2 weeks back i had a terrible week ats and last week got worse, i'm definately not used to this so it was time to go back and re-evaluate my techniques top to bottom.
after years of the ratings#'s establishing patterns ats, i have noticed there was no consistent recognizeable patterns standing out and i was into week 12, something was wrong.
i went back and went over the #'s and applied them as they were originally constructed to be used...as a straight up determiner of who was going to win the game outright and by how much.
i matched this # against the pointspread and let the system determine the play selection.
this hit me like a blast from the past...
first of all the useage would be for example...
san francisco at buffalo(-7).....sunday
the rating# is buffalo by 8
the play selection would be take buffalo
i checked on this for weeks 9-12(last 4 weeks), and got these results.
all games went.....39-18-1 ats
games where the selected play was the dog.....21-8 ats
games where the selected play was an afc dog....17-2 ats
breakdown...
week 9
overall......8-6 ats
as dogs....5-2 ats
afc dogs...5-1 ats
week 10
overall.....11-2 ats
as dogs....6-1 ats
afc dogs...3-0 ats
week 11
overall.....8-7 ats
as dogs...5-4 ats
afc dogs..5-1 ats
week 12
overall.....12-3-1 ats
as dogs....5-1 ats
afc dogs...4-0 ats
all these numbers are easily checked by going back, except for last week i was too sick to post them, but all are accurate.
so for week 13, i'll pop up the ratings #'s but no table.
i'll post information (stat wise) for the games to give edges on totals and sides for t-day later, and for sunday tommorrow...but as for now some interesting different insight on the ratings #'s for week 13.
WEEK 13
ARI 119
ATL 121
BAL 123
BUF 118
CAR 119
CHI 118
CIN 111
CLE 117
DAL 120
DEN 111
DET 105
GB 121
HOU 117
IND 123
JAX 118
KC 107
MIA 114
MIN 121
NE 123
NOR 121
NYG 128
NYJ 124
OAK 110
PHI 120
PIT 126
STL 102
SD 121
SF 110
SEA 114
TBY 122
TEN 124
WAS 118
GAME.
after years of the ratings#'s establishing patterns ats, i have noticed there was no consistent recognizeable patterns standing out and i was into week 12, something was wrong.
i went back and went over the #'s and applied them as they were originally constructed to be used...as a straight up determiner of who was going to win the game outright and by how much.
i matched this # against the pointspread and let the system determine the play selection.
this hit me like a blast from the past...
first of all the useage would be for example...
san francisco at buffalo(-7).....sunday
the rating# is buffalo by 8
the play selection would be take buffalo
i checked on this for weeks 9-12(last 4 weeks), and got these results.
all games went.....39-18-1 ats
games where the selected play was the dog.....21-8 ats
games where the selected play was an afc dog....17-2 ats
breakdown...
week 9
overall......8-6 ats
as dogs....5-2 ats
afc dogs...5-1 ats
week 10
overall.....11-2 ats
as dogs....6-1 ats
afc dogs...3-0 ats
week 11
overall.....8-7 ats
as dogs...5-4 ats
afc dogs..5-1 ats
week 12
overall.....12-3-1 ats
as dogs....5-1 ats
afc dogs...4-0 ats
all these numbers are easily checked by going back, except for last week i was too sick to post them, but all are accurate.
so for week 13, i'll pop up the ratings #'s but no table.
i'll post information (stat wise) for the games to give edges on totals and sides for t-day later, and for sunday tommorrow...but as for now some interesting different insight on the ratings #'s for week 13.
WEEK 13
ARI 119
ATL 121
BAL 123
BUF 118
CAR 119
CHI 118
CIN 111
CLE 117
DAL 120
DEN 111
DET 105
GB 121
HOU 117
IND 123
JAX 118
KC 107
MIA 114
MIN 121
NE 123
NOR 121
NYG 128
NYJ 124
OAK 110
PHI 120
PIT 126
STL 102
SD 121
SF 110
SEA 114
TBY 122
TEN 124
WAS 118
GAME.
