CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2021-2022 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

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Baylor vs Arizona State (@ Nassau, Bahamas)
— Baylor (4-0) ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #94
— Experience: #224
— Continuity: #252
— Baylor scored 88.5 ppg in its 4-0 start.
— Bears’ one top 100 win was 86-48 over Stanford.
— Baylor is forcing turnovers 30.3% of time (#2)
— Bears are grabbing 39.3% of their missed shots (#16)
— Baylor’s schedule, to this point: #346
— bench minutes: #56

— Arizona State (2-2) ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #101
— Experience: #221
— Continuity: #310
— ASU is 0-2 vs top 200 teams, losing by 1-2 points.
— Sun Devils are shooting 29.7% on arc (#254)
— Sun Devils are shooting 63.8% on line (#297)
— ASU’s two wins are over teams ranked #307/244.
— ASU’s schedule, to this point: #252
— bench minutes: #106

Seton Hall vs Cal (@ Ft Myers, FL)
— Seton Hall (3-1) ranked #32 by KenPom
— Tempo: #129
— Experience: #29
— Continuity: #187
— Seton Hall beat Michigan by 2, lost to Ohio State by 3.
— Pirates were 5-23 on arc in Monday’s loss to Buckeyes.
— Seton Hall starts four seniors and a sophomore.
— Pirates have #10 eFG% defense in country.
— Seton Hall’s schedule, to this point: #74
— bench minutes: #7

— Cal (2-3) ranked #126 by KenPom
— Tempo: #321
— Experience: #70
— Continuity: #67
— Cal lost by 20 to Florida Monday; they were down by 26.
— Bears also have losses to UNLV, Cal-San Diego.
— Cal is shooting 44.7% inside arc (#273)
— Bears have a double OT at home over Southern Utah.
— Cal’s schedule, to this point: #148
— bench minutes: #215

Ohio State vs Florida (@ Ft Myers, FL)
— Ohio State (4-1) ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #268
— Experience: #191
— Continuity: #185
— Ohio State lost by 6 at Xavier, beat Seton Hall by 3.
— Buckeyes are shooting 39.1% on arc (#40)
— Ohio State played eight guys 18:00+ in Monday’s win.
— Buckeyes haven’t been good on defensive boards (#283)
— Ohio State’s schedule, to this point: #119
— bench minutes: #73

— Florida (4-0) ranked #13 by KenPom
— Tempo: #211
— Experience: #19
— Continuity: #235
— Florida’s best win is 71-55 over Florida State.
— Gators have #22 eFG% defense in country.
— Florida are rebounding 34.9% of their missed shots (#51)
— Gators are giving up only 55.3 ppg.
— Florida’s schedule, to this point: #149
— bench minutes: #232

Xavier vs Iowa State (@ Brooklyn)
— Xavier (4-0) ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #140
— Experience: #135
— Continuity: #126
— Xavier’s best win is a 71-65 win over Ohio State
— Musketeers are giving up only 58 ppg.
— Opponents are shooting 36.1% inside arc (#3)
— Xavier’s schedule, to this point: #242
— bench minutes: #206
— This is Xavier’s first game away from home.

— Iowa State (4-0) ranked #111 by KenPom
— Tempo: #120
— Experience: #107
— Continuity: #332
— Iowa State’s only decent win: 60-50 over #99 Oregon State.
— They have one win against team ranked higher than #292.
— Cyclones are forcing turnovers 26% of time (#18)
— Iowa State is turning ball over 20.5% of time (#238)
— Iowa State’s schedule, to this point: #347
— bench minutes: #147

Memphis vs Virginia Tech (@ Brooklyn)
— Memphis (4-0) ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #3
— Experience: #279
— Continuity: #192
— Memphis beat Saint Louis by 16, Western Kentucky by 12.
— Tigers are turning ball over 27.2% of time (#353)
— Memphis is forcing turnovers 25.3% of time (#27)
— Tigers have blocked 25.9% of opponents’ shots (#1)
— Memphis’ schedule, to this point: #304
— bench minutes: #16

— Virginia Tech (5-0) ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #309
— Experience: #130
— Continuity: #129
— Tech’s only win in top 225 was over #152 Navy.
— Hokies are making 42.5% of their 3’s (#13)
— Tech is giving up only 48.2 ppg, vs stiffs.
— Hokies are jumping way up in class here.
— Tech’s schedule, to this point: #338
— bench minutes: #236

Pepperdine vs TCU (@ JSerra HS, CA)
— Pepperdine (2-4) ranked #203 by KenPom
— Tempo: #139
— Experience: #259
— Continuity: #284
— Pepperdine is 0-4 vs top 200 teams (3 losses by 12+)
— Waves are turning ball over 24.4% of time (#329)
— Pepperdine is shooting 44.5% inside arc (#277)
— Waves were outscored 25-6 on foul line Monday’s 70-63 loss.
— Pepperdine’s schedule, to this point: #197
— bench minutes: #325

