a little intro

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morning men.....ladies, .....i'v been a lurker here on therx for the past 6 or 7 years. actually became a member at one point back then but just faded away as i'm sure alot have done....back in the day of following cappers like Razh, an his buddy{can't remember his name tho} an Kojak,Mr.Newlywed,Sherwood an a bunch of of others who obviously names have left me.....but man they were pretty good back then....an without these fucking computer system plays i'm reading on here quite a bit lately. these guys gave write-ups,hunches,etc etc etc........nuthin that come out of a computer,but stuff that come from knowledge!!!....now i'm small town Ontario here,don't have a bookie,don't place bets all over the country side or stuff along those lines.....but what i do do is......play the canadians gov't version of gambling....its through a system called pro-line,which i'm sure most canadians on here have heard of.......long story short,for the past few weeks i'v been quite lucky at point spread......an with the posts of a few guys or gals on here i'v followed have made me some nice cash....without pc's spitting me out teams that should win or lose i concur more with reality stuff....like coaching,free throw percentages,expierenced players,momentum,stuff like that.....i would think the older an experienced cappers prefer intangibles like this,i could be wrong,but thats my opinion.

an now first an foremost i'm not in here to bash people,prove them wrong or any of that shit.....i'm here to read you guys opinions on why one team is gonna win, whether they should cover or why they won't.....so i'l continue to read your opinions,an even throw in some information of my own that might be valuable to some.....you guys are the readers,you can take it for what its worth......thanks for reading.....an thanks therx for being such a valuable scource of info....i'l end this long {fuck,it was suppose to have been short,lol} by saying i'm goin on 50,haved loved CBB since back in the days when UCLA'S Bill Walton's nuts use ta hang out of his shorts.....be nice to here some introductions back if ya will,have started a weeks holidays an have all the time in the world..my daughters have grown up an moved out an i have all the computer time in the world.....peace

help.....if ya will..can BC bring that same game into GT that beat the Tar heels?......an i'm leaning on S.Florida beating up on Depaul....what ya think

good luck guys an gals an don't let them books :hump: ya over today

P. of the Dribbl
 

I'd rather be Kayak fishing
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"haved loved CBB since back in the days when UCLA'S Bill Walton's nuts use ta hang out of his shorts....."
:nohead:
 
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Feb 13, 2007
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well hello GB34, nice meeting you as well.....if i remember correctly he'd post big write ups...isn't that what people are looking for on here?.....info!!!,reading peoples insight is interesting to say the least.....an yes i have many hats.....but only 1 ass,determining the difference,hhmmmmmm no money to be made betting on that is there. BOL on your bets
 
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Feb 13, 2007
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still around?

now Oatmealpancakes theres a handle that comes back to me......C-lo, Dsepi,.....they still around??
 

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Oct 8, 2005
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Welcome,uh, back.

I envy those like yourself (and a few other regular posters here) who use the "old school" methods of 'capping. I wish I could be that observant and conscientious to the point of having seemly innate knowledge.

I, however, have succumbed to the fast-paced world of NOW, NOW, NOW.... and with that comes the wonderful computer and all its glory. Being a veteran horse player, and basing almost all my bets on past performance's, its only logical for me to do the same with other sports. Oh, I consult all the relevent injury reports and weather (when applicable), but I primarily use a spreadsheet to do my work for me. I've come to rely more and more on past performance to indicate future outcome.

While those of "you" who can 'cap from stored knowledge, using player matchups, coaching, motivation and other pertinent information, I applaud your talent.

I use sites such as this, to validate or repudiate my computer selections by reading the writeups of "old school" 'cappers. On occassion, I've gotten "on" or "off" a game that was a marginal play from my analytical methods, but more importantly I've learned from 'cappers such as yourself and others (that I won't name here) how specific insight can be valuable as a forcasting tool.

Sorry for the long post.....once again welcome back and good luck on your action.
 

