4-2 +83 for consecutive weeks to finish the regular season with some positive vibes!….got a late start posting on this site and the record in those weeks is not good….. 24-28 -$230
I am going to try to play a side and total in every playoff game…we will see how long that lasts?
played Cincy - Vegas under 48’ earlier tonight. 44/40
I think that there are 7 elite quarterback and skill people groups this year, obviously Rodgers and GB, Mahomes and KC, Herbert and the Chargers, Burrow and the Bengals, Dak and the Cowboys, Brady with Tampa and Josh Allen with Buffalo…all of the teams in the NFC west are close, but I can’t call Stafford elite based on his recent play, Wilson has Metcalf and Lockett, but not much else, Jimmy G not elite in my opinion and Murray without Hopkins isn’t quite there yet…anyhow, of all the elite teams only the Bengals are in the bottom half of sacks allowed, actually 30th with 55 sacks allowed…the other 6 are all in the top 12…Burrow has been sacked 3 + 12x…that’s one reason I am leaning to the under here.
I think Vegas is a different team on offense lately as well, more rush attempts and ball control with Renfrow, compared to earlier in the year when Ruggs was there and Waller was 100%…I think they need to eat clock and keep Burrow and the boys off the field…Vegas has had trouble in the red zone scoring TD’s all year as well…Vegas still takes deep shots, but have not hit any lately, if they do the under is doomed.
I like the way this Vegas run D has been playing of late, taking pride in stopping the run the last several weeks, hopefully that continues and the Bengals have to convert on 3rd and long with Crosby and a pretty good Vegas pass rush making Burrow uncomfortable.
I also HOPE that resting the Bengal skill people last week (obviously the right thing to do) slows their momentum some…yes I know Burrow has thrown for close to 1,000 yards and has 8 touchdowns his last two starts!…the last time these teams played the Bengals were off a bye week and Burrow had only one touchdown pass after throwing for 20 in their first 9 games…in fact he only threw for 6 Td’s in the next 5 games after the bye week, before heating back up (big time) the last two games.
I think the Bengal defense with actually benefit more from the rest than the offense .
lastly the Bengals scored 32 at Vegas, but kicked 4 field goals, 3 of which were from 50+ yards, I doubt that happens in cold Cincinnati.
good luck and more to come!
I am going to try to play a side and total in every playoff game…we will see how long that lasts?
played Cincy - Vegas under 48’ earlier tonight. 44/40
I think that there are 7 elite quarterback and skill people groups this year, obviously Rodgers and GB, Mahomes and KC, Herbert and the Chargers, Burrow and the Bengals, Dak and the Cowboys, Brady with Tampa and Josh Allen with Buffalo…all of the teams in the NFC west are close, but I can’t call Stafford elite based on his recent play, Wilson has Metcalf and Lockett, but not much else, Jimmy G not elite in my opinion and Murray without Hopkins isn’t quite there yet…anyhow, of all the elite teams only the Bengals are in the bottom half of sacks allowed, actually 30th with 55 sacks allowed…the other 6 are all in the top 12…Burrow has been sacked 3 + 12x…that’s one reason I am leaning to the under here.
I think Vegas is a different team on offense lately as well, more rush attempts and ball control with Renfrow, compared to earlier in the year when Ruggs was there and Waller was 100%…I think they need to eat clock and keep Burrow and the boys off the field…Vegas has had trouble in the red zone scoring TD’s all year as well…Vegas still takes deep shots, but have not hit any lately, if they do the under is doomed.
I like the way this Vegas run D has been playing of late, taking pride in stopping the run the last several weeks, hopefully that continues and the Bengals have to convert on 3rd and long with Crosby and a pretty good Vegas pass rush making Burrow uncomfortable.
I also HOPE that resting the Bengal skill people last week (obviously the right thing to do) slows their momentum some…yes I know Burrow has thrown for close to 1,000 yards and has 8 touchdowns his last two starts!…the last time these teams played the Bengals were off a bye week and Burrow had only one touchdown pass after throwing for 20 in their first 9 games…in fact he only threw for 6 Td’s in the next 5 games after the bye week, before heating back up (big time) the last two games.
I think the Bengal defense with actually benefit more from the rest than the offense .
lastly the Bengals scored 32 at Vegas, but kicked 4 field goals, 3 of which were from 50+ yards, I doubt that happens in cold Cincinnati.
good luck and more to come!