AK's Bowl Thread - All Bowls ATS, 60% or bettor or I'm a Failure!!!

akphidelt · Dec 19, 2014

Alright, it's that time again. I did this last year, basically broke even money wise. Was 19-13 going in to the last 3 games and just needed 2 of 3 to hit my 60% mark but buckled under pressure and lost the last 3 to go 19-16. I'll post every game here. Let's do this. Good luck everyone!

akphidelt · Dec 19, 2014

Alright, not entirely confident in this one. Don't know much about ULL in terms of seeing them play. Seen Nevada play a lot though. I know they have a mush ass defense. SOS definitely favors Nevada and they played some tough teams pretty close. The line is definitely telling a different story though. Heavy public % on Nevada, paper wise Nevada seems like the obvious pick, yet the line sits at 1. These games are never that easy... ULL pretty much at home, super early game, McGuire, Broadway, Harris going to run through this Nevada D like a knife through warm butter. I think ULL wins this 48-42.

Game.Month.Day
1.12.20 ULL +1 (-110) 550/500

Bowls YTD: 0-0 (0.00%)

akphidelt · Dec 19, 2014

There is absolutely nothing that impressive about this Utah St team. Decent defense, sketchy offense lead by a 4th string freshman qb. UTEP hasn't won a bowl game since 67. Sr qb Showers has definitely improved his game, the defense has definitely stepped up. I think UTEP has the chance to win this straight up.

2.12.20 UTEP +10.5 (-115) 287.5/250 (the max bet my book will let me make)

akphidelt · Dec 19, 2014

For all you grammar queens out there, I realize now that I spelt "better" wrong in the thread title.

phantom888 · Dec 19, 2014

Lets go AK47!!

dabigdawg3 · Dec 19, 2014

"I think ULL wins this 48-42."

Looks like the OVER is the play here AK.....seeing 62
I am on ULL already too!

akphidelt · Dec 19, 2014

phantom888 said:
Lets go AK47!!

Thanks phantom!! Let's do this!

akphidelt · Dec 19, 2014

dabigdawg3 said:
"I think ULL wins this 48-42."

Looks like the OVER is the play here AK.....seeing 62
I am on ULL already too!

Definitely might sprinkle something on the over. Hopefully the early morning start doesn't have them coming out slow. GL

akphidelt · Dec 19, 2014

By far the toughest game on the board I think. Utah/CSU. CSU has a legit offense, people will be surprised if they think since Utah is Pac-12 that they can just walk over this team. I seen both these teams a lot this year and know a lot about them, and I just think they are fairly evenly matched. So it comes down to what I have believed all year in that the Pac-12 is in a very down year this year and Utah being 5-4 in the Pac-12 and ranked in the top 25. That is sketchy as hell to me. I'm going to rock with my gut on this one and roll with CSU. Even with out McElwain there, it will be the same team and probably a more pumped team.

3.12.20 CSU +3.5 (-135) 675/500

Pending games
1.12.20 ULL +1 (-110)
2.12.20 UTEP +10.5 (-115)

akphidelt · Dec 19, 2014

Alright wrapping Saturday up with these final two picks.

4.12.20 Air Force +1 (-105) 420/400
5.12.20 South Alabama -3 (Even) 400/400

Pending games
1.12.20 ULL +1 (-110)
2.12.20 UTEP +10.5 (-115)
3.12.20 CSU +3.5 (-135)

GL Everyone!!

akphidelt · Dec 20, 2014

Always nice to start the bowl season off with a W!!! Let's go UTEP!!

1.12.20 ULL +1 (-110)

Bowls YTD: 1-0 (100.00%) (+$500)

akphidelt · Dec 20, 2014

Looks like I need to reevaluate my thinking on the PAC-12. This was a dominating performance on both sides of the ball.

BigdaddyQH · Dec 20, 2014

Why are you giving away all of that vig? If youhave to give away that kind of vig, maybe you should re-evaluate your wagers. It is going to be very difficult for you to hit that 60% goal if you are giving away that kind of vig.

akphidelt · Dec 20, 2014

BigdaddyQH said:
Why are you giving away all of that vig? If youhave to give away that kind of vig, maybe you should re-evaluate your wagers. It is going to be very difficult for you to hit that 60% goal if you are giving away that kind of vig.

Ill be fine. Just doing this for fun and that's the line my book offered.

akphidelt · Dec 21, 2014

Rough ass start! That UTEP game is killin me! We'll get em back.

1.12.20 ULL +1 (-110)2.12.20 UTEP +10.5 (-115)
3.12.20 CSU +3.5 (-135)
4.12.20 Air Force +1 (-105)
5.12.20 South Alabama -3 (Even)

Bowls YTD: 2-3 (40.00%) (-$462.50)

BigdaddyQH · Dec 21, 2014

Go get 'em on Monday.

akphidelt · Dec 22, 2014

Comes down to defense for me. I think Memphis is just a smidgen below top 25 talent. BYU is going to have troubles on offense, Memphis will be able to make plays also. Think they are simply the better team in this match up and I'm going to roll with them.

6.12.22 Memphis -2 (-107) 428/400

Bowls YTD: 2-3 (40.00%) (-$462.50)

indiana · Dec 22, 2014

AKP..........good luck with your action..........you and your family have a great holiday.............indy

akphidelt · Dec 22, 2014

indiana said:
AKP..........good luck with your action..........you and your family have a great holiday.............indy

Thanks Indy! Hope you and your fam have a great holiday also!!

akphidelt · Dec 22, 2014

Got to get lucky every now and then with these bowl games! This Memphis game was wild!!

1.12.20 ULL +1 (-110)
2.12.20 UTEP +10.5 (-115)
3.12.20 CSU +3.5 (-135)
4.12.20 Air Force +1 (-105)
5.12.20 South Alabama -3 (Even)
6.12.22 Memphis -2 (-107)

Bowls YTD: 3-3 (50.00%) (-$62.50)