*****2022 NFL Plays*****

[TheComputerGroup]

Yes its early, but im ready for the NFL to kickoff......one game that im liking is on TNF

Bills ML (-105)



I will post more info as we enter the preseason & beyond.

 

[BigLouReturns]

I have 4 wagers on the books for week one already but not that game. Good luck CG.

 

[jgm4661]

I just got the Lind'ys guide and did my power rankings for 2022. I think there are a few lines w some value, though some w risk.

CHI +6.5( CHI w QB Fields but sf's pass D is mediocre)
ARI+3 ( these 2 teams are = so s be ARI -2.5 though DeAndre Hopkins is suspended )
DAL+2.5( tb is a little better but should be a pickem in DAL)

 

[TheComputerGroup]

I just got the Lind'ys guide and did my power rankings for 2022. I think there are a few lines w some value, though some w risk.

CHI +6.5( CHI w QB Fields but sf's pass D is mediocre)
ARI+3 ( these 2 teams are = so s be ARI -2.5 though DeAndre Hopkins is suspended )
DAL+2.5( tb is a little better but should be a pickem in DAL)

I can see the Bears covering, but not a game that im looking at for week 1. That Arizona game is tough......Chiefs usually do well week 1.

Dallas should have beaten Tampa last year week 1 in Tampa on TNF.....big revenge game for Dallas.......lets see where the spread does leading up to the game.

 

[jgm4661]

I can see the Bears covering, but not a game that im looking at for week 1. That Arizona game is tough......Chiefs usually do well week 1.

Dallas should have beaten Tampa last year week 1 in Tampa on TNF.....big revenge game for Dallas.......lets see where the spread does leading up to the game.

I agree. CHI have a new HC, unproven QB and are rated one of the worst in the league so risk maybe too great. Maybe see how they do in wk1.

Of those , I like DAL(caps for home) too. tb had an overall score of 70, DAL 68 so pretty even.

FYI have DET + 3 and den - 4.5 w some value too.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

I agree. CHI have a new HC, unproven QB and are rated one of the worst in the league so risk maybe too great. Maybe see how they do in wk1.

Of those , I like DAL(caps for home) too. tb had an overall score of 70, DAL 68 so pretty even.

FYI have DET + 3 and den - 4.5 w some value too.

Yeah, Dallas is a solid play.......I have a few angles on the Lions......I see Lions +4 at several books. Denver -4.5 I like as well, but those MNF games can be tricky. I'll wait until game day to see if ill bet them.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Here are several trends for week 1........

Browns are 0-16-1 SU week 1 past 17 years....I think the Browns finally break that trend of losing this year.


Patriots are 16-4 SU week 1 since 2002.....of course most were with Brady.


Colts are 0-8 SU week 1 since 2014.......Colts get Qb Matt Ryan from Atlanta.....can they snap that 8 game losing streak.


Jaguars are 0-16 SU vs NFC opponents past 4 seasons, & 0-6 ATS vs NFC past 6.....something has to give, with 5 NFC games this season, theyre bound to win one of them.


Super Bowl loser is 4-18 ATS past 22 seasons........Steelers +6.5 looking solid, but not betting it as of now.


Super bowl winner is 18-3 SU & 13-6-2 ATS past 21 seasons......im going against this trend & taking the Bills.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Adding an early 2 team ML parlay:


Bills +1/2 (-110)
Ravens ML (-210)


Pays (+181)

 

[paddy5thdown]

Only Pre-Season Play I made is EAGLES to win NFC EAST. Then the Superbowl
Hurts so good
Come on eagles, Jalen Hurts so good
Sometimes love don't feel like it should
You make it Hurts so good.
Fly Eagles Fly

 

[SaintsFan1977]

Here are several trends for week 1........

Browns are 0-16-1 SU week 1 past 17 years....I think the Browns finally break that trend of losing this year.

I would think Baker wants to stick it to the Browns. Im thinking Carolina SU.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

I would think Baker wants to stick it to the Browns. Im thinking Carolina SU.

Its a weird game, line is Browns -1.5 at most books & Carolina has Darnold & Baker while the Browns dont even know if Watson will play this season. Im staying away from betting this game.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Adding a preseason play:


Rams ML (+130) over the Chargers

 

[exploited17]

Super bowl winner is 18-3 SU & 13-6-2 ATS past 21 seasons......im going against this trend & taking the Bills.

I see0 value in the Bills
Gotta take Rams or nothing here
How are Bills road favorites?
They may win and I hope they do unless I make a big bet, but seems a bit of a silly line
I would take the value. I think Rams win this gamemore often than they lose if they played 100 times

 

[paddy5thdown]

I see0 value in the Bills
Gotta take Rams or nothing here
How are Bills road favorites?
They may win and I hope they do unless I make a big bet, but seems a bit of a silly line
I would take the value. I think Rams win this gamemore often than they lose if they played 100 times

Could not have said it any better, exploited17

 

[TheComputerGroup]

I see0 value in the Bills
Gotta take Rams or nothing here
How are Bills road favorites?
They may win and I hope they do unless I make a big bet, but seems a bit of a silly line
I would take the value. I think Rams win this gamemore often than they lose if they played 100 times

If Rams stay as a dog, I may buy back my Bills wager.

 

[BigLouReturns]

If Rams stay as a dog, I may buy back my Bills wager.

Stand by your wager.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Stand by your wager.

If I make any changes on this game it wont be until game day.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Preseason trend:


Ravens are 20-0 SU in pre-season since 2016

 

[TheComputerGroup]

Adding preseason week 2 Sunday play:


Cardinals ML (+250) over Ravens

 

[G-Man!]

Its a weird game, line is Browns -1.5 at most books & Carolina has Darnold & Baker while the Browns dont even know if Watson will play this season. Im staying away from betting this game.

What the Browns do have is an improved defense. thats what is going to give them a chance in some games without a true starting QB....
They'll likely rely a lot on their TOP Running game to score.

LY they had a ton of offensive injuries all season.