BIZ NCAAF Birthday Picks - Nov 27

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Biz

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Today is my birthday, for all of you young bastards out there let me tell you time flies. I hope everyone enjoyed their Thanksgiving. Let's hope I can post some winners.

NCAAF - PLATINUM
Georgia 1H -21
Georgia -35

- Rivalry game, Bulldogs have covered 8 straight AT GA Tech and covered 28.5 last time they played there. Also a nice system on a team with a huge scoring margin over the last 3 games (FG and 1H). I think they jump on these guys out of the gate and roll. This defense hates giving up ANYTHING.

Alabama 1H -11.5
Alabama -20

- Alabama has many of the same systems as Utah St, which was a 2U BEST BET yesterday. It's a rivalry game, Tide has lost 3 of the last 4 at Jordan-Hare not to mention the close game last week with Arkansas. Bo Nix is out, and I can see a game where Auburn simply can't keep up with the high powered Bama offense.

Tennessee 1H -18.5
Tennessee -31.5

- Another Rivalry game, and Heupel has the Tennessee offense humming right now. There are multiple systems on Tenn and against Vandy. I think they jump on Vandy from the start and roll here.

Oklahoma/Oklahoma St UNDER 49.5
- Both teams have solid defenses, with OK St holding their last 4 opponents to 17 or less with 3 of those 3 or less. Nice UNDER system on teams playing to a moderate total, and also avg 30+ points per game. Also some steam on this Under.

California +7
- Both teams coming off big wins against their rivals. Cal needs 2 wins to be bowl eligible. Also this from The Gold Sheet.......

"UCLA has rarely played well the week after facing the Trojans. In fact, in the week after facing SC, the Bruins have now failed to cover nine in a row. Road dog has also been a good role for the Golden Bears, who have covered all three chances this season and 9 of their last 10 getting points away, while UCLA has lost and failed to cover three of its last four at the Rose Bowl in 2021"

I have 8 PLATINUM PLAYS, with 6 of them playing 1H/FG. Its a tricky read with Alabama and Georgia, who just have to win......but they are playing in rivalry games.

NCAAF - Regular
Houston/Connecticut UNDER 54.5
- Tons of steam on this UNDER, bet split suggests Under also

Texas Tech/Baylor UNDER 52
- Same system as Ok/Ok St

Penn St -4/ML -180 (1/2U Each)
- I waited too long to get this out and the line has jumped to -4. Nice system FADING a ranked team off a Blowout loss.

Va Tech/Virginia OVER 63.5
- Lots of steam on this OVER, Virginia has scored 30+ 6 of last 7 failing against Notre Dame. They also allow plenty. While the Hokies aren't exactly an offensive juggernaut, they can score against average defenses which describes Virginia.
 

F me, F U
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Happy BDAY you old fart!! Have an awesome day. Good looking PICKS!! Cash em all!!
 

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Happy Birthday. Thanks for the plays, your one of the best on this board without question
 

Biz

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Thank you everyone and my buddy StreetSmart appreciate the kind words.

Big card got Georgia 1H home
 
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Happy Birthday man!! Dawgs 1H in. Let’s nail the others.
 

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Yessir ??

Let's get these 1Hs.

Happy birthday buddy enjoy your day. Let's finish strong and nail this NFL
 

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Happy Birthday Wiz!
 

Biz

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Here's a story for you guys on that Tenn 1H .

A friend of mine bets very large amounts. He bets his own stuff too. He followed my 2020 MLB and made a lot, sent me a nice tip, and we've been in contact since.

He said for your birthday give me your best play and I'll hammer it and give you 10k. Mind you he already gave me 5k as a Holiday gift earlier this week.

I mentioned Tenn 1H last night, said leaning towards that one.

Why I didn't take Georgia I'll never know.

Right after Michigan game we texted, he hammered that Over for 100+k.

I said did we play the Tenn 1H, he said no you didn't mention anything this morning. I said I mentioned it last night, he said thats right sorry. I had my son's game on my mind. Of course I said no worries.

So I'm watching this Tennessee game, and watch Vandy happily run out the clock down 24-0. RB gains 15 and gets pushed OB with 1 second left.

I knew what was coming. We already lost on a Hail Mary once this year.

55 yard heave to the goal line, TD.

Tennessee loses 1H.


That would have ended my wagering career, losing a 10k bet like that.

The 10k bet is Louisville -3.

3.5 hours of torture.

Last year he gave me a 10k NHL bet on a game tied after 2 Periods, Calgary was the play. They scored on the PP with 3 min left and won. That was only 45 minutes or so, tonight will be 3.5 hours.

Go Louisville
 

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Ouch 2-6 and 1-3.. plus Louisville.

Update the losers the same way you update the winners.
 

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Tough day
Keep posting especially with system analysis
Whether you play them all or pick and choose what you think makes sense
It is good info
GL today
 

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