Wow, first big week coming up. I plan for this to be my biggest year ever, and I invite everyone to share it with me. Take the info, blend it into your own, share your insights, etc. I like plenty of interaction in my threads.
For those not familiar with me, let me introduce my rating system. Most of my plays are 5* and 7*. I might occasionally have an action play of 3* -- probably something I want to watch on TV. And I will have an occasional 10*, which is a GOW type play. I will probably have 1-3 15* GOY plays.
My expertise is in the SEC, ACC, C-USA, and the Big East. Most of my big plays will involves teams from these conferences.
I'll start off in the early week to take advantage of line movement. I will add plays throughout the week and even on Saturday throughout the day. I've been known to add West Coast plays on Saturday night. Some of my larger plays might not be posted until Saturday, and some might be upgrades of plays posted earlier. All lines will be the lines as I got them.
Now on to the plays. I grabbed a few last night before the lines moved.
Sept 2nd
5* Northwestern +7.5
I like the fact that the Wildcats return 17 starters off last year's 6-7 team. In fact they only lost 11 lettermen. Wildcats are 14-5 ATS in their last non-conference road games. I respect TCU's program -- over 75% of the team can bench 400 or more. Still, I don't think there will be more than a touchdown difference in this game either way. Should be a good one.
5* Texas A&M +10
I believe in Coach Franchione. Anyone who can take New Mexico to an unbeaten season has to have something going for him. I also think Utah is being given just a little bit too much respect. A&M has recruited well and their talent should show up this season. Found this at +9.5 last night and bought the half to bring it up to +10. I wouldn't be surprised if the score was a lot closer.
Saturday
7* Oregon St +18.5
I see this as a defensive struggle. LSU will run a lot and control the clock. The Beavers are no pushovers. I see LSU scoring 23 at the most, and OSU should at least score a TD. I'll probably be looking at the under and a teaser on both later in the week.
5* Rutgers +7
When two evenly talented teams square off, why not go with the home team? Why are the visitors favored by a TD? Because Michigan St is Michigan St and Rutgers is Rutgers. Rutgers will have their best team in years, and they'd like nothing better than to unseat the Spartans. Michigan St is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 as road favorites. Rutgers is 19-7-1 ATS in non-conference games since '97. I wouldn't be surprised if Rutgers won this one straight up.
5* Vanderbilt +5
Over the years I've seen many teams go into Nashville early and look silly against the 'Dores. Vandy has 21 starters returning and lost only 13 lettermen. The Cocks might be better overall this year, but if they beat Vandy in this spot it won't be by much. I'd rather have those points.
More later.
For those not familiar with me, let me introduce my rating system. Most of my plays are 5* and 7*. I might occasionally have an action play of 3* -- probably something I want to watch on TV. And I will have an occasional 10*, which is a GOW type play. I will probably have 1-3 15* GOY plays.
My expertise is in the SEC, ACC, C-USA, and the Big East. Most of my big plays will involves teams from these conferences.
I'll start off in the early week to take advantage of line movement. I will add plays throughout the week and even on Saturday throughout the day. I've been known to add West Coast plays on Saturday night. Some of my larger plays might not be posted until Saturday, and some might be upgrades of plays posted earlier. All lines will be the lines as I got them.
Now on to the plays. I grabbed a few last night before the lines moved.
Sept 2nd
5* Northwestern +7.5
I like the fact that the Wildcats return 17 starters off last year's 6-7 team. In fact they only lost 11 lettermen. Wildcats are 14-5 ATS in their last non-conference road games. I respect TCU's program -- over 75% of the team can bench 400 or more. Still, I don't think there will be more than a touchdown difference in this game either way. Should be a good one.
5* Texas A&M +10
I believe in Coach Franchione. Anyone who can take New Mexico to an unbeaten season has to have something going for him. I also think Utah is being given just a little bit too much respect. A&M has recruited well and their talent should show up this season. Found this at +9.5 last night and bought the half to bring it up to +10. I wouldn't be surprised if the score was a lot closer.
Saturday
7* Oregon St +18.5
I see this as a defensive struggle. LSU will run a lot and control the clock. The Beavers are no pushovers. I see LSU scoring 23 at the most, and OSU should at least score a TD. I'll probably be looking at the under and a teaser on both later in the week.
5* Rutgers +7
When two evenly talented teams square off, why not go with the home team? Why are the visitors favored by a TD? Because Michigan St is Michigan St and Rutgers is Rutgers. Rutgers will have their best team in years, and they'd like nothing better than to unseat the Spartans. Michigan St is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 as road favorites. Rutgers is 19-7-1 ATS in non-conference games since '97. I wouldn't be surprised if Rutgers won this one straight up.
5* Vanderbilt +5
Over the years I've seen many teams go into Nashville early and look silly against the 'Dores. Vandy has 21 starters returning and lost only 13 lettermen. The Cocks might be better overall this year, but if they beat Vandy in this spot it won't be by much. I'd rather have those points.
More later.