— TCU (3-1) ranked #79 by KenPom
— Tempo: #193
— Experience: #205
— Continuity: #300
— TCU lost its only top 200 game 85-66 to Santa Clara
— Horned Frogs’ best win is 63-50 over #216 Nicholls State.
— TCU forces turnovers 23.9% of time (#39)
— Horned Frogs are shooting 45.6% inside arc (#254)
— TCU’s schedule, to this point: #313
— bench minutes: #66

Santa Clara vs Fresno State (@ JSerra HS, CA)
— Santa Clara (5-0) ranked #72 by KenPom
— Tempo: #91
— Experience: #82
— Continuity: #134
— Santa Clara has jumped 52 spots in rankings in two weeks.
— Broncos are scoring 88 ppg this season.
— Santa Clara is shooting 42.5% on arc (#13)
— Broncos already have three top 100 wins.
— Santa Clara’s schedule, to this point: #191
— bench minutes: #314

— Fresno State (4-0) ranked #122 by KenPom
— Tempo: #322
— Experience: #196
— Continuity: #62
— Fresno hasn’t played a top 200 team yet.
— Bulldogs are forcing turnovers 22.3% of time (#61)
— Fresno was down 7 with 9:52 left Monday, beat Pepperdine by 7.
— Bulldogs are playing five juniors, four sophomores.
— Fresno’s schedule, to this point: #350
— bench minutes: #134
 

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NCAAB

Wednesday, November 24


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Trend Report
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UConn is 9-3-1 ATS in the past 13 games against winning teams.
Auburn is 8-3 ATS in the past 11 neutral-site games.
The UNDER is 5-1 in UConn's past six neutral-site games.
The UNDER is 7-1 in Auburn's past eight neutral-site games.


Xavier has covered the spread in three of its last four games.
Xavier has gone UNDER the point total in three of its last four games.


Arizona State has gone UNDER the point total in four straight games.
Arizona State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four game.


Memphis is 5-1 ATS in the past six neutral-site games.
Memphis is 17-4 ATS in the past 21 games overall.
Virginia Tech is 5-0 ATS in the past five games overall.
Virginia Tech is 2-5 ATS in the past seven neutral-site games.
The UNDER is 7-3 in the past 10 neutral-site games for Memphis.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four neutral-site games for Virginia Tech.
 

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WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 24
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


WRST at LBSU 12:00 PM
WRST -10.0
+500

L-IL at MSU 12:00 PM
MSU -2.5
U 137.5

+500 +500

RID at BUCK 12:30 PM
BUCK +2.0
+500

SUU at BGSU 01:30 PM
SUU -2.0
+500

UVM at APP 01:30 PM
UVM -5.5
+500

COPP at CAN 02:00 PM
COPP +10.0
+500

STON at FAIR 02:00 PM
STON +1.0
+500

FDU at NJIT 02:00 PM
FDU +6.0
+500

CARK at UNO 02:00 PM
CARK +8.5
+500

JMU at MURR 02:30 PM
MURR -4.5
+500

JVST at DREX 02:30 PM
DREX +3.0
+500

CONN at AUB 02:30 PM
CONN -3.0
+500

HOU at ORE 02:30 PM
HOU -4.5
+500

*************************

WIU at EMU 03:00 PM
EMU -1.0
+500

CP at IDHO 03:00 PM
U 133.0
+500

MTU at MER 03:00 PM
MER -4.5
O 131.5

+500 +500

LAM at UTSA 03:00 PM
UTSA -3.5
+500

SFPA at COR 04:00 PM
SFPA +2.5
+500

VMI at PRE 04:00 PM
O 132.0
+500

DEN at AFA 04:00 PM
AFA -7.5
+500

*******************

VCU at SYR 05:00 PM
VCU +6.0
O 133.0
+500 +500

WIS at SMC 05:00 PM
WIS -3.0
+500

RICE at FOR 05:00 PM
FOR +6.5
+500

AAMU at WKU 05:00 PM
AAMU +18.5
+500

GW at MOSU 05:30 PM
MOSU -11.5
+500

TULN at VALP 05:30 PM
TULN -4.5
+500

NICH at UVU 05:30 PM
UVU -2.5
U 139.0

+500 +500

********************

BUFF at ILST 06:00 PM
ILST +10.0
+500

HALL at CAL 06:00 PM
CAL +12.0
+500
 

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EVENING ACTION:

