No I wouldnt change but I like to hear what others think. I didnt think once about it and new I was going to do this before playoffs start but my play is soley based on this years Reg season AFC/NFC performance on OVERS.. It might be stupid for me to me to play this based on reg season but I figured I would play it no matter what. wanted to see if anyone else was thinking like me thats all. Im sure people will be on under becasue of weather and other things but im not changing my wager..
No offense but seeing reasoning like this really makes my blood boil. These "trends" that have nothing to do with the teams involved (And are usually coincidental, a fact that people usually are blinded to, for some reason) on the game you're betting on won't give you ANY type of logic on the teams at hand. What does a random Bills/Saints regular season game in Week 8 going over, for example, have to do with the almighty Super Bowl between the consensus two best teams in football, the Broncos and Seahawks? Exactly, nothing.
I have the over myself, and believe it is the winning play. But to use reasoning like this? You just can't do that. Not a successful strategy at all because it's basically like you're guessing and hoping to get lucky off one fluke statistic, that actually also has nothing to do with the type of dynamic that is involved with arguably the biggest sporting event of the year, the Super Bowl. Why would someone's mindset be the same for a random regular season game compared to a playoff game, let alone the Super Bowl?? Just another reason you can't use your type of logic. If every player played in the regular season with the same type of mindset you would have in a Super Bowl, I guarantee you that coincidental AFC/NFC "trend" would absolutely be much, much different.
Hell, I'll give you one better. I'm sure there were PLENTY of people out there who were amped to bet overs in the playoffs this year because this regular season was one of the best seasons of all-time for over bets, due to all the offensive records in various departments (Points scored, passing yards, kicking, etc.). In fact, if you were to bet the over of every single game of every single week, you probably made a nice amount, as overs dominated by a considerable percentage for all 17 weeks.
But guess what happened to all those clowns who bet every over of these playoffs solely based on that? They're getting smoked, as they should be, because you don't win in gambling by going by random, coincidental trends that have nothing at all to do with the teams involved. Actually, all such morons would be 2-7-1 (Yikes), as that is the record for overs in these playoffs so far.
So again, not to sound harsh at all. The over, in my opinion, is a good bet, and something I'll be on myself, but you have to avoid using reasoning like that in the future when it has nothing whatsoever to do with the teams involved. In the long term, it's a guaranteed losing strategy. But for this particular game, at least, you're on, what I believe, will be the winning bet at the conclusion of Super Bowl Sunday.
Weather will be the deceiding factor in this total. Wind there could most certainly play a major part of this total, game too!
Way to early to even think about the weather and wind. As most know wind is the Worst on totals.
I myself hope its Awful weather as that would influence my choices in this contest. As mentioned way too early.
Way to early to even think about the weather and wind. As most know wind is the Worst on totals.
I myself hope its Awful weather as that would influence my choices in this contest. As mentioned way too early.
I know you were talking about AFC vs NFC matchups, and that's my point. Those regular season matchups have nothing to do with handicapping the over/under in the Super Bowl, especially when just about all of those inter-conference games didn't feature the Seahawks and/or Broncos.
I know it was a very high percentage (Although I don't think it was over 70-percent), but regardless, like I said, it has nothing to do with how a Seahawks/Broncos matchup will play out, especially on the biggest stage in the entire world, that being on Super Bowl Sunday. Those trends, as well as just about all, go out the window when it comes to the almighty Super Bowl because there's nothing else like it. Thus, a player's mindset will differ from that of ANY other game or situation possible, meaning there's no precedence.
Either way, GL to both of us on the over.
Im not looking to buy it back and I wont.. Just wanted to know the thoughts of others thats all.. I think the over will hit in this game just need a lil cooperation from the weather gods and mother nature.. I might be dumb for playing this just because of reg season results but im willing to take the risk.
If u like the under let us no why in this thread thats all..
