Patriots ML?

[Avocado33]

Feels like the best value play on the board. New England is probably the better team and getting plus money to win outright.

Could see a close game that Buffalo pulls out but don’t see how the Patriots aren’t at least competitive unless Mac falls off a cliff tonight. Even then I don’t think they need much from him

 

[seldomseen]

Good luck with your play. I like the Bills here. The lookahead was -4. NE schedule during their winning streak hasn't exactly been murderers row. Rookie qb, weaker arm in poor weather, prime time divisional game on the road, facing the No. 1 def in terms of pressure rate. This is a pretty tough spot for NE imo.

 

[Avocado33]

Good luck with your play. I like the Bills here. The lookahead was -4. NE schedule during their winning streak hasn't exactly been murderers row. Rookie qb, weaker arm in poor weather, prime time divisional game on the road, facing the No. 1 def in terms of pressure rate. This is a pretty tough spot for NE imo.

Well I need to stay within a point of you in the contest so I hope you’re wrong

 

[lovedoggies]

Feels like the best value play on the board. New England is probably the better team and getting plus money to win outright.

Could see a close game that Buffalo pulls out but don’t see how the Patriots aren’t at least competitive unless Mac falls off a cliff tonight. Even then I don’t think they need much from him

Value???
Do you know the definition?
Lots of people use the word just to be a big shot.

 

[Avocado33]

Value???
Do you know the definition?
Lots of people use the word just to be a big shot.

Well you’re getting the better team to win at a cheaper price….

 

[Willie99]

Fuck me

The main forum jinx going to be tested now

No, nothing about the OP, just the go against main forum prediction threads system which hits like 80%

Hopefully Dr Denial starts a thread predicting a blowout

 

[Avocado33]

Fuck me

The main forum jinx going to be tested now

No, nothing about the OP, just the go against main forum prediction threads system which hits like 80%

Hopefully Dr Denial starts a thread predicting a blowout

Offsetting factors man. Dr Love already predicted 10+ Point Bills win

We all good unless the Bills have magically learned how to run the ball before kickoff

 

[Michelangelo]

Good luck with your play. I like the Bills here. The lookahead was -4. NE schedule during their winning streak hasn't exactly been murderers row. Rookie qb, weaker arm in poor weather, prime time divisional game on the road, facing the No. 1 def in terms of pressure rate. This is a pretty tough spot for NE imo.

"facing the #1 Defense in terms of pressure rate"

How is that defined, ss.

The ultimate pressure play is the sack. The Bills have 20. The Pats have 30.

What am I missing?

 

[exploited17]

"facing the #1 Defense in terms of pressure rate"

How is that defined, ss.

The ultimate pressure play is the sack. The Bills have 20. The Pats have 30.

What am I missing?

You know that is not true.
If you have to get rid of the ball before you want to that is pressure
Tipped passes
Guys in your face
And so on
Even the best teams only get 3-4 sacks a game
But all the other disruptions where a QB has to move out the pocket, get rid of the ball quick and so on are pressures
Many more of those than sacks

 

[Michelangelo]

Well I'm still trying to get the exact definition of "pressures". And who keeps that stat?

You don't think that sacks and "pressures" should correlate?

 

[seldomseen]

Well I'm still trying to get the exact definition of "pressures". And who keeps that stat?

You don't think that sacks and "pressures" should correlate?

Profootball Reference>>>advanced def stats.

Bills are 1st in qb hurries and pressure% which combines hurries, knockdown, and sacks.

 

[rolltide]

Well I'm still trying to get the exact definition of "pressures". And who keeps that stat?

You don't think that sacks and "pressures" should correlate?

the nfl definition of pressures is hurries + knockdowns + sacks

top 5 in total pressures are Miami TB DAL MIN BUF with NE just 6 less total pressures than BUF. If you go by pressures per dropback then BUF is #1 in NFL at 30.2% and NE #4 at 26.6%

so Buf slightly better pressures team but they're basically equal.

Steelers have a ton of sacks (lead NFL) but only 17th in pressures and 18th in press%

 

[Michelangelo]

Profootball Reference>>>advanced def stats.

Bills are 1st in qb hurries and pressure% which combines hurries, knockdown, and sacks.

Thanks, ss. Looking at those stats right now.

Where can we find how a QB performs under such "pressure"?

 

[Michelangelo]

the nfl definition of pressures is hurries + knockdowns + sacks

top 5 in total pressures are Miami TB DAL MIN BUF with NE just 6 less total pressures than BUF. If you go by pressures per dropback then BUF is #1 in NFL at 30.2% and NE #4 at 26.6%

so Buf slightly better pressures team but they're basically equal.

Steelers have a ton of sacks (lead NFL) but only 17th in pressures and 18th in press%

Thanks, rt.

 

[rolltide]

Thanks, ss. Looking at those stats right now.

Where can we find how a QB performs under such "pressure"?

PFF has a category called passer rating under pressure but i think it's a subscription to view. yday they showed that Brady's rating under pressure this year was something like 110. Last year Tannehill was #1 with 112.4

 

[Willie99]

I just want to score more points or give up less points

I'll leave the details up to the GOAT

 

[Dr.Love]

Hopefully Dr Denial starts a thread predicting a blowout

Dr Denial.

Hahahaha!

 

[Dr.Love]

Dr Love already predicted 10+ Point Bills win

Yes. This is correct.

 

[Dr.Love]

Good luck throwing in that wind with your popgun arm, Mac.

 

[Willie99]

Good luck with your play. I like the Bills here. The lookahead was -4. NE schedule during their winning streak hasn't exactly been murderers row. Rookie qb, weaker arm in poor weather, prime time divisional game on the road, facing the No. 1 def in terms of pressure rate. This is a pretty tough spot for NE imo.

They beat the Chargers on the road, destroyed the Browns, destroyed the Titans , destroyed the Panthers, destroyed the Falcons, destroyed the Jets

Made everyone look worse than any other team has

Lost to the Fish on opening day on a fumble inside the 5 with under a minute to play, lost to the Bucs when a FG hit the upright, lost to the Cowboys in OT..... c'mon man, their game can't be trivialized. They're inches from being 11-1

The Bills lost to a weak Steelers team, lost to the lowly Jaqs, got manhandled by the Colts , what does any of that mean?

All adds up to a good matchup