Week 13, some really nice matchups

[Codebreaker]

VT at UVA...... Vegas has UVA -7.5 at home vs VT. That number seems a little light to me, looking at both teams.

Fuente took his marbles and ran home leaving his players in the dust as he stopped by the bank to cash a 10mil termination check from VT. College coaches are nothing more then glorified HS PE teachers. Think of your HS driving instructor, likely a PE teacher, needing an extra few $$ for Xmas presents. Colleges want to give money out, someone has to take it.

VT has been running the ball well the past few weeks, and that is a good thing. The issue is they score very few points, except at home vs Duke. Their passing game is quite horrible, Birmiester has been banged up a bit, but at WR , VT only has 2 guys. The star TE tore his knee weeks ago.

UVA has a horrible defense, but less so while playing at home. VT's running game might get VT to 20 points in this game, but unless Armstrong has 5 TO's VT will get no where near 30 points. If VT gets down early look for the backup QB to get some reps in 3rd-4Q.

VT's defense will travel to Cville and play hard. The issue is Armstrong and UVA's passing game is going to put 40+ up on the Hokies.

Vegas thinks this game is closer then I see it, they may be correct. But no way can VT get close in a shoot out. The over is 63 if you like VT their only chance is under 63.

Take UVA -7.5, Fuente left 2 weeks ago with 10 million, He missed VT losing to Miami on the road, maybe a PE teacher is smarter then I think?

 

[Codebreaker]

Old Miss at Miss St Over 61.5

 

[Codebreaker]

I liked Neb -3 here vs Iowa. Now its Neb +1.5 I'm sticking with Neb and taking the under 41. Of course if the new QB pukes up 5TO's, in game adjustments will be needed.

Iowa is over rated and Neb is the best 3-8 team of all time.

 

[Codebreaker]

OSU at Mich Over 63

 

[Codebreaker]

Ok St -3.5

 

[Codebreaker]

Back to UVA vs VT,

UVA is going to score 40+ on VT this week, They did it at 11:00 pm in Provo, just last week they did it at Pitt, at UNC they scored 39. The only two flaws were at home vs ND and WF. The ND game is a fluke Armstrong did not play, against WF they only scored 17 at home against a horrible WF defense.

Now VT comes to Hooville with a serviceable defense that is banged up a bit. In the pouring rain at Miami, a QB with only 4 starts gashed VT thru the air for 350 yards and 3 TDs.

I just don't see how VT can keep Armstrong from converting 3rd downs all day long. As the conversions accumulate the defense tires. Safeties start peeking, the Mike starts guessing/anticipating and ends up in the wrong gap and boom the RB is 60yards down field. Armstrong can gash defenses with his feet too. That is an issue for VT on 3rd downs.

VT is running the ball pretty well now. That is where they will attack UVA. But, UVA is at home their defense is bad but really bad on the road. Burmniester is banged up, he only has 2 WR targets, UVA will force him to throw the ball and take their chances. The backup is more of a runner then thrower.

VT's only chance is to keep the game under 30 total for 4 Q's and pray for a TO late in the 4th for a 1-2 point win.

It's a rivalry, passions will run high, but the team with the better QB by far, has the edge here like in all other football games.

UVA -7, the over is 55 I'm taking that too with in game adjustments

 

[bogingwun]

Back to UVA vs VT,

UVA is going to score 40+ on VT this week, They did it at 11:00 pm in Provo, just last week they did it at Pitt, at UNC they scored 39. The only two flaws were at home vs ND and WF. The ND game is a fluke Armstrong did not play, against WF they only scored 17 at home against a horrible WF defense.

Now VT comes to Hooville with a serviceable defense that is banged up a bit. In the pouring rain at Miami, a QB with only 4 starts gashed VT thru the air for 350 yards and 3 TDs.

I just don't see how VT can keep Armstrong from converting 3rd downs all day long. As the conversions accumulate the defense tires. Safeties start peeking, the Mike starts guessing/anticipating and ends up in the wrong gap and boom the RB is 60yards down field. Armstrong can gash defenses with his feet too. That is an issue for VT on 3rd downs.

