8pm plays and 10pm play

[spo-vegas]

Record 28-12 YTD(70%)

Tonight:


8pm games:
Washington St +8 (-120) vs Arizona - The whole world like Arizona tonight and this spread is big enough for a "Moose" cover. Anytime I see +65% on a Road Fav on Wagerline - it's a strong Home dog Play...look at the history for the past 10 days.

2/14 - Kansas -3.5 Vs Tex Tech (TT Covers)
2/17 - Denver - 3 vs N Texas (N Tex Covers)
2/17 - Duke -12.5 vs VT (VT Covers)
2/19 - Maryland -3.5 vs Virgina (Virigina Covers)
2/20 - Georgetown -3.5 vs St John's (St John's Covers)
2/22 - Dayton -12.5 vs St Bonnie (St Bonnie Covers)
2/22 - OSU -7.5 vs Nebraska (Neb Covers)

Now I'm not saying Arizona loses tonight - but look at some real issues here.
Wash St DID beat them already - so they have confidence. Their style of play will piss off AZ again tonight. And AZ has a HUGE rematch with UW on Saturday. Possible look-ahead. Trends - Wazzu is 3-0 ats as hm dog of 6.5-9pts, Arizona is 0-3 ats vs teams that avg less than 64 pts per game.

Arizona outscores opponents 72 - 69 on the road
Wash st outscores opponents 56 - 52 at home

Washington State is fighting to stay alive for the Pac-10 tourney as well...so I don't think this is equal to such a "gift" for Arizona....just some words of caution.


Middle Tenn St +6 (-120) vs W Kentucky - The trends and stats are not in Midd Tenn Favor. But the last time these two played - Midd Tenn was down 16 at halftime and fought all the way back to within 2 with 1:30 left and finally lost by 5. The Blue Raiders have been on a roll lately and I think they continue this good pace and make it a very close game this evening...oh yeah 76% of the Public is on W Kentucky.....


Stanford +3 vs Oregon St - We find Stanford in a postion to lock up the 3 seed in the Pac-10 tourney this weekend. They have found a way to play "team" ball with Dan G out....they might even pull off the minor upset tonight.

Also like:
Samford +6
Portland +6.5

 

[spo-vegas]

One More

Adding Samford +6 vs Tenn St. - as an official pick......Samford is playing for home court in the OVC tourney....and Tenn St is up one game down the next and has yet to figure out the meaning of "team" play....Samford ML might be worth the risk...

 

[coconutman]

spo i really appriciate you posting here. Nice work today dude your doing really will. Don't want to get to crazy here because it seems your about 70% now and it would be great to keep it up but if you can do it that would be great.

Looking forward to your plays and once again thanx... for getting me out of a hole =)

 

[spo-vegas]

Thanks Coconut....70% is about what I have run since Dec on CBALL....but I just began posting...this is the only forum that I found which was about help vs hype....so I decided to post my plays here...I'll try and continue the run....GL

 

[eltoro711]

yes excellent job. keep um coming. just wondering if u also cap baseball??. i know u use stats and trends , is one stronger than another when making a selection for u . i knkow it would be great to have them both going the same side but sometimes thats not the case . just curious , thanks

 

[spo-vegas]

Baseball

Yes - I do cap Baseball - the beginning of the season is rather tough...b/c teams are just getting to know each other again..you'll find some big underdog wins in the 1st month...after that the "trends" start to come into play around June. I'll play baseball from June-Aug....then roll into C Football...that's where the real money is.....