31-17 regular season. One major play for WC round

[PARGASPORT]

Closed the regular season with a bad week 17, but crazy things happen, especially in week 17.
Green Bay is entering these playoffs with only 8 wins. Teams with less than 9 wins are perfect 6-0 ATS in week 18 WCR, winning 5 of those 6 games outright as underdogs. The Packers have 4 wins less than 49ers and these teams are 3-0 straight up and against the spread in first week of playoffs, winning all three games as home underdogs. Finally, here is one more piece of info that I found in my research for this week: First round playoffs favorites are 0-7 ATS if they won as favorites in same season head to head meeting in first 12 weeks of the season. The Packers are not only looking to avenge their week 1 loss to 49ers, but also their loss from last year playoffs. Both those losses came in San Francisco, while they are at home this week. The Niners are playing back-to-back road games after winning a close one on short rest last week. Very cold weather expected. Should help the Pack.
Green Bay +3

 

[Biz]

Great stuff. I LOVE these types of angles. Good luck this weekend.

 

[RDTrains]

Super Bowl losers are 0-5 SU and 0-4-1 ATS away Game One playoffs.

 

[PARGASPORT]

Closed the regular season with a bad week 17, but crazy things happen, especially in week 17.
Green Bay is entering these playoffs with only 8 wins. Teams with less than 9 wins are perfect 6-0 ATS in week 18 WCR, winning 5 of those 6 games outright as underdogs. The Packers have 4 wins less than 49ers and these teams are 3-0 straight up and against the spread in first week of playoffs, winning all three games as home underdogs. Finally, here is one more piece of info that I found in my research for this week: First round playoffs favorites are 0-7 ATS if they won as favorites in same season head to head meeting in first 12 weeks of the season. The Packers are not only looking to avenge their week 1 loss to 49ers, but also their loss from last year playoffs. Both those losses came in San Francisco, while they are at home this week. The Niners are playing back-to-back road games after winning a close one on short rest last week. Very cold weather expected. Should help the Pack.
Green Bay +3

Action bets, about half unit risked on each:

Saints +3
Lots of people saying that Saints can not win a road game this late in the season. I am sure that majority of them have no clue that New Orleans owns the 4th best defense in NFL in yards allowed and points allowed. They are a different team this season. They only won 3 games away from home this season but 3 of their 5 losses were very very close. Eagles just beat Dallas for the first time in 2 years (barely), and they are back where they have not been in 2 years. Inexperienced coach too.

Colts moneyline
Kansas City is all smoke & mirrors. Seven straight losses when getting points against winners of at least 2 straight. Eight straight losses when getting points against .600 or better teams. Chiefs cooling off in last two weeks, after Oakland and Washington self-destructed against them. Colts getting hot at the best possible time.

 

[Scott602]

Good stuff guys great job.

 

[BLAK_MAMBA]

Much respect parga, question, is your gb play your biggest trend this season or its right up there, maybe top 3?

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

Super Bowl losers are 0-5 SU and 0-4-1 ATS away Game One playoffs.

Dating all the way back to the 70's before wild card were the "wild card"


Green bay is in fact the correct play here IMO


I will play the ML though

 

[Bleeder]

Small point but last nfl game of the weekend which means will probably get most action. Pack for me also

 

[Mobdeeper7239]

Small point but last nfl game of the weekend which means will probably get most action. Pack for me also

the last super bowl loser on the road as a favorite was Pittsburgh at Denver. The Tebow game. it was the last game of the wc rd that yr as well

 

[LCJJ]

Like two of your three plays but i think the eagles get it done this weekend... bol on your plays and i always make my way into your threads!

 

[Bleeder]

the last super bowl loser on the road as a favorite was Pittsburgh at Denver. The Tebow game. it was the last game of the wc rd that yr as well

Good point. Having Cobb back is huge also....obvious from last week but since hes been out for awhile his impact to this team still under radar since his return imo. Had a big game vs sf 1ST game too.

 

[PARGASPORT]

Action bets, about half unit risked on each:

Saints +3
Lots of people saying that Saints can not win a road game this late in the season. I am sure that majority of them have no clue that New Orleans owns the 4th best defense in NFL in yards allowed and points allowed. They are a different team this season. They only won 3 games away from home this season but 3 of their 5 losses were very very close. Eagles just beat Dallas for the first time in 2 years (barely), and they are back where they have not been in 2 years. Inexperienced coach too.

Colts moneyline
Kansas City is all smoke & mirrors. Seven straight losses when getting points against winners of at least 2 straight. Eight straight losses when getting points against .600 or better teams. Chiefs cooling off in last two weeks, after Oakland and Washington self-destructed against them. Colts getting hot at the best possible time.

Colts winner.

 

[headquarters]

Thanks for the two winners today parga, go GB go!

 

[BigTosh]

longtime follower. thanks man

 

[savage55]

anything for the morning game tomorrow?

 

[PARGASPORT]

anything for the morning game tomorrow?

Might have something for fun....


Thanks guys.


33-17 YTD

 

[CUSE15]

Good luck tomm PS

 

[IndianaJones2013]

Awesome stuff...Go Pack Go!

 

[PARGASPORT]

Might have something for fun....


Thanks guys.


33-17 YTD

Nah. Green Bay is my only play today. Good luck all.

 

[MGMan]

Based on your comment about the fav winning and covering during the first 12 weeks of the reg season, SD would be a play as they lost by 7 as a 2.5 dog to Cincy in week 12. Thoughts?