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Welcome and best of luck on your betting. There are many good cappers here who come to their success through differing methods. I agree that people who actually post why they are making a selection are the ones I would follow, if I were going to tail a game or two...but some people who don't post why they pick have proven over a significant sample to be good cappers as well. I myself believe that the computer and moreso the advanced new statistics that are still being fine-tuned in all sports are a very valuable tool to any handicapper - as handicapping is not just about gathering as much information as you can, but about gathering as much accurate and relevant information as you can. That said, I am a sports nut and spend almost everyday of my life watching at least one sporting event and each day reading up on news and statistics, and I definitely like to employ some good old-fashioned matchup/seeing eye information in my games. At this point I have yet to see a computer program that can account for all of the intricacies of a game and while I cannot either, I do feel those attentive cappers can gain, in this age, perhaps the greatest advantage by understanding the game outside of the numbers (since the computer age has led to lines being formed and moved more and more by statistical measures than ever in the past).

At this point I have lost my train of thought, good luck and welcome back though, the more posters the merrier - especially those level-headed and logical.
 

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sorry, I forgot to answer your question.....

Yes, So. Florida will have it's way with DePaul this evening.

For starters, DePaul can't shoot!....and So. Fla. can play "D". DePaul is shooting a miserable 39% from the floor and 24% from behind the arc. That is over 3% worse than the CBB average, while the Bulls are better than 3% ABOVE avg. on defense in BOTH FGA, and 3-pt FGA. Oh, it gets worse. DePaul has earned this distinction from playing the 105th toughest schedule (83th Off; 136th Def). So Fla. on the other hand has played the 5th toughest schedule (48th Off; 1 Def).

This won't be a walk in the park though. The Bulls will lose the battle on the boards and they the shoot a weak 58% from the line.

I bought this game at 5', i'ts a marginal play at 7 and I wouldn't play it at 8 or higher. My model has So. Florida by 10.

Good Luck on your action...
 
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ScreamingPain......agree pretty much with everything your saying, just the old school approach here... of reading an seeing what ya believe in, knowing coaches tendancies,an clock management,substitutions at the right time an benchings in the same breath....to me{being an old hockey coach} your teams a pretty good indication of who you are....of course,my opinion....... winners an losers are{again,to me} is all about chemistry,great teams of any sport had tons of it....i'm rambling on here but do understand what your saying...old schools good.....an bring on the information pc's spew out.....welld1g1t,how do we lose?!?!.....nice meeting you,an BOL on your plays

P.of the D.
 
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Feb 13, 2007
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The Gurantee

total sports freak also,lol....i had girls an had them both into hockey,bb,baseball,volleyball.you name it an daily the tubes gotta be on something competetive....your write ups i read all the time,a bundle of information....now back to researching......i'm likeing Virginia covering the 8.5 in the land of Mary.....just seems those medicore teams play games very close...again my opinion.....good luck to you an nice meeting you

P.of the D.
 

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This won't be a walk in the park though. The Bulls will lose the battle on the boards and they the shoot a weak 58% from the line.

S Fla out-rebounded them 39-21 in their first meeting (22 point win for S Fla at Depaul). Both teams struggle to keep teams off the offensive glass but S Fla is a better offensive rebounding team. That 39-21 did seem pretty exaggerated.

On the foul shooting, Depaul limits their opponents attempts from the line while S Fla has been putting teams on the line a lot - that's a favorable matchup for S Fla in my eyes as Depaul won't make them pay as much. Interestingly S Fla was 13-15 from the stripe first game (also shot it over 40% from downtown) both well above their season averages.

Seems as if Depaul has a really bad game and S Fla a really good one, taking a team which won by 22 on the road now hosting a team -5.5 seems like a fair value play to me - even if we can expect a closer game this time around.
 
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Feb 13, 2007
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plays have been made

a 20$ bets gonna get me 200$......as long as

Evansville doesn't lose by more then 3

Pen St wins by more then 2

Vandy wins by more then 2

S.FLA wins by more than 6

:nohead: to most i'm sure.......but thats how our sports lottery works... not retireing funds for sure but it's fun tryin to take our wonderful gov'ts money....keepin it fun,no stress,no mess.....an ta everyone who stopped by to introduce themselves good luck with your plays......an best of luck to everyone else

P.of the D.
 

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