Yes there are some typos, but get over it 
Good Luck This Weekend, and NFL write ups will be posted Saturday in the NFL forum.
Friday 10/8/04
UNLV @ BYU -10.5
BYU has by far played the tougher scheduled, and yes had the better success. The Cougars played now think about this ND (isn’t as bad as LW’s scored showed), Stanford (Should’ve beat USC), USC (well they are #1), Boise State (should’ve won that one), and at Colorado State (never easy to win there). UNLV played at Tenn looked terrible, and then at Wisky (179 tot.yds.) embarrassed at home as 7 point favs vs Air Force, and won LW against Nevada. BYU I believe is the second best team in the MWC. UNLV is struggling, and against a weaker schd. averages just 4.3 YPP at 256 yds./game. The defense allows 60.8% passing which plays into BYU’s strong point. BYU has allowed just 113 yds./game rushing this year, and tat’s UNLV’s strong point. BYU wins. Cougars -10.5
Saturday 10/9/04
Texas @ Oklahoma -7 (Dallas TX.)
Does Texas finally break the hold OU has on them? Nope, Oklahoma has just too much talent they come in healthy. Texas while averaging 353 yards rushing/game will see the some old stuff from the Sooner defense. OU is allowing just 2.7 YPC this year, and have played the much tougher schd. In the Longhorns lone game away from Memorial Stadium they allowed Arkansas to get over 400 total yards while also giving it up four times. It’s very easy to say Texas should be with a loss already coming in to this contest. OU wins once again. Sooners -7.
Florida State -19.5 @ Syracuse
Seminoles take to the road for the first time since losing to start the season at Miami. The Cuse while in a big time rebuilding mode still have averaged 6.7 YPC and 427 tot.yds/game at home. While State is much better than Cinn., and Rutgers they still must deal with what’s going to be a loud crown at the Carrier Dome. They have UVA on deck, and will be starting Sexton at QB who makes his first road start. Orangemen +19.5.
Wisconsin @ Ohio State -3.5
Two strong defense going at it here. Wisconsin plays it’s second game away from home, and we’ve already seen that didn’t work well. Scoring just nine points at Arizona. The Buckeyes defense is allowing just 13.5 PPG at home at 3.7 YPP. OHST will find ways to put up a few scores, and walk away with a rebound win. Buckeyes -3.5.
Minnesota @ Michigan -4
This si the game Minnesota has had circled on their calendar. After last years melt down at home to Michigan the Gophers will be looking for some payback. However in their only lone road game they allowed 424 yards to Colorado State as four rams TO’s was the difference there. Michigan’s defense has the players to hold Minnesota in check especially on the grass. The Wolves offense averages 30 PPG, and is capable of moving the ball against the porous Gopher defense. Wolverines -4.
Indiana @ Northwestern -10.5
Do the Wildcats have a let down spot? They can’t afford one with a 2-3 record, and a tough four game stretch forthcoming. Indiana is allowing 5 ypc, 6.3 ypp, and 456 tot.yds/game. NW averages 430 yds/game, and 4.6 ypc. They have the talent to use the Hoosiers bad here. The Hoosiers offense even though averaging 27 PPG averages just 283 yds/game. Wildcats -10.5.
Illinois @ Michigan State -7
The Illini offense didn’t show up LW, but look for a rebound this week against a Michigan State team allowing 23 PPG. State is scoring just 24 PPG, and has owned this series. Still this team isn’t ready to lay a TD in conference play. Illini +7
Texas A&M -8.5 @ Iowa State
It’s going to be interesting to see if the Aggies can perform on the road like they did at home winning easily against Wyoming, Clemson, and Kansas State. The lone road game opened the season with a butt whipping at Utah. IOST was ripped LW by OKST (a 3* service play), and is in a must win situation. A&M is averaging 6.5 YPP on offense, and the Cyclones average 4.3 YPP. The Aggies take the next step forward in the rebuilding process w/a conference road win. Aggies -8.5.
Pittsburgh -13 @ Temple
Whew this yes believe it or not a tough won. Neither team deserves to be a favorite in this contest. The owls are always good for one good per year. This will be their chance to win one here. Pitt has too many banged up players. Owls +13.5.
Cincinnati -14.5 @ Army
Army just missed a win LW losing 17-21. However they still allowed over 400 total yards. The Cadets are allowing 6.8 YPP, and 531 tot.yds/game. The Bearcats should be able to exploit this, and roll with a road win as Army gets caught wonder what if. Bearcats -14.5.
Bowling Green -14 @ Central Michigan
In LW"s report I had BG winning easily, and CMU covering against Kent. Both proved me right, and as much as I love the Falcons as a team they’re in a huge let down mode after scoring 70 on the road at Temple. The Chippewas have a mature team, and the weapons to pull a surprise or two in this conference. Getting outscored by just 3 PPG averaging 21 PPG. Getting 14 at home is just a little much. Chippewas +14.
