Saturday Service Play Thread 1/15/2022

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Let's go Brandon!
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HITMAN | NFL Total - Saturday, Jan 15 2022 4:30PM
141 LVR / 142 CIN UNDER 49.5 BetOnlinedouble-dime bet

Analysis:
The raiders have been an offense I’ve wanted to fade for quite some time now. They are averaging only 19.4 PPG over their last 10 games since losing Henry Ruggs, yet their implied point total is at 21.5 in this one against what I consider at least a league average defense in Cincinnati.

The Raiders pass rush is legit and could cause Joe Burrow to not absolutely light up this defense like he has in weeks past. This pass rush bothered this Bengals offense enough that in their previous matchup this season the Bengals could only muster 4.1 YPP.

The weather is calling for potential snow and 20 degree temperatures, which could only help our under. Derek Carr in his career has thrown for only 6.1 YPA and a 8-7 TD/INT ratio in 7 career games where the temperature was 40 or below.
 

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North Coast Newsletter Keys and Predicted Scores:

A Las Vegas
C Buffalo

LV...........23
Cinn.......27

New England....20
Buffalo...............25
 

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Received at 2:00 today


HITMAN | NFL Prop - Saturday, Jan 15 2022 8:15PM
Allen O

(-115)William Hill 143 NEP vs 144 BUF single-dime bet

Analysis: Josh Allen (BUF) O39.5 rush yds -115 (Caesars/DK/Super Book)
 

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Someone needs to start a thread for Monday as there’s a game Rams v Az on Monday ,, move people below to Monday when u open thread

posted today at 4:00


HITMAN | NFL Prop - Monday, Jan 17 2022 8:15PM
Kupp O

(-115)BetOnline 151 ARI vs 152 LOS single-dime bet

Analysis:
Cooper Kupp (LAR) O98.5 rec Yds -115 (Consensus)
 

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HITMAN | NFL Prop - Saturday, Jan 15 2022 8:15PM
Jonnu U

(-160)William Hill 143 NEP vs 144 BUF single-dime bet

Analysis:
Jonnu Smith (NE) U1.5 receptions -160 (DK/Caesars/365/MGM)

Juicy, but I have to play under 1.5 on a player who has failed to clear this number in 7 of his last 8 games and ran 7 routes last week. New England will try to be run heavy early, and if they fall behind (possibility as a 4.5 point underdog), Jonnu likely won’t be playing in the Patriots 11 personnel.
 

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