A SECRET WAY FOR THE AVERAGE GAMBLER TO BEAT BOOKMAKERS! (by Sick Gambler)

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Sick,

Some friendly advice....

Stick to scalping and middling because you aren't bright enough to figure out in advance what the closing lines will be on anything unless of course, you are a psychic or an orginator...

If you think even the above average gambler can do as you say, than maybe they can pass Calculus 3 for my nephew in Harvard, lol..

THE SHRINK /infopop/emoticons/icon_razz.gif
 

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Tonight, the consensus line is say -11...5 minutes before kickoff, bowmans is at -12, carib at -10...which way do you go?

fortunately, I called all Sick Gambler's friends and they told me take the -10...so I took the +12... /infopop/emoticons/icon_biggrin.gif /infopop/emoticons/icon_biggrin.gif /infopop/emoticons/icon_biggrin.gif /infopop/emoticons/icon_biggrin.gif
 
thrill, that was a tough call at -10 and +12. This don't happen to me too often. If I was in that situation, I would take the side that the play was on. For example, if the line was 10 and going to 12 eventually, I would have laid the -10. If the line was 12 and going down to 10, i would have taken the +12. I don't know what was the play because I did NOT even look at college footsies tonight. If there was NO move on the game, I would have just middled it at -10 and +12.
 

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OK,

How come you don't take the 2 mins to download it? I'll email you. You'll understand.
 
it screws up my EA Sports pc hockey and baseball game. I keep hearing a noise everytime I'm on a breakaway or something. Last time, Saku Koivu had a penalty shot for the Habs, and I started hearing all these bells, which confused the hell out of me. I got nervous and fanned on the shot, as I had Hasek beat, these bells scared me, and the Habs ended up losing in OT in the playoffs, and I was eliminated. I came so close to advancing to the Stanley cup final and upsetting Hasek and the Red Wings. I never came close again to winning Lord Stanley, thanks to that stupid MSN messenger. Ever since then, NEVER again have I installed this crap.
 

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<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Tonight, the consensus line is say -11...5 minutes before kickoff, bowmans is at -12, carib at -10...which way do you go? <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
The opening line was around -9.5 on monday. Then it moved to -11. This morning the line was -11 then it moved to -10...then it started to move up again. 2-3 minutes before kick off thlne as -11.5 at Pinnacle then it dropped to -10.5, at carib the line moved from -10 to -10.5, at WSEX the line dropped from -11.5 to -11...so I would say +12 was the right side!
 
Nice thread Sick. Very good.

Curt - good luck. Hope you follow what Sick is saying. When I was younger I had several opportunities to take advantage of these situations and blew them. I either was too dumb to take advantage or too greedy to make it last longer than I should. Went for the big kills instead of just milking the guy along and got ran.

If your local takes numbers from the papers he better be taking almost exclusively square action or be throwing out winners right away or no way can he last. Get on line and see where the numbers really are and take the best side of it. If you don't understand ask more questions until you do.

These are the topics some folks really can learn from.
 

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I like the = HENHOUSE = name much better.
Please go back to HENHOUSE ! ! ! !
trader1 sounds very gay

HENHOUSE

thats a manly name..
 
Let me try and get signed on. I have had such problems with it since my wife added another computer.

Don't ask me why! /infopop/emoticons/icon_mad.gif
 

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Hey G-master,

Thank you for the entertaing post. I'm definitely not the Hen. SG just happened to help me out a when I needed it a while ago. Although, I always found the Hen an entertaining post.

What's next, you call me Mr. McIrish? UnF*cking likely.

Please sign on to MSN.

T
 

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Why do you think I'm the Hen?

BTW Mr. McIrish is one of the most solid guys you'll ever find. I believe Hen is solid also.
 

acw

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Who apart from trying to price up a game as accurate as possible also tries to make a prediction of how the market move will be?
 

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There is no mention of risk. Over the long run you will make money...but what about the risk of going broke? Sick's advice is good for a solid bankroll. For those with a limited bankroll, I would middle and scalp. Open up LOTS of accounts and get to work.

Good luck
 
If the game went to 12 at most of the sharp sports books, but you can still get a 10, the right decision is to lay the 10 but NOT MIDDLE a 10 and a 12!!!

Why would anyone want to give up a 2 point advantage to be at a disadvantage with what I call a stupes middle (10-12 is weak)...

As I stated before, MIDDLING football is for LOSERS and you will eventually go BROKE trying to make a living doing it...

HOOPS on the other hand is a completely different story that offers a much better chance to win at!

THE SHRINK
 

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Shrink...I guess I'm a loser /infopop/emoticons/icon_rolleyes.gif

I agreee that -10 and +12 aint the right move, and I don't want to get into specific numbers, but anything can be middled. I for one have have south florida +4 so miss -2.5. I don't have an opinion on the game so I play the numbers. Most would argue that I'm giving away my advantage when I take the strong side. I agree. But I am also reducing my risk. I still have an advantage on the play and my risk is minimal.
 

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I think my local has all squares betting with him. They have no clue about this. I will keep you posted on the differences in lines and will try it for awhile. On Saturday's college games is where there are most differences. Thanks.
 

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