NC State -11 @ UNC
State is off to close wins at Va Tech, and at home verses Wake Forest. Now take on a UNC team that has been a pest some weeks, and a weakling others. Beating Georgia Tech at home ten getting shutout at home to Louisville, and LW covered the number at Florida State. This week it looks more like the Louisville game. The Wolfpack was ripped in the first half LW by Wake Forest allowing them to build a 14-0 HT lead before losing 27-21 in OT. The Pack’s defense is as solid as it gets in the ACC. Allowing just 3 YPP, and 190 tot. yds./game. The Pack will get a lift offensively facing a Tarheel defense allowing 35 PPG, 6.5 YPP, and 5.6 YPC. McLendon should have a FILED day. Wolfpack -11.
Kansas State -2.5 @ Kansas
The Jayhawks haven’t won SU in this series since 1992, and now the time is ripe to snap this losing streak. KU just barely lost at Nebraska LW, and is playing defense well allowing 16 PPG. KST has to be reeling with a 2-2 record allowing 30 PPG on defense. They really don’t deserve to be a road conference favorite no matter how well they’ve won in the past here. Jayhawks +2.5.
Tulane @ East Carolina -3.5
Not much to say here except both are rebuilding, and battling to stay ahead of Army for last place in Conference USA. ECU is getting 4.7 YPP playing a much tougher schd. Than that of Tulane who averages 5.2 YPP. ECU at home will be better prepared coming in and should win this one. Pirates -3.5.
Marshall -9 @ Ohio
The Bobcats have been fortunate in their two game winning streak ATS with 10 TO’s 5 each from Buffalo and Kentucky. Marshall doesn’t give it up, and has a defense than can shut a rebuilding Ohio team down as they try to go from a wishbone LY to a passing team this year. Thundering Herd -9.
Kent State @ Miami Ohio -18
I’ve been on the right side of every Kent game this year ATS wise. Miami Ohio is far to talented to let LW’s loss get them down. Kent’s lost LW could be the final straw for the season. They average 297 total yards/game, and allowed 30 PPG in their two road games. Miami is winning by over 30 PPG at home, and has taken on the tougher schd. To date between the two schools. Redhawks -18.
New Mexico @ Air Force -3
Both come in at 2-3, and both run the ball a lot. AF is averaging 5.4 ypp, and 414 total yds/games. NM averages 4.3 ypp at 283 yds/game. With home field advantage the Falcons should get it done here. Falcons -3.
Louisiana Tech @ Auburn -26
Both come in off huge wins against top 25 teams. Auburn’s was on the road at Tennessee while La Tech won at home as 14 point dogs to Fresno. Both were service plays from winning selections a 4* and 3*. La Tech didn’t come close to covering as DD dogs against Miami and Tennessee, and the only thing to gain against Auburn is more experience before going for the WAC crown. Auburn’s defense gets them through this lull, and covers the number. Tigers -26.
Stanford @ Notre Dame -4.5
One of the most misleading scores of the year was ND’s loss to Purdue. The Irish gained over 500 yards, and were beaten by one blotched play after another. They’ll be ready here you can bet as they take on a Pac 10 team whose conference isn’t known for very good defense. Irish prove a point here. Irish - 4.5.
UAB -11.5 @ Mississippi State
Wow what a line a Conf. USA team favored by DD on the road at an SEC school. UAB is the real deal this year, and the Bulldogs have shown very little. The Blazers should be focused playing an SEC team they can beat, and won’t have any look a heads here. Blazers -11.5.
Oklahoma State -7 @ Colorado
Once again CU gets little respect because of the off the field problems. OKST while has put up some gaudy number still isn’t worth almost a TD favorite on the road in conference play. Colorado is scoring 27 PPG against a tougher schd. Than what OKST has played to this point. The Cowboys are scoring 41 PPG, but did give up over 400 total yards to UCLA in their lone road game this year. CU is a tough place to win much less winning as a favorite. Buffaloes +7.
Eastern Michigan @ Ball State -7.5
Both teams give up nearly 40 PPG so far this year. EMU is at least averaging 29 PPG overall and 416 tot. yds./game. The Cardinal has scored over 14 just once this year. Too much fire power for EMU to be getting a TD here. Hurons +7.5.
San Diego State -3.5 @ Wyoming
Wyoming has enjoyed their stay at home this year scoring 40 PPG at 457 yds./game. Overall the Cowboys are getting 5.2 YPP which isn’t that bad. SDST is getting 5.4 YPP but scoring just 24 PPG. The Cowboys have the better momentum coming into this one. Cowboys +3.5.
Tennessee @ Georgia -13
Dog players will love Tennessee here as they feel the Vols will bounce back well. Actually the line is too high, and thus the play on Georgia. The Bulldogs hit their stride LW, and Tennessee’s freshmen QB’s won’t know what hit them when taking on this very tough defense, and plus their first road game of the year. Auburn gave the blueprint out on how to beat Tennessee. Bulldogs -13.
