Alabama vs Notre Dame 1/7/2013

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Alabama is a heavy favorite winning 77% of simulations over Notre Dame. AJ McCarron is averaging 209 passing yards and 1.47 TDs per simulation and Eddie Lacy is projected for 83 rushing yards and a 49% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 23% of simulations where Notre Dame wins, Everett Golson averages 0.96 TD passes vs 0.68 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.49 TDs to 0.84 interceptions. Cierre Wood averages 50 rushing yards and 0.39 rushing TDs when Notre Dame wins and 46 yards and 0.21 TDs in losses. Alabama has a 40% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 85% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ND +9.5 --- Over/Under line is 43
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