USM at UNCW 07:00 PM
USM +2.0
+500

HAMP at USF 07:00 PM
HAMP +10.0
+500

XAV at ISU 07:00 PM
ISU +9.0
+500

PRIN at MONM 07:00 PM
U 144.0
+500

COLG at HARV 07:00 PM
COLG -3.5
+500

UMASS at MASS 07:00 PM
MASS -10.0
+500

TST at MICH 07:00 PM
TST +21.5
+500

WASH at NEV 07:00 PM
WASH +4.0
+500

BU at FSU 07:00 PM
FSU -18.0
+500

OAK at DEL 07:30 PM
DEL +2.0
+500

BAY at ASU 07:30 PM
BAY -12.0
+500

***********************

HBU at OKLA 08:00 PM
OKLA -34.0
+500

TOL at CCU 08:00 PM
TOL -7.5
+500

KENT at ETSU 08:00 PM
U 134.0
+500

CSF at NAU 08:00 PM
NAU +3.5
+500

SHSU at SMU 08:00 PM
SHSU +12.5
+500

CALBA at TEX 08:30 PM
CALBA +22.0
+500

SFA at SLU 08:30 PM
SFA +4.0
+500

OSU at FLA 08:30 PM
FLA -2.0
+500

**********************

FAMU at UTEP 09:00 PM
FAMU +11.5
+500

VAN at PITT 09:00 PM
O 129.5
+500

JAC at MINN 09:00 PM
MINN -14.5
+500

TXSO at BYU 09:00 PM
BYU -19.0
+500

CHAMIN at BUT 09:00 PM
BUT -20.0
+500

GMU at SDST 09:30 PM
SDST -6.0
+500

MEM at VT 09:30 PM
MEM -3.0
+500

UCSD at MONT 09:30 PM
U 138.0
+500

************************

ARPB at UCSB 10:00 PM
ARPB +24.0
+500

PEPP at TCU 10:30 PM
TCU -11.0
+500

TAM at ND 11:30 PM
U 128.5
+500

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 25
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

SCU at FRES 01:00 AM
SCU -6.0
U 141.0

+500 +500
 

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NOVEMBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

11/24/2021........31-33-1\.........48.43%........-26.50...( Santa Clara Game Pending )
11/23/2021........29-17-1...........62.77%.......+51.50
11/22/2021........22-29-0..........43.13%........-49.50
11/21/2021..........18-8-0..........69.23%.......+46.00
11/20/2021.........12-16-0.........42.86%.........-28.00
11/19/2021..........9-16-1..........36.00%.........-43.00
11/18/2021.........19-21-1.........47.50%.........-20.50
11/17/2021.........15-24-0..........38.46%.........-57.00
11/16/2021.........28-26-1..........51.85%.........- 3.00
11/15/2021.........32-33-1..........49.24%..........-21.50
11/14/2021............8-9-0..........47.06%...........-..9.50
11/13/2021.........10-16-1..........38.89%..........- 38.00
11/12/2021.........39-36-5..........52.00%..........- 3.00
11/11/2021............6-7-0..........46.15%...........- 8.50
11/10/2021............8-12-0 .........40.00%...........-26.00
11/09/2021..........31-47-0..........38.96%..........-103.50

TOTALS.............313-350-9..........47.06%.........-340.00

BEST BETS:

11/24/2021............8-8-0...........50.00%.........- 4.00 ( Santa Clara Game Pending )
11/23/2021..........10-7-0...........58.82............+ 11.50
11/22/2021..........8-13-0...........38.09%..........- 31.50
11/21/2021..........12-7-0...........63.17%..........+25.00
11/20/2021...........5-13-0..........27.77%...........-46.50
11/19/2021...........6-10-1..........37.50%............-25.00
11/18/2021...........6-12-1..........33.33%...........- 36.00
11/17/2021...........9-12-0..........42.85%...........- 15.00
11/16/2021.........23-12-0..........65.71%..........+ 49.00
11/15/2021.........11-16-0..........40.74%............-33.00
11/14/2021............6-8-0...........42,83%............-14.00
11/13/2021...........7-12-0.........36.84%.............-31.00
11/12/2021..........21-18-1.........53.84%...........+ 6.00
11/11/2021............4-04-0.........50.00%............- 2.00
11/10/2021............5-06-0..........45.45%...........- 8.00
11/09/2021............6-16-0..........27.27%..........- 58.00

TOTALS.............137-162-3..........45.81%.........- 212.50


UPDATED 11/24/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack:
Detroit Lions’ all-time leaders in rushing yards:
15,269— Barry Sanders
5,106— Billy Sims
5,105— Dexter Bussey
4,297— Altie Taylor
3,933— Nick Pietrosante
3,452— James Jones

Quote of the Day
“I’m not happy this morning . I’ve never seen such unprofessional behavior exhibited by a player’s agent. I guess words and promises don’t matter.”
Mets’ owner Steve Cohen, after Steven Matz signed with St Louis

Thursday’s quiz
Before moving to Baltimore and becoming the Ravens, where did that franchise call home?

Wednesday’s quiz
Dick Vitale coached the Detroit Pistons after coaching at U of Detroit.

Tuesday’s quiz
Al Pacino’s character coached the Miami Sharks in Any Given Sunday.

********************************

Thursday’s Den: NBA trends to be thankful for…….

Hawks (10-9):

— Won their last six games.
— 7-2 ATS at home, 1-9 on road.
— favorites 8-1 ATS at home
— 1-3 ATS if they played night before.

Celtics (10-9):
— won three of last four games.
— 0ver 4-1 last five home games.
— 3-5 ATS as home favorite, 4-0 ATS as road favorite.
— 4-0 ATS on front end of a back/back.

Nets (14-5):
— won seven of last eight games.
— 4-5 ATS as home favorite, 4-3 ATS as road favorite.
— over 7