LSU @ Florida -3
LSU finally let the fact that they lost so much from LY’s team catch up with them LW. The Tigers come in at 3-2, and face a gator team off a much needed win. Yes Fla is 3-1, but the way they dismantled Arkansas had to be uplifting. The take on a flat LSU team that realizes this is not going to be the repeat year they had hoped for. Florida is scoring 35 PPG to LSU’s 30 PPG. However the Tigers are getting just 12 PPG on the road. Namely against Auburn and Georgia. Florida was the only team to beat LSU LY, and that has to have them budding with confidence as the oddsmakers still respect LSU a bit too much. Gators -3.
Arizona @ UCLA -11
Most will remember me touting Arizona to play tough at home as dogs, and they did with a 2-1 ATS mark, and out gained Utah in the lone ATS loss. However this young bunch must take to the road for the first time against a Bruins team that is just ripping it up scoring 31 PPG on 6.7 YPP. They do have Cal on deck, but forget about it as Arizona just doesn’t have the experience just yet to hang on the road in the PAC 10. While at home they averaged just 13 PPg, and 271 total yards/game. Bruins -11.
California @ USC -7
Many will perceive this will be the week that USC goes down. Nope, the Trojans defense is just that good, and with a week to get ready forget about it. The seven will be very inviting for the betting public since cal has rolled the score up in every game, but USC averages 36 PPG at 6.6 YPP. Cal has faced some very weak competition to roll the scores up on, and this week they get a little handed back to them. Trojans -7.
San Jose State @ Washington -18
Folks went to the SJST football game LW, and basketball game broke out as the Spartans 70-63 as 15 point dogs. The Spartans however just aren’t getting it done on the road averaging 8 PPG on just 270 total yds./game. Washington should score an abundance against a defense allowing 42 PPG, and 5.2 YPC. It’s time for the Huskies to take some anger out here. Huskies -18.
Virginia Tech -5.5 @ Wake Forest
Line looks kind of high to me as the Hokies play their first ACC road game against a confusing and tough misdirection offense from Wake Forest. It’ll be interesting to see how will the Hokies respond off the big win over WVA. LY after they beat then undefeated Miami which at that point Tech had just one loss they didn’t win but one more game, and that was an OT win vs. Temple. They know this, and will be focused in this one. Still though this Demon Deacon team is a feisty one, and will probably be a dangerous home dog here. Demon Deacons +5.5.
Georgia Tech @ Maryland -11.5
Tech was shut down LW, and now must travel to tough Maryland. The Jackets youth is starting to show through and Maryland HC with a week to prepare will show little mercy here. Ga Tech is allowing 5.1 YPC this year, and is coring just 18 PPG. While the Terps are averaging 34 PPG, at 5.9 YPP. These last two losses will be too much to overcome by the Young Yellow Jackets. Terrapins -11.5.
Purdue -11 @ Penn State
Penn State comes back home, and that may be a good thing because it’s where their playing by far their best ball this year. Going 0-3 on the road to BC, Wisky, and Minnesota. LW they showed some heart, and almost pulled it off thanks to the defense. The Lions defense will have to be in full form when taking on the Boilermakers. All they’ve done is score 47 PPG on 7.5 ypp this year. Still though giving Joe Pa 10 plus at home may not be a good betting thing to do. First win at ND since the begging of TV or something, and they have Wisconsin on deck, and that looks like a let down to me. Nittany Lions +11.
Oregon @ Washington State -3.5
These are two struggling offenses here. Washington St. Has had a week to prepare, and also has the better defense allowing 270 total yds./game this year. Compared to the Ducks who have given up 99 points in four games this year. I’ll take the home team by default here. Cougars -3.5.
Northern Illinois -18 @ Central Florida
Laying 18 on the road with a defense like UNI has is not a good thing. Even if it is against lowly UCF. The Golden Knights did score 20 over WVA in their lone home game this year, and that’s enough for me to take the eighteen here. UNI has allowed 35 PPG on the road so far this season. Knights +18.
Buffalo @ Akron -9.5
Both teams allow over 30 PPG, and Akron averages 7 points lee/game than do the Bulls. It’s never a wise long term profit laying 10 with Akron or taking Buffalo no matter what the line. With the Bulls off a 20 plus point win I’ll ride their momentum. Bulls +9.5.
Rutgers @ Vanderbilt -6
Rutgers was the victim in LW’s loss to Syracuse. However they appear to match up tic for tack against Vandy. Both are getting 4.8 YPP, and both defenses allow 5.2 and 5.3 YPP. Rutgers is actually scoring 4 more PPG over than that of Vanderbilt. While on defense the Commodores are allowing 3 PPG less than the Knights. So I’ll take the six here in what should be a close one. Scarlet Knights +6.