VT is running the ball pretty well now. That is where they will attack UVA. But, UVA is at home their defense is bad but really bad on the road. Burmniester is banged up, he only has 2 WR targets, UVA will force him to throw the ball and take their chances. The backup is more of a runner then thrower.

VT's only chance is to keep the game under 30 total for 4 Q's and pray for a TO late in the 4th for a 1-2 point win.

It's a rivalry, passions will run high, but the team with the better QB by far, has the edge here like in all other football games.

UVA -7, the over is 55 I'm taking that too with in game adjustments

UVA o/u is 62.5?

 

[Codebreaker]

Yes, my bad its 62.5, it's more of a hedge in case VT gashes UVA's defense, and gets this game into Q4. If by some chance VT slows Armstrong down I'll make adjustments.

 

[Codebreaker]

Sorry about Miss St game, very off on that one. 6-3 in 2nd Q is not a good sign for the over. Picked up a lil in 2nd half but still not what I expected.

Neb is now back to -1 at home to Iowa. Nice lil opportunity to catch some points after QB news hit. I got Neb +1.5, Vegas is begging folks to take Iowa +1, we seen that movie already, UNC Vs WF?

GT vs UGA -35, I remember UGA traveling to Atlanta a few years ago and they layed the wood on GT like 52-0, in a game before Bama. This year UGA actually has an offense. I will be surprised if GT offense gets more then 1 point. They may not be traditional rivals, but Kirby Smart had no problems RUTS GT in their own house.

UGA's D is averaging 7.5 points a game. I played on a D like that, forget yards, giving up inches is the standard, no matter the opponent. Its a total commitment, UGA's defense will view this game as a failure if they win 62-3

BOL

 

[MLB]

UGA will probably cover, but I envision them up 41-0 and getting their starters out. Bigger goals this year than running it up on GT

 

[AlistairCookie]

UGA will probably cover, but I envision them up 41-0 and getting their starters out. Bigger goals this year than running it up on GT

Dunno the rivalry is called Clean, Old Fashioned Hate, and the urinals at Georgia Tech are the bulldog.

 

[Codebreaker]

Boise St -3, buy 1/2 a point if more comfortable

 

[brendanjack]

Code what is your analysis on Ohio state Michigan?

 

[Codebreaker]

I just think OSU has the better QB and coach. OSU -7

OSU converts more 3rd downs, this game will be closer then past OSU/Mich games, but the difference is at QB.

VT beat OSU badly in the shoe a few years ago, OSU went on to win National Champ that year. Don't put too much stock into the Oregon loss this year.

 

[Codebreaker]

At 64.5 this is the highest total Vegas has had for a Mich game. It's on the lower end for OSU games. This makes sense because OSU will be the best offense Mich has faced, and Mich is the best defense OSU has faced.

Vegas is saying Mich is going to have to keep up with OSU scoring. Both teams struggled in close games against PSU and Neb. Their running games were held in check in both games. Something to watch early in this game.

OSU scores on average 10 more points per game then Mich, thus the -7 OSU. I don't think Mich can win in a shootout here. Under 64.5 Mich has a chance, if OSU can get to 50, Mich is toast.

 

[Codebreaker]

WF at BC Over 64.5

Wakes defense is very poor, their tackling is some of the worst I've seen. Now they are going to Boston in 30 degree weather. BC should be able to put 30-40 points on the board. Wakes offense averages 40 points a game. The spread is 5.5 this seems like an 80+ total game.

The wind is 16 mph today, with 39 degree temps. lots of arm tackles with eyes closed. lots of wiffs too. Wake will play super fast just to keep warm.

Both teams are bowl eligible

 

[Codebreaker]

Week 13, Started with Neb folding, ended with UVA folding. In between nailed GT and OkST, 1/2 a point LOL, missed BC over, and WTF OSU, the defense just did not show up. VT game the defense did show up as expected, saw a lil of the ol VT D getting after Armstrong, he is sore today. I knew UVA had horrible defense, but VT ran thru them like shit thru a goose.

On to a new week, Ive had a good season lost a lil yesterday though.