ACC Tuesday

jimmyshivers · Jan 27, 2009

45-43-3 -7.34 units

stopped the bleeding with a 2-0 +7 units last time out. Lets keep it going:

*** Boston College Eagles + ?

Talent wise these are two very similar teams in my eyes, so I will take the team that is in better form and getting points. This is one of the few times in ACC play that BC will actually have their post game play as an advantage; Maryland is undersized and worse, undertalanted in the front court. Everything Maryland likes to do goes through Vasquez, and he has struggled the past few games, totaling less than 10 points 2 out of the last 3 games and shooting below 50 % in the last 4. I think Rice for BC is going to be able to frustrate Vasquez and take him out of his game early.

BC leads the conference in 3 point shooting and this is a weakness of the terps (36.8 % shooting allowed in conference). BC is also the better ft team so if this game is close down the stretch that is a nice advantage to have when you are getting points.

Waiting to lock this one in as the points seem to be getting nicer. Hoping for 6 closer to gametime, but will play it fairly soon regardless...

G.MONEY · Jan 27, 2009

Best of Luck....Very tough game in my eyes...But you are the Guru here.

jimmyshivers · Jan 27, 2009

Thanks G, think Maryland is a bit overrated, and I can't back them laying more than 3 against anyone but GT or UVA. BC isnt a great team but they matchup very well in this game. Also like the chemistry of the Eagles alot more than the terps. I saw a very selfish team play on saturday versus Duke..

Mr.Cover123 · Jan 27, 2009

Thinking of BC ML here, but previous meetings have been very close. I think Trapani will be the difference in the game.

jimmyshivers · Jan 27, 2009

definately some value in that as my line was Maryland -2.5..

jimmyshivers · Jan 27, 2009

** North Carolina State Wolfpack +2

Simply put Miami isnt consistent enough to be laying points in conference. For me to take a team playing NCS they have to be good at forcing turnovers, and Miami is not (1.2 A/TO ratio allowed in conference. Miami is 0-4 as a favorite in conference and those have all been home games. They don't play 40 minute games and that should allow for State to build some confidence. State is going with a bigger line-up in this game (Smith, Costner, Mccauley up front) and it should help them neutralize the strong Miami frontcourt.

State should win this game at home if they can get the ball into their half court offense and exploit the weak Miami on the ball defense (opponents shooting 44 % and 38 % from 2 and 3 in conference). If I can get points playing on a home team (that isnt awful) that is hungrier I will take those points every time.

BOL everyone hopefully we can have another 2-0 day...

jimmyshivers · Jan 27, 2009

locking in on BC @ +5.5 for ***

also going for ** NCS/ UM O 136.5

Two teams that give up high shooting percentages and struggle to force turnovers should lead to alot of successful offensive possesions. State has struggled offensively in their last few games but Miami does not have the defensive prowess to force State into turning the ball over. Both teams also struggle against the 3 ball, so we could see several flurries of points...