Nebraska @ Texas Tech -7
Interesting line here as Texas Tech has no business in the public’s eye being favored 7 over a good defensive team like Nebraska. The Red raiders can get it done offensively, and is actually playing just their second home game this year. Even with four of their first five games on the road they’re averaging 33 PPG. The home crowd should be pumped up here. Nebraska is still trying to learn the vertical game. Results have been mix with the Cornhuskers averaging 24 PPG, and reversed from TT’s situation is playing just their 2<SUP>nd</SUP> road game of the season. In the lone game at a weak Pittsburgh they still only averaged 265 total yards in that game. It may be an awakening to Big Red fans just how much Nebraska has to grow after this game is played. Red Raiders -7.
Missouri -20 @ Baylor
Missouri can easily beat this line. However they’ve IMO have underachieved this year. Baylor well is just Baylor, and do have the fact that they are averaging 22 PPG which is better than LY’s numbers. They are at home, and Missouri has Texas on deck so what the heck. Bears +20.
Toledo -14 @ Western Michigan
Toledo has to be licking their chomps offensively as the face a Broncos team giving up 44 PPg at 6.1 YPP. The Rockets are averaging 6.7 YPP, and 34 PPG. The Toledo defense is shaky though, and may be a welcome sight for WMU who is averaging 13 PPG. However they’re playing their first home game of the season, and with a week to prepare could make things tough on UT. They’re giving up 37 PPG at 6.1 YPP. Two big of a number for a weak defensive team to be laying in conference road play. Broncos +14.
Alabama -5 @ Kentucky
Both programs going backwards. Alabama’s is by default as the loss of the starting QB has left the team with a big vacancy. Kentucky just can’t seem to beat anyone much less score an abundant of points. However they’re at home, and the Tide seems to really be reeling when looking at the last two scores without Brodie. Wildcats +5.
Mississippi @ South Carolina -17
The Rebels are having trouble putting points on the board this year, and the SC defense isn’t a team they want to face. The Gamecocks are holding teams to 4.4 YPP, 7 PPG, and 256 tot. yds./game. Ole Miss has yet to win ATS, and just like I’ve said when beating against a team on a winning streak "You can only win once betting against a streak, and wind up losing many times". This si the case here with the Rebels. Gamecocks -17.
SMU @ Rice -13.5
Rice was on the losing end of the basketball err I mean football game LW 70-63. Both teams lack much of a defense with SMU allowing 36 PPG and the owls giving up 36 PPG so far this year. SMU is playing better offensively the last two weeks with 36 points against SJST, and 20 points and cover win at Boise State. Thus they have momentum on their side, and will cover this number here. Mustangs +13.5.
UTEP @ Fresno State -19
UTEP could be the WAC’s version of the 2003 Tulsa team. The Miners have found new life under Price, and look pretty competitive. Fresno has to be down in the dumps dropping LW’s game at La Tech, and that tends to leave a team in limbo the following week. The Bulldogs were thinking not only a WAC title but an undefeated season only to have them dashed in the Conference opener against a tough Tech team. However the bubble has been popped a little and this is a lull for them. UTEP played Boise tough through three quarters, and is off a dominating shutout win over NMST. Price will have them ready for the Bulldogs in my opinion. With a MOV of +7 for the Miners this team is already strides ahead of last years. Miners +19.
Nevada @ Hawaii -18
Hawaii wins one game and the oddsmakers want to make them big DD favs with only one win to their credit. Nevada is losing by 23 PPG away from home, but this team is rebuilding. Plus the Pack is scoring 28 PPG this year, and should have some success offensively here. Wolfpack +18.
Arkansas State @ Middle Tennessee State -6.5
Interesting line as the Blue Raiders have under achieved all season while the Indians of Arkansas State have come close to winning against Memphis and Mississippi. Plus they already won SU as conference road dogs at UL Monroe. Something looks fishy here, and I won’t bite. Blue Raiders -6.5.
UL Monroe -1.5 @ Idaho
UL Monroe has no business being a winless road favorite in conference play. Idaho is off a big win at Eastern Michigan 45-41. Two long road trips in as many weeks for the Indians off a trip to lonely Wyoming and them back to Idaho. For a winless team it’s too much to ask for a SU win here let alone a cover. Vandals +1.5.
North Texas -1.5 @ Utah State
UNT just hasn’t shown up away from home this year getting beaten up 35-154. Utah State since entering league play should show their defensive side of the ball. The offense is less than spectacular as we said it would be this year. However we still have UNT’s 154 allowed on the road this year. So look for UTST to come through here. Aggies +1.5.
Louisiana Lafayette -3 @ New Mexico State
I’m taking NMST here. What you say LOL!! This is one the rare occasions that the Aggies actually have a good chance of winning. First they’ve already beaten Troy State here at home, and that gives them a big edge here alone. Yes they were squashed by NM and UTEP, but this Lafayette team is playing it’s forth road game in five weeks with one more remaining at Idaho. While HC Ricky Bustle (former Va Tech O-Coordinator) is doing a fine job here this travel schedule will catch up to them here. Aggies +3.
