8:20 p.m. ET: Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints
This Thursday Night matchup features two NFC teams looking to snap losing streaks. The Cowboys (7-4 SU, 8-3 ATS) have dropped two straight and three of their last four, most recently falling to the Raiders 36-33 on Thanksgiving as 7-point home favorites. Meanwhile, the Saints (5-6 SU, 5-6 ATS) have lost four straight and just got crushed by the Bills 31-6 on Thanksgiving, failing to cover as 7-point home dogs.
This line opened with Dallas listed as a 5.5-point road favorite. The public is all over Dallas, with 81% of bets at DraftKings laying the points with the Cowboys. However, we've seen this line fall from 5.5 to 4.5. The major reason for the line move is a COVID situation with the Cowboys, who will be without two players and six coaches, including head coach Mike McCarthy. The line even reached 4 at some shops, but then ticked back up to 4.5 or 5 when Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb were upgraded to probable. Taysom Hill will get the start for New Orleans.
The Saints have value as a contrarian dog only getting 19% of bets in a heavily bet game. Primetime dogs are 23-13 ATS (64%) this season. Dogs off a blowout loss of 20 points are 14-9 ATS (61%). Conference dogs 7 or less are 57-32 ATS (64%). Sean Payton is 4-2 ATS as a dog this season and 45-27 ATS (62%) in his career.
The Saints are a teaser candidate as well ( 4.5 to 10.5), which goes through multiple key numbers.
The total hasn't budged off the opener of 47.5. Primetime unders are 19-16 (54%) on the season, but are a blistering 17-8 (68%) over the past two months.
This Thursday Night matchup features two NFC teams looking to snap losing streaks. The Cowboys (7-4 SU, 8-3 ATS) have dropped two straight and three of their last four, most recently falling to the Raiders 36-33 on Thanksgiving as 7-point home favorites. Meanwhile, the Saints (5-6 SU, 5-6 ATS) have lost four straight and just got crushed by the Bills 31-6 on Thanksgiving, failing to cover as 7-point home dogs.
This line opened with Dallas listed as a 5.5-point road favorite. The public is all over Dallas, with 81% of bets at DraftKings laying the points with the Cowboys. However, we've seen this line fall from 5.5 to 4.5. The major reason for the line move is a COVID situation with the Cowboys, who will be without two players and six coaches, including head coach Mike McCarthy. The line even reached 4 at some shops, but then ticked back up to 4.5 or 5 when Amari Cooper and CeeDee Lamb were upgraded to probable. Taysom Hill will get the start for New Orleans.
The Saints have value as a contrarian dog only getting 19% of bets in a heavily bet game. Primetime dogs are 23-13 ATS (64%) this season. Dogs off a blowout loss of 20 points are 14-9 ATS (61%). Conference dogs 7 or less are 57-32 ATS (64%). Sean Payton is 4-2 ATS as a dog this season and 45-27 ATS (62%) in his career.
The Saints are a teaser candidate as well ( 4.5 to 10.5), which goes through multiple key numbers.
The total hasn't budged off the opener of 47.5. Primetime unders are 19-16 (54%) on the season, but are a blistering 17-8 (68%) over the past two months.
