Good point, I meant to say something about this. IMO revenge is an overrated angle in NCAAF (unless they happen to play a 2nd time in the same season) because the player turnover is so high. A similar line of thought could take you to the conclusion that were getting 30 points of line value (26 pt game last year + 11 points this year - 7 for the home field advant.) so I guess its in the eye of the beholder.
Good point, I meant to say something about this. IMO revenge is an overrated angle in NCAAF (unless they happen to play a 2nd time in the same season) because the player turnover is so high. A similar line of thought could take you to the conclusion that were getting 30 points of line value (26 pt game last year + 11 points this year - 7 for the home field advant.) so I guess its in the eye of the beholder.
** Virginia Tech Hokies -13.5
I feel like were getting the Hokies in a good spot this week, with the Hokies coming off a win but non-cover @ Duke and BC coming back on the road after 2 close, emotional victories. This season has only seen the Eagles leave home once (coincidentally it was also the only time they have seen a halfway decent defense) and they were trounced 25-7 with only 54 total yards for the game @ Clemson. The past two weeks have seen the Eagles bounce back with big offensive efforts against two Charmin-soft pass defenses, and I think it sets us up for some value here.
BC has had offensive success this season when teams are unable to get into the backfield. Shanskie is an inexperienced QB but the last 2 weeks he was made to look good against 2 weak secondaries as he had time to through. I think VT will base their defensive gameplan on backfield pressure and jamming the receivers at the line. VT does a good job at limiting opposing quarterbacks throwing the ball (46% passing on the year allowed) and I think its the key to shutting down BC and making them one dimensional. VT has been lauded for their struggles against the run, but in the past 3 games they have allowed just 3.0 ypc. So if your backing BC here, my question to you is where is the offense coming from on Saturday?
On Offense VT features a power running game behind a trio of young, talented backs. Taylor, a career sub-50 percent passer, looks to be improving with a 57 % completion percentage and 0 INT's in his last 3 games. I know they don't throw the ball a lot but it shows hes not making a lot of mistakes. BC is letting conference teams complete nearly 66% of their passes and getting only 1 sack a game so if they give Taylor time even he will be able to find open men downfield. Taylor is also capable of taking off on his feet, which BC really hasn't seen yet this year and will have to decide if they are going to spy him or drop an extra man into coverage. Sounds like they will be picking their poison to me.
I don't worry as much about a look-a-head in this spot (@GT next week) because BC has given the Hokies grief in the past (3 straight reg season wins) and the Hokies know that every game is important in the national title race. In this game we have big advantages on Offense, Defense and Special teams as well as this being a let down spot for the Eagles (Gameday and Herezlich were huge motivational factors last weekend). I think VT simply overpowers BC here and wins going away. Hokies by 21
I feel like were getting the Hokies in a good spot this week, with the Hokies coming off a win but non-cover @ Duke and BC coming back on the road after 2 close, emotional victories. This season has only seen the Eagles leave home once (coincidentally it was also the only time they have seen a halfway decent defense) and they were trounced 25-7 with only 54 total yards for the game @ Clemson. The past two weeks have seen the Eagles bounce back with big offensive efforts against two Charmin-soft pass defenses, and I think it sets us up for some value here.
BC has had offensive success this season when teams are unable to get into the backfield. Shanskie is an inexperienced QB but the last 2 weeks he was made to look good against 2 weak secondaries as he had time to through. I think VT will base their defensive gameplan on backfield pressure and jamming the receivers at the line. VT does a good job at limiting opposing quarterbacks throwing the ball (46% passing on the year allowed) and I think its the key to shutting down BC and making them one dimensional. VT has been lauded for their struggles against the run, but in the past 3 games they have allowed just 3.0 ypc. So if your backing BC here, my question to you is where is the offense coming from on Saturday?
On Offense VT features a power running game behind a trio of young, talented backs. Taylor, a career sub-50 percent passer, looks to be improving with a 57 % completion percentage and 0 INT's in his last 3 games. I know they don't throw the ball a lot but it shows hes not making a lot of mistakes. BC is letting conference teams complete nearly 66% of their passes and getting only 1 sack a game so if they give Taylor time even he will be able to find open men downfield. Taylor is also capable of taking off on his feet, which BC really hasn't seen yet this year and will have to decide if they are going to spy him or drop an extra man into coverage. Sounds like they will be picking their poison to me.
I don't worry as much about a look-a-head in this spot (@GT next week) because BC has given the Hokies grief in the past (3 straight reg season wins) and the Hokies know that every game is important in the national title race. In this game we have big advantages on Offense, Defense and Special teams as well as this being a let down spot for the Eagles (Gameday and Herezlich were huge motivational factors last weekend). I think VT simply overpowers BC here and wins going away. Hokies by 21