Good Luck This Weekend, and NFL write ups will be posted Saturday in the NFL forum.
Friday 10/8/04
UNLV @ BYU -10.5
BYU has by far played the tougher scheduled, and yes had the better success. The Cougars played now think about this ND (isn’t as bad as LW’s scored showed), Stanford (Should’ve beat USC), USC (well they are #1), Boise State (should’ve won that one), and at Colorado State (never easy to win there). UNLV played at Tenn looked terrible, and then at Wisky (179 tot.yds.) embarrassed at home as 7 point favs vs Air Force, and won LW against Nevada. BYU I believe is the second best team in the MWC. UNLV is struggling, and against a weaker schd. averages just 4.3 YPP at 256 yds./game. The defense allows 60.8% passing which plays into BYU’s strong point. BYU has allowed just 113 yds./game rushing this year, and tat’s UNLV’s strong point. BYU wins. Cougars -10.5
Saturday 10/9/04
Texas @ Oklahoma -7 (Dallas TX.)
Does Texas finally break the hold OU has on them? Nope, Oklahoma has just too much talent they come in healthy. Texas while averaging 353 yards rushing/game will see the some old stuff from the Sooner defense. OU is allowing just 2.7 YPC this year, and have played the much tougher schd. In the Longhorns lone game away from Memorial Stadium they allowed Arkansas to get over 400 total yards while also giving it up four times. It’s very easy to say Texas should be with a loss already coming in to this contest. OU wins once again. Sooners -7.
Florida State -19.5 @ Syracuse
Seminoles take to the road for the first time since losing to start the season at Miami. The Cuse while in a big time rebuilding mode still have averaged 6.7 YPC and 427 tot.yds/game at home. While State is much better than Cinn., and Rutgers they still must deal with what’s going to be a loud crown at the Carrier Dome. They have UVA on deck, and will be starting Sexton at QB who makes his first road start. Orangemen +19.5.
Wisconsin @ Ohio State -3.5
Two strong defense going at it here. Wisconsin plays it’s second game away from home, and we’ve already seen that didn’t work well. Scoring just nine points at Arizona. The Buckeyes defense is allowing just 13.5 PPG at home at 3.7 YPP. OHST will find ways to put up a few scores, and walk away with a rebound win. Buckeyes -3.5.
Minnesota @ Michigan -4
This si the game Minnesota has had circled on their calendar. After last years melt down at home to Michigan the Gophers will be looking for some payback. However in their only lone road game they allowed 424 yards to Colorado State as four rams TO’s was the difference there. Michigan’s defense has the players to hold Minnesota in check especially on the grass. The Wolves offense averages 30 PPG, and is capable of moving the ball against the porous Gopher defense. Wolverines -4.
Indiana @ Northwestern -10.5
Do the Wildcats have a let down spot? They can’t afford one with a 2-3 record, and a tough four game stretch forthcoming. Indiana is allowing 5 ypc, 6.3 ypp, and 456 tot.yds/game. NW averages 430 yds/game, and 4.6 ypc. They have the talent to use the Hoosiers bad here. The Hoosiers offense even though averaging 27 PPG averages just 283 yds/game. Wildcats -10.5.
Illinois @ Michigan State -7
The Illini offense didn’t show up LW, but look for a rebound this week against a Michigan State team allowing 23 PPG. State is scoring just 24 PPG, and has owned this series. Still this team isn’t ready to lay a TD in conference play. Illini +7
Texas A&M -8.5 @ Iowa State
It’s going to be interesting to see if the Aggies can perform on the road like they did at home winning easily against Wyoming, Clemson, and Kansas State. The lone road game opened the season with a butt whipping at Utah. IOST was ripped LW by OKST (a 3* service play), and is in a must win situation. A&M is averaging 6.5 YPP on offense, and the Cyclones average 4.3 YPP. The Aggies take the next step forward in the rebuilding process w/a conference road win. Aggies -8.5.
Pittsburgh -13 @ Temple
Whew this yes believe it or not a tough won. Neither team deserves to be a favorite in this contest. The owls are always good for one good per year. This will be their chance to win one here. Pitt has too many banged up players. Owls +13.5.
Cincinnati -14.5 @ Army
Army just missed a win LW losing 17-21. However they still allowed over 400 total yards. The Cadets are allowing 6.8 YPP, and 531 tot.yds/game. The Bearcats should be able to exploit this, and roll with a road win as Army gets caught wonder what if. Bearcats -14.5.
Bowling Green -14 @ Central Michigan
In LW"s report I had BG winning easily, and CMU covering against Kent. Both proved me right, and as much as I love the Falcons as a team they’re in a huge let down mode after scoring 70 on the road at Temple. The Chippewas have a mature team, and the weapons to pull a surprise or two in this conference. Getting outscored by just 3 PPG averaging 21 PPG. Getting 14 at home is just a little much. Chippewas +14.
