45-11-4 Against the spread SD,NE,Philly,Pitt and Indy, Keep riding the horses?

[jimmymac]

These five teams are 45-11-4 against the spread this year. If you wagered 300 a week on each team you'd be up 9,870. Do you ride them the rest of the year or start to fade them. Like to hear your thoughts. I started playing them 4 weeks ago and have done well with these teams. The lines have been going up, but they still seem to cover, this week went 3-1-1. I am thinking that vegas will try and even things out, but you should always ride a streak. Look forward to peoples opinions.

Mac

 

[jwblue]

Speaking of streaks, I am riding the fade Seattle streak. Seattle has been embarrassed at home the past two weeks. Now they have to go on the road and play an angry Minnesota team.

IS

 

[ElIguana]

Pittsburgh has won but not covered its last 2 games.....I would say the "streak" is over with them. That being said, Pitt -5.5 looks good this Sunday. The others are still hot.

 

[WillWalk]

Wow, I knew the big boys were covering but that's great stat.

"Do you ride them the rest of the year or start to fade them."

That's why God invented teasers...or money line pars. Every time I've take NE, PITT, PHI or INDY this year I back it up with a ML par or teaser. It's worked out great this year - the Year of the Square. This, of course is the wrong way to use teasers and pars, but hey, I'm square to the bone and do this for fun.

 

[FairWarning]

I like Tampa Bay and Wash ML's this week. It is hard to go against a hot team but I can see both of these winning. Pitt game can go either way, and Indy and NE would have to play bad, and Houston+Cinci play their best for them to lose.

 

[oldmanTED]

Past history has more often then not shown that as the season progresses, even winning teams both outright and against the spread tend to gravitate back towards the 50% mark. However, this is not a hard a fast rule as many quality teams of recent years have gone on long ATS streaks, most notably New England recently and San Francisco a few years ago. There will always be these type of exceptions. That being said, the ATS results of playing all five of the teams mentioned for the remainder of the season will likely end with results around 50%. Pittsburgh has lost the last two ATS and SD pushed this past week. Philadelphia has a comfortable lead for home field advantage in the NFC and is not really threatened. New England seems to be motivated in an attempt to catch Pittsburgh for home field advantage while Indianapolis continues to put up large numbers but still has defensive liabilities. All the while, the oddsmaker will continue to add points to these winning public teams and make the player who chooses to blindly play these teams pay the price. Better to pick your spots where fundamental and situational edges are in the favor of these teams enough so to cover the inflated impost being placed upon them.

 

[EasyMoney]

I've been saying this for a while about Phily, Indy and NE. If you go back to the start of last year those 3 have done very weel ATS. Hell I've bet on NE in 8 games this year and I'm 7-1

 

[MrGoodDr]

Well its very difficult to hop off winning horse in the middle of the race.....oh thats right that would be the jockey !!

Favorites are really winning in the NFL these days looks to me like. So my answer until they slow down...why get off !

 

[unochamps]

i feel like i missed out on the gravy train. i've been following pitt, ne, phila all yr and i think i posted earlier they alone are 27-9 ats?


i should do the research before i speak but from memory ne hasn't been a fav of more than 7 not many times this yr. sd lines have been close all yr and same for pitt. i know phila lines have been high but they've been covering.

i agree w/ omt, things even out , i think i missed a good opp. :nono5: