A look behind the stats

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Stats can sometimes be deceiving. I check all the NCAA stats every week including the box scores because sometimes you have to look a little deeper. For instance, last week Okie St allowed La Laf 34 points. If you check the official NCAA stats you will find OSU ranked #82 in scoring defense for that reason. However, 2 of those TD’s came by way of int’s by LLAF which were returned for TD’s. So in effect the OSU defense only allowed 20 points which would have ranked them #54. Those int returns go against the OSU defense for whatever reasons.
By the same token if you look at the NCAA stats LLAF’s offense gets credited (in effect) conversely and those stats rate them #51 in scoring offense with 34 ppg (1 game only played). If you think about it those stats are misleading. How often is LLAF going to score 14 points in a game by returning int’s for TD’s and in fact you “assume” their offense accounted for those points. I am sure the same thing applies to KO returns, punt returns, fumble returns for TD’s.
My point is that although in fact LLAF scored 34 points as a team their offense did not account for those points and they are categorized under Scoring Offense. By the same token the OSU defense did not allow all of those 34 points either. Many games have similar circumstances. These things level out deeper into the season but they are only relatively accurate. The totals listed under Scoring Offense and Scoring Defense are accurate in that they tell you how many teampoints were scored and allowed respectively but they do not break them down as to how the points were scored.
It pays to check box scores and scoring summaries to get the complete story behind the numbers.
 

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This is the very reason why I'm not taking U-La-La against Kent St. this week. The public is overacting to the 34 points they scored on OSU by making ULL a public dog against Kent. Could be a mistake. Kent's not quite as bad as Bama made them out to be. As for OSU, the jury is still out on their offense, despite scoring 61. Throwing two picks could possibly be put on the new OC just as much as it could the QB. The bottom line is they both need to be on the same page with the playcalling. I prefer to see OSU play once or twice more before making any big bets on them. Now that Criner is out, Zona basically has just 9 starters back from last season. There's no telling what kind of team they are going to field this year. I hope those JC's work out for Stoops.
 

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I think Notre Dame's folly last week falls in this category too. They can move the ball but 14 point turn arounds are hard to overcome. Changing QB's will help also.
 

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Two very good write ups here.
 

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kent st's offense is more than pathetic but their DL is no joke. the 7 they scored on bama was a gift from Phillip Sims returned inside the Bama 5 so wasn't exactly like they earned the TD. The kid Nix on DLine will dominate ULL but I wouldn't lay points with such an anemic offense. of course playing Bama's defense which IMO is #1 in ncaa had something to do with it and they did have some early completions dropped. I'd play kent or nothing but prefer them in 2 team teaser
 

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kent st's offense is more than pathetic but their DL is no joke. the 7 they scored on bama was a gift from Phillip Sims returned inside the Bama 5 so wasn't exactly like they earned the TD. The kid Nix on DLine will dominate ULL but I wouldn't lay points with such an anemic offense. of course playing Bama's defense which IMO is #1 in ncaa had something to do with it and they did have some early completions dropped. I'd play kent or nothing but prefer them in 2 team teaser


Hopefully, Bama wins in Happy Valley this week. All I need from them is a SU Win since I teased them.

I even played against Auburn ATS. Guess I'm a Bammer this week.


I
 

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