NC State -11 @ UNC
State is off to close wins at Va Tech, and at home verses Wake Forest. Now take on a UNC team that has been a pest some weeks, and a weakling others. Beating Georgia Tech at home ten getting shutout at home to Louisville, and LW covered the number at Florida State. This week it looks more like the Louisville game. The Wolfpack was ripped in the first half LW by Wake Forest allowing them to build a 14-0 HT lead before losing 27-21 in OT. The Pack’s defense is as solid as it gets in the ACC. Allowing just 3 YPP, and 190 tot. yds./game. The Pack will get a lift offensively facing a Tarheel defense allowing 35 PPG, 6.5 YPP, and 5.6 YPC. McLendon should have a FILED day. Wolfpack -11.
Kansas State -2.5 @ Kansas
The Jayhawks haven’t won SU in this series since 1992, and now the time is ripe to snap this losing streak. KU just barely lost at Nebraska LW, and is playing defense well allowing 16 PPG. KST has to be reeling with a 2-2 record allowing 30 PPG on defense. They really don’t deserve to be a road conference favorite no matter how well they’ve won in the past here. Jayhawks +2.5.
Tulane @ East Carolina -3.5
Not much to say here except both are rebuilding, and battling to stay ahead of Army for last place in Conference USA. ECU is getting 4.7 YPP playing a much tougher schd. Than that of Tulane who averages 5.2 YPP. ECU at home will be better prepared coming in and should win this one. Pirates -3.5.
Marshall -9 @ Ohio
The Bobcats have been fortunate in their two game winning streak ATS with 10 TO’s 5 each from Buffalo and Kentucky. Marshall doesn’t give it up, and has a defense than can shut a rebuilding Ohio team down as they try to go from a wishbone LY to a passing team this year. Thundering Herd -9.
Kent State @ Miami Ohio -18
I’ve been on the right side of every Kent game this year ATS wise. Miami Ohio is far to talented to let LW’s loss get them down. Kent’s lost LW could be the final straw for the season. They average 297 total yards/game, and allowed 30 PPG in their two road games. Miami is winning by over 30 PPG at home, and has taken on the tougher schd. To date between the two schools. Redhawks -18.
New Mexico @ Air Force -3
Both come in at 2-3, and both run the ball a lot. AF is averaging 5.4 ypp, and 414 total yds/games. NM averages 4.3 ypp at 283 yds/game. With home field advantage the Falcons should get it done here. Falcons -3.
Louisiana Tech @ Auburn -26
Both come in off huge wins against top 25 teams. Auburn’s was on the road at Tennessee while La Tech won at home as 14 point dogs to Fresno. Both were service plays from winning selections a 4* and 3*. La Tech didn’t come close to covering as DD dogs against Miami and Tennessee, and the only thing to gain against Auburn is more experience before going for the WAC crown. Auburn’s defense gets them through this lull, and covers the number. Tigers -26.
Stanford @ Notre Dame -4.5
One of the most misleading scores of the year was ND’s loss to Purdue. The Irish gained over 500 yards, and were beaten by one blotched play after another. They’ll be ready here you can bet as they take on a Pac 10 team whose conference isn’t known for very good defense. Irish prove a point here. Irish - 4.5.
UAB -11.5 @ Mississippi State
Wow what a line a Conf. USA team favored by DD on the road at an SEC school. UAB is the real deal this year, and the Bulldogs have shown very little. The Blazers should be focused playing an SEC team they can beat, and won’t have any look a heads here. Blazers -11.5.
Oklahoma State -7 @ Colorado
Once again CU gets little respect because of the off the field problems. OKST while has put up some gaudy number still isn’t worth almost a TD favorite on the road in conference play. Colorado is scoring 27 PPG against a tougher schd. Than what OKST has played to this point. The Cowboys are scoring 41 PPG, but did give up over 400 total yards to UCLA in their lone road game this year. CU is a tough place to win much less winning as a favorite. Buffaloes +7.
Eastern Michigan @ Ball State -7.5
Both teams give up nearly 40 PPG so far this year. EMU is at least averaging 29 PPG overall and 416 tot. yds./game. The Cardinal has scored over 14 just once this year. Too much fire power for EMU to be getting a TD here. Hurons +7.5.
San Diego State -3.5 @ Wyoming
Wyoming has enjoyed their stay at home this year scoring 40 PPG at 457 yds./game. Overall the Cowboys are getting 5.2 YPP which isn’t that bad. SDST is getting 5.4 YPP but scoring just 24 PPG. The Cowboys have the better momentum coming into this one. Cowboys +3.5.
Tennessee @ Georgia -13
Dog players will love Tennessee here as they feel the Vols will bounce back well. Actually the line is too high, and thus the play on Georgia. The Bulldogs hit their stride LW, and Tennessee’s freshmen QB’s won’t know what hit them when taking on this very tough defense, and plus their first road game of the year. Auburn gave the blueprint out on how to beat Tennessee. Bulldogs -13.
