WinOne
RX Old-Timer
- Joined
- Sep 21, 2000
- Messages
- 7,708
- Reaction score
- 3
Sorry guys with LW N'Western pick. So I'm 5-1 with my 3 more games to look at (3-0 prior week, 2-1 last week. Doing extremely well overall. I have 3 and a half more games this week that I thought wow, I think we are getting some value. Here goes.
NWestern +7
This is the first road game of the year for PennSt and they have struggle so far against far less opponents than Wildcats pose and Cats have definately played better competition than PSU. Add to that no trip to Evanston is easy for ANY Big10 team of late. NW is 2-0 SU and ATS vs PSU of late and expect this one to go down to the wire. Think we are getting value here as we get additional points because of NW blowout loss in Tempe. Wait till the end of the week and let the PSU backers move this line upward and then jump on it. Also make a small play on the ML as NW wins this one SU. NW is 7-0 ATS as dog of 3'-10 pts, 2-0 as home dog of 3'-7pts.
LSU -6'
Tennessee is the most overrated team in AMERICA. Matter of fact this team has not been good since Tee Martin was running the offense. In home opener for Tigers don't expect Vols to be able to do ANYTHING against this LSU defense. Fulmer has not been able to commit to the Run or the Pass or even the QB. He has managed to keep this offense out of sync. Expect the same in this one and expect them to be down a bit after being dominated by Gators last week in the Swamp. If they thought that Gator team was physical, just wait till they hit the turf in Baton Rouge. Thank God they kept this as a night game, there is no better atmosphere in college football than Tiger Stadium at night.
Oregon +21
This is another game in which I will watch the line go up and grab the points later in the week. Ducks as a 21 point home dog...are you kidding me? While I am no fool, I know that USC will win this one SU with ease. BUT Ducks first team offense will be playing most of this game versus USC 2nd and 3rd team defenders and offense. They will move the ball on them and keep this well within 10-14 points which is where this line really should be. Say what you want but I want to see USC run the ball on the Ugly Duckling defense. I honest don't think they will be able to do it. Ducks giving up less than 3yd per rush. Expect the same in this one. While I'm no expert, I would not be surprised to see Ducks go to some 3-4 looks on defense because they have the size up front to slow down the Trojans run game. It will allow ducks to put more bodies in the secondary. They can also use this to blitz off the corners and get shots on Linehart. Just a thought, this one closer than advertised.
Oregon St +6
See Conan's thread about this game. I think Beavs win this one SU at home. Reser pretty tough place to road teams to visit.
GL,
WinOne!!
NWestern +7
This is the first road game of the year for PennSt and they have struggle so far against far less opponents than Wildcats pose and Cats have definately played better competition than PSU. Add to that no trip to Evanston is easy for ANY Big10 team of late. NW is 2-0 SU and ATS vs PSU of late and expect this one to go down to the wire. Think we are getting value here as we get additional points because of NW blowout loss in Tempe. Wait till the end of the week and let the PSU backers move this line upward and then jump on it. Also make a small play on the ML as NW wins this one SU. NW is 7-0 ATS as dog of 3'-10 pts, 2-0 as home dog of 3'-7pts.
LSU -6'
Tennessee is the most overrated team in AMERICA. Matter of fact this team has not been good since Tee Martin was running the offense. In home opener for Tigers don't expect Vols to be able to do ANYTHING against this LSU defense. Fulmer has not been able to commit to the Run or the Pass or even the QB. He has managed to keep this offense out of sync. Expect the same in this one and expect them to be down a bit after being dominated by Gators last week in the Swamp. If they thought that Gator team was physical, just wait till they hit the turf in Baton Rouge. Thank God they kept this as a night game, there is no better atmosphere in college football than Tiger Stadium at night.
Oregon +21
This is another game in which I will watch the line go up and grab the points later in the week. Ducks as a 21 point home dog...are you kidding me? While I am no fool, I know that USC will win this one SU with ease. BUT Ducks first team offense will be playing most of this game versus USC 2nd and 3rd team defenders and offense. They will move the ball on them and keep this well within 10-14 points which is where this line really should be. Say what you want but I want to see USC run the ball on the Ugly Duckling defense. I honest don't think they will be able to do it. Ducks giving up less than 3yd per rush. Expect the same in this one. While I'm no expert, I would not be surprised to see Ducks go to some 3-4 looks on defense because they have the size up front to slow down the Trojans run game. It will allow ducks to put more bodies in the secondary. They can also use this to blitz off the corners and get shots on Linehart. Just a thought, this one closer than advertised.
Oregon St +6
See Conan's thread about this game. I think Beavs win this one SU at home. Reser pretty tough place to road teams to visit.
GL,
WinOne!!
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ffice:smarttags" /><st1:Street><st1:address>Oregon St</st1:address></st1:Street> +6’
lace>Oregon</st1
