I am going to seperate my 1AA-II-III picks from my 1A picks. The thread gets way too long when mixing them together. As usual, all 1AA-II-III action can be placed at 5 Dimes.
Anyway here are the first picks I've made for this week:
New Hampshire +22
NH is one of the top tier teams in the A 10 conference & started off their season by beating their conference foe Delaware who happens to be the defending 1-AA National Champion. This would be a classic letdown spot but I don't see them being flat when they are going up against a 1A foe. The line is inflated because they are facing a Rutgers team that just had its biggest win in the program in ages. I don't see how after beating a Big 10 team, they will give a damn to face a 1AA team. NH is a good team & I would not be surprised if they pulled the upset. This line should at highest be Rutgers -10 or 11 based on home field advantage. I haven't created new #'s for this season but I know the A10 well & they aren't 22 points inferior to Rutgers or any Big East team for that matter.
Illinois State +36 over Minnesota
My #'s say this line is pretty accurate but I think the line is a tad inflated due to the beating Minnesota put on Toledo. The line might be a few points too high & I'll take my chance on the 5 td dog.
Florida A&M +26.5 over Tulane
This Tulane team imo will struggle on offense this year. FAMU isn't as bad as they looked against Illinois. I think FAMU can hang with Tulane & give them a possible scare.
UT Chattanooga +45 over Memphis
I see this as a letdown spot for the Tigers after a big win against the Rebels. I don't see them caring enough to put the effort needed to pump out a 6TD+ victory. I think the Mochs can score enough to easily stay within this #.
Anyway here are the first picks I've made for this week:
New Hampshire +22
NH is one of the top tier teams in the A 10 conference & started off their season by beating their conference foe Delaware who happens to be the defending 1-AA National Champion. This would be a classic letdown spot but I don't see them being flat when they are going up against a 1A foe. The line is inflated because they are facing a Rutgers team that just had its biggest win in the program in ages. I don't see how after beating a Big 10 team, they will give a damn to face a 1AA team. NH is a good team & I would not be surprised if they pulled the upset. This line should at highest be Rutgers -10 or 11 based on home field advantage. I haven't created new #'s for this season but I know the A10 well & they aren't 22 points inferior to Rutgers or any Big East team for that matter.
Illinois State +36 over Minnesota
My #'s say this line is pretty accurate but I think the line is a tad inflated due to the beating Minnesota put on Toledo. The line might be a few points too high & I'll take my chance on the 5 td dog.
Florida A&M +26.5 over Tulane
This Tulane team imo will struggle on offense this year. FAMU isn't as bad as they looked against Illinois. I think FAMU can hang with Tulane & give them a possible scare.
UT Chattanooga +45 over Memphis
I see this as a letdown spot for the Tigers after a big win against the Rebels. I don't see them caring enough to put the effort needed to pump out a 6TD+ victory. I think the Mochs can score enough to easily stay within this #.