LSU @ Florida -3
LSU finally let the fact that they lost so much from LY’s team catch up with them LW. The Tigers come in at 3-2, and face a gator team off a much needed win. Yes Fla is 3-1, but the way they dismantled Arkansas had to be uplifting. The take on a flat LSU team that realizes this is not going to be the repeat year they had hoped for. Florida is scoring 35 PPG to LSU’s 30 PPG. However the Tigers are getting just 12 PPG on the road. Namely against Auburn and Georgia. Florida was the only team to beat LSU LY, and that has to have them budding with confidence as the oddsmakers still respect LSU a bit too much. Gators -3.
Arizona @ UCLA -11
Most will remember me touting Arizona to play tough at home as dogs, and they did with a 2-1 ATS mark, and out gained Utah in the lone ATS loss. However this young bunch must take to the road for the first time against a Bruins team that is just ripping it up scoring 31 PPG on 6.7 YPP. They do have Cal on deck, but forget about it as Arizona just doesn’t have the experience just yet to hang on the road in the PAC 10. While at home they averaged just 13 PPg, and 271 total yards/game. Bruins -11.
California @ USC -7
Many will perceive this will be the week that USC goes down. Nope, the Trojans defense is just that good, and with a week to get ready forget about it. The seven will be very inviting for the betting public since cal has rolled the score up in every game, but USC averages 36 PPG at 6.6 YPP. Cal has faced some very weak competition to roll the scores up on, and this week they get a little handed back to them. Trojans -7.
San Jose State @ Washington -18
Folks went to the SJST football game LW, and basketball game broke out as the Spartans 70-63 as 15 point dogs. The Spartans however just aren’t getting it done on the road averaging 8 PPG on just 270 total yds./game. Washington should score an abundance against a defense allowing 42 PPG, and 5.2 YPC. It’s time for the Huskies to take some anger out here. Huskies -18.
Virginia Tech -5.5 @ Wake Forest
Line looks kind of high to me as the Hokies play their first ACC road game against a confusing and tough misdirection offense from Wake Forest. It’ll be interesting to see how will the Hokies respond off the big win over WVA. LY after they beat then undefeated Miami which at that point Tech had just one loss they didn’t win but one more game, and that was an OT win vs. Temple. They know this, and will be focused in this one. Still though this Demon Deacon team is a feisty one, and will probably be a dangerous home dog here. Demon Deacons +5.5.
Georgia Tech @ Maryland -11.5
Tech was shut down LW, and now must travel to tough Maryland. The Jackets youth is starting to show through and Maryland HC with a week to prepare will show little mercy here. Ga Tech is allowing 5.1 YPC this year, and is coring just 18 PPG. While the Terps are averaging 34 PPG, at 5.9 YPP. These last two losses will be too much to overcome by the Young Yellow Jackets. Terrapins -11.5.
Purdue -11 @ Penn State
Penn State comes back home, and that may be a good thing because it’s where their playing by far their best ball this year. Going 0-3 on the road to BC, Wisky, and Minnesota. LW they showed some heart, and almost pulled it off thanks to the defense. The Lions defense will have to be in full form when taking on the Boilermakers. All they’ve done is score 47 PPG on 7.5 ypp this year. Still though giving Joe Pa 10 plus at home may not be a good betting thing to do. First win at ND since the begging of TV or something, and they have Wisconsin on deck, and that looks like a let down to me. Nittany Lions +11.
Oregon @ Washington State -3.5
These are two struggling offenses here. Washington St. Has had a week to prepare, and also has the better defense allowing 270 total yds./game this year. Compared to the Ducks who have given up 99 points in four games this year. I’ll take the home team by default here. Cougars -3.5.
Northern Illinois -18 @ Central Florida
Laying 18 on the road with a defense like UNI has is not a good thing. Even if it is against lowly UCF. The Golden Knights did score 20 over WVA in their lone home game this year, and that’s enough for me to take the eighteen here. UNI has allowed 35 PPG on the road so far this season. Knights +18.
Buffalo @ Akron -9.5
Both teams allow over 30 PPG, and Akron averages 7 points lee/game than do the Bulls. It’s never a wise long term profit laying 10 with Akron or taking Buffalo no matter what the line. With the Bulls off a 20 plus point win I’ll ride their momentum. Bulls +9.5.
Rutgers @ Vanderbilt -6
Rutgers was the victim in LW’s loss to Syracuse. However they appear to match up tic for tack against Vandy. Both are getting 4.8 YPP, and both defenses allow 5.2 and 5.3 YPP. Rutgers is actually scoring 4 more PPG over than that of Vanderbilt. While on defense the Commodores are allowing 3 PPG less than the Knights. So I’ll take the six here in what should be a close one. Scarlet Knights +6.
