NFL week 13

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Started posting a few plays 2 weeks ago, after claiming to be having a good year in the NFL…you wouldn’t believe it by my record here.

4-6 -$101


Not loving this week, but played three games.

Balt- Pitt over 44’….55/50…..I think the Ravens run game gets healthy here against a broken Steelers run defense…also look for both QB’s to bounce back from awful games…Steelers pass offense has hit more big plays recently and the Baltimore defense is vulnerable to big plays…beautiful weather in Pittsburgh for December helps as well.

WFT +2…..44/40….sort of like the line in the Giants/Philly game last week…this line smells fishy!…Vegas with a few extra days (played Thanksgiving and beat the Cowboys) and WFT played Monday and has to travel…Vegas only a 2pt. fav.?…WFT playing the ultimate underdog football, running, eating clock and taking care of the ball lately…BUT, if they don’t do that, Carr might throw for 500+ on the WFT shaky secondary!

Cincy -3…..33/30….I know you are getting absolutely no value here with the Bengals pounding Pittsburgh last week and the Chargers losing big @ Denever…..taking what I believe is the better team at home with a short number…Herbert using his legs more lately scares me to death…I just think Cincy is better in all 3 phases.


good luck to all today!
 

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The beat goes on…1-2 early…fuck Harbaugh, would of at least had a prayer for the over in OT.

KC-Den under 46’ in the nightcap…….44/40…..KC has yet to prove to me that they are completely back to the high flying offense they were…. But their defense has been VG of late…no rush Td’s allowed in the last 6wks!…7-7 ratio on pass D the last 6 as well…I think Den has finally figured out that they can’t be pass happy and win…84 rush attempts the last 2….Teddy taking care of it, but only 3Td’s the last 3 weeks….for what its worth Denver has stopped 9 of last 11 opps. 4th down atts.
 

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2-2 on Sunday, down a few bucks…trying to eke out a winning week…thought I would be on N.E, as they are playing great underdog football…getting turnovers, cranked up the run game, and Jones is arguably outplaying Allen the last 5 weeks 7-2 ratio, compared to Allen 8-7 the last 4 games…BUT after seeing the conditions, I like the strong arm and legs of Allen tonight…as good as Jones has been, he only has a 4-4 ratio on the road, compared to 14-4 at home…Allen has already played in windy and rainy conditions twice this year (not this bad) vs. Pitt and Houston 3-1 ratio…Jones did well in the rain vs. Tampa, but I don’t think wind was a factor?

so all that being said, it’s

Buff -3 for me…going very small. 33/30

good luck!
 

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