Almly's AFC title pick . 7-0 (documented) in playoffs.

[almly]

I'm rating my plays on a 1-4 scale with 4 being the highest. Feel free to check my previous posts to verify my record. Both of these plays I am rating as a 3 star plays if you will.

Ind + 3.5 vs Pats
I think Indy has the better team and has too much firepower for the Pats. However, the Pats keep getting it done. They have the best coach in the NFL and play great together. I think they will be able to move the ball and put up some points on Indy however, I think Indy's offense will break them down in the end. The talent level and the caliber of players seriously favors the Colts in this. They have the momentum and I think they bring the Pats streak to an end here. My only mild concern is how Indy will be able to play in real cold weather (moving the ball offensively) if its freezing in Mass next week.


Indy vs Pats over 43.5
I really expect both teams to be able to move the ball well and put some points up against each other. New Englands defense is solid but Indys offense and Mannings generalship is running on all cylinders. On the flip side the Pats probably wont run the hell out of the ball which means alot of throwing and not alot of time being eaten off the clock. Indy's defense is not great by any means and the Pats should be able to score on them. This should definietly go over. Once again, my only mild concern is the weather for next week.

 

[almly]

Adding a 4 star play.

Carolina +5 (although I will search for a +6).
In my opinion Carolina is by far a better all around team and should roll in this. My only mild concern once again is I dont know how Carolina plays in cold weather. Hopefully the weather next week is similiar as to what it was today. I am ALL over this play.

 

[goldencontender]

JUST REMEMBER EVEN THOGH INDY WON THIS WEEK DOME TEAMS OUTDOORS ARE STILL 7-22 SU. AND NE HAS NOT LOST A HOME PO GAME SINCE 1978.

 

[almly]

With all due respect using past history as a major factor in your decision making is foolish. The teams are different now and that is all that matters. Im sure history indicated Indy would lose today also. How dome teams do outdoors is definitely relevant but it should not dictate your play.

 

[Kojak]

Philly and Indy will rule next Sunday with Colts taking all the marbles. Philly has already handled and covered on road at Carolina and will roll early and often in this year's NFC Championship Game. Indy will win on Vanderjaht field goal. Manning will break through in Houston and win Super Bowl!

 

[goldencontender]

ARE YOU GUYS REALLY SURE CAUSE I WOULD MUCH RATHER BET THESE GAMES ON YOUR VALUABLE OPINIONS AS OPPOSED TO TIME TESTED SYSTEMS. I WOULD BE FOOLISH TO BET AG AN OPINION LIKE THAT.

 

[almly]

Not to sound like an ass Kojak but I havent been wrong yet so far and you have. Denver beat Indy two weeks before last weeks game on the road. Carolina is a better team and will win. If not, they should cover at the very least.

 

[Hardwaymoney]

I hope kojak is 100% wrong..Have more invested with the other two teams....

 

[Kojak]

almly,

I don't know what in the hell you are talking about concerning this Denver/Indy thing. I picked Indy to beat Denver in first round of playoffs. In regards to your cockiness, I am just stating my opinion. If you will look at my record in playoffs on rx scorekeepers thread after this weekends games I am 10-6 which is pretty damn good. I just don't need to have to go out and rip someone else for no reason. You have no class. In terms of being never wrong, we all are from time to time. It is the consistency that counts. Neither of these are My teams I support but I definitely will this weekend just so I can give you some crow since you are a know it all. I went 6-2 this weekend as I give my opinion on all sides and totals. I would like to see you do the same as I guarantee your record wouldn't be 7-0. I give you kudos for your record so far it is your attitude that will make me like to see you lose.

 

[almly]

My reference to Denver beating Indy on the road was in regards to you implying that since Philly beat Carolina on the road this year theyll stomp them next week. Denver beat Indy at Indy Week 16. Look what happened to them last week.

You pretty much stated matter of factly that I'll be wrong with the pick. I'm matter of factly showing you why I think I'll be right but I can see how it came of as sounding like an ass. I think we can respectfully agree to disagree on this. My apologies.

 

[PatPatriot]

Just remember almly,Tom Brady is 3-0 against MVP QB's this year.

 

[Stalker-Dude]

almly, with all due respect using past history as a major factor in your decision making is not really foolish. History is your strongest predictor that you have as a tool. It is how you weigh your history in your handicapping that matters. I agree that free agency has changed the game in cappin' from a techinal side a lot. However, even the past 2 weeks are "history" that can be used as a tool.

NE has a history of kickin' the Colts ass. First and goal from the one yard line if the Colts get in the seedings are different and the game is played in Indy this week. Remember that game a few weeks back? A lot was riding on that game and that drive. A different team on both sides of the ball from the Harbaugh/Bledso days but Indy never seems to beat them.


How is that a team can score so many points but can't punch it in on first and goal from the one? You can't explain that, other than it just shows that certain teams have the other teams number. We see "history" like this in all types of sports. Now don't get me wrong, I don't beleive in curses or things like that. But there is a mystique when certain teams play each other and one continues to win.


There is no real formula that you can come up with objectively or subjectivly that can explane a constant ass whooping by one team and "history" should be looked at strongly in those cases. X's and O's don't mean that much and the technical cappers will always laugh at the fundamental cappers. You can try to make a fundamental case to support your objectives, but 9 times out of 10 you'll lose this game on a freak play or a bad call. We all have seen this happen to us.


This week I'll do a post on this game when I get the time to do so. Check it out when it hits the board. Best of luck...Scott Stalker..

 

[Kojak]

almly,

no problem as I respect your view. If we are all on the same side we never can see angles we are blinded by. Best of luck.

 

[Kojak]

almly,

Difference between Denver/Indy correlation and Philly/Carolina is Denver had to do it twice on the road while Philly has already won at Carolina while this game in Philly. If this game was back in Carolina, I would take the 5-6 but it isn't. Best of luck.