Nebraska @ Texas Tech -7
Interesting line here as Texas Tech has no business in the public’s eye being favored 7 over a good defensive team like Nebraska. The Red raiders can get it done offensively, and is actually playing just their second home game this year. Even with four of their first five games on the road they’re averaging 33 PPG. The home crowd should be pumped up here. Nebraska is still trying to learn the vertical game. Results have been mix with the Cornhuskers averaging 24 PPG, and reversed from TT’s situation is playing just their 2<SUP>nd</SUP> road game of the season. In the lone game at a weak Pittsburgh they still only averaged 265 total yards in that game. It may be an awakening to Big Red fans just how much Nebraska has to grow after this game is played. Red Raiders -7.
Missouri -20 @ Baylor
Missouri can easily beat this line. However they’ve IMO have underachieved this year. Baylor well is just Baylor, and do have the fact that they are averaging 22 PPG which is better than LY’s numbers. They are at home, and Missouri has Texas on deck so what the heck. Bears +20.
Toledo -14 @ Western Michigan
Toledo has to be licking their chomps offensively as the face a Broncos team giving up 44 PPg at 6.1 YPP. The Rockets are averaging 6.7 YPP, and 34 PPG. The Toledo defense is shaky though, and may be a welcome sight for WMU who is averaging 13 PPG. However they’re playing their first home game of the season, and with a week to prepare could make things tough on UT. They’re giving up 37 PPG at 6.1 YPP. Two big of a number for a weak defensive team to be laying in conference road play. Broncos +14.
Alabama -5 @ Kentucky
Both programs going backwards. Alabama’s is by default as the loss of the starting QB has left the team with a big vacancy. Kentucky just can’t seem to beat anyone much less score an abundant of points. However they’re at home, and the Tide seems to really be reeling when looking at the last two scores without Brodie. Wildcats +5.
Mississippi @ South Carolina -17
The Rebels are having trouble putting points on the board this year, and the SC defense isn’t a team they want to face. The Gamecocks are holding teams to 4.4 YPP, 7 PPG, and 256 tot. yds./game. Ole Miss has yet to win ATS, and just like I’ve said when beating against a team on a winning streak "You can only win once betting against a streak, and wind up losing many times". This si the case here with the Rebels. Gamecocks -17.
SMU @ Rice -13.5
Rice was on the losing end of the basketball err I mean football game LW 70-63. Both teams lack much of a defense with SMU allowing 36 PPG and the owls giving up 36 PPG so far this year. SMU is playing better offensively the last two weeks with 36 points against SJST, and 20 points and cover win at Boise State. Thus they have momentum on their side, and will cover this number here. Mustangs +13.5.
UTEP @ Fresno State -19
UTEP could be the WAC’s version of the 2003 Tulsa team. The Miners have found new life under Price, and look pretty competitive. Fresno has to be down in the dumps dropping LW’s game at La Tech, and that tends to leave a team in limbo the following week. The Bulldogs were thinking not only a WAC title but an undefeated season only to have them dashed in the Conference opener against a tough Tech team. However the bubble has been popped a little and this is a lull for them. UTEP played Boise tough through three quarters, and is off a dominating shutout win over NMST. Price will have them ready for the Bulldogs in my opinion. With a MOV of +7 for the Miners this team is already strides ahead of last years. Miners +19.
Nevada @ Hawaii -18
Hawaii wins one game and the oddsmakers want to make them big DD favs with only one win to their credit. Nevada is losing by 23 PPG away from home, but this team is rebuilding. Plus the Pack is scoring 28 PPG this year, and should have some success offensively here. Wolfpack +18.
Arkansas State @ Middle Tennessee State -6.5
Interesting line as the Blue Raiders have under achieved all season while the Indians of Arkansas State have come close to winning against Memphis and Mississippi. Plus they already won SU as conference road dogs at UL Monroe. Something looks fishy here, and I won’t bite. Blue Raiders -6.5.
UL Monroe -1.5 @ Idaho
UL Monroe has no business being a winless road favorite in conference play. Idaho is off a big win at Eastern Michigan 45-41. Two long road trips in as many weeks for the Indians off a trip to lonely Wyoming and them back to Idaho. For a winless team it’s too much to ask for a SU win here let alone a cover. Vandals +1.5.
North Texas -1.5 @ Utah State
UNT just hasn’t shown up away from home this year getting beaten up 35-154. Utah State since entering league play should show their defensive side of the ball. The offense is less than spectacular as we said it would be this year. However we still have UNT’s 154 allowed on the road this year. So look for UTST to come through here. Aggies +1.5.
Louisiana Lafayette -3 @ New Mexico State
I’m taking NMST here. What you say LOL!! This is one the rare occasions that the Aggies actually have a good chance of winning. First they’ve already beaten Troy State here at home, and that gives them a big edge here alone. Yes they were squashed by NM and UTEP, but this Lafayette team is playing it’s forth road game in five weeks with one more remaining at Idaho. While HC Ricky Bustle (former Va Tech O-Coordinator) is doing a fine job here this travel schedule will catch up to them here. Aggies +3.
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