, reverberate, the "wise guy" horse should run well and i might throw a few bucks on chekhov, who is not fast enough buy may pick up the pieces for a share of trifecta.
 

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