Action Point Plays?

[jakey1deuce]

I just found out about these action point plays and was wondering what everyone else thought about them. Is there any value to them or are they just like parlays and will eat you up over time? I heard from someone that a good play is on the o/u when it is a low number like 180 to take the over, since games most likely wont be scored in the 160s, but if it goes over it has the possibility to go to 200 or higher. And vice versa for a high number and take the under. I heard not very many books take these plays, so does this mean they are similar plays to the correlation o/u bet in college football? Please let me know what your opinions are.


For those of you who don't know what action point plays are, you are risking one unit for every point the team covers or does not cover. For instance, if a the o/u for the game is set at 200 and you take the over. If the game ends at 210, you win 10 units, however if it ends at 190 you lose 10 units plus the 11/10 juice so a total of 11 units.


I'm trying this out today for $25 a point with a 30 point cap.

NCAA
Evansville +29.5
Niagra -4
Iona +3.5
Montana +2.5

NBA
Phoenix +4

I am also looking to add Montana over and Arkansas St over when my book comes out with the line. My theory behind my picks is to make plays where if the teams lose it should not be by too much, but if they win, there is a potential for a blowout. I guess I can be wrong and get killed like I did with Jacksonville St yesterday and lost by 15.5 points.

Pray for me today, as this is quite a bit of money on the line even though its only a quarter a point.

 

[GimmeDattt]

I don't like the way your going about this. No disrespect but you have to be selective or some nights your going to get KILLED. The best action point plays are HIGH Totals or LOW Totals playing the over for high totals and under for low totals. Also playing top tier teams with 10 point spreads that probably wont lose and have potential to kill. Watch Seriousaddiction with them...he is good at them.

GL though.

 

[jakey1deuce]

No disrespect taken. I'm new to this type of play and it looks like I will have to learn the hard way. I will keep a lookout for those totals.

 

[seriousaddiction]

Be very , very careful with this...those aren't the types of games you want to be actioning.

Games you want to action are totals in the 110-120 range, because they usually bottom out at around 100 worst case scenario and usually have a very good shot at going in the 40s or 50s.

And another type of game you want to action is when a power (Duke, Zags, UNC, Cuse, Lville, Pitt) etc etc are laying 10-15 points to a team they should have absolutely no chance of losing to. A good example was last week when Purdue -11 played at Ball St. If they played their worst games of their lives they would have still won the game by a few points and the way it turned out they ended up winning by 30.

so in summary you want to take low totals and really good teams laying in the 8-15 range.

 

[jakey1deuce]

Thanks for the insight. Does the same apply for football?

 

[homedawg]

about 5 years ago i had someone action a Sun Belt football under with me. The total was about 48 or so (was in high 40's). He did $20, no cap. The final was 3-0...in overtime. me and a few friends had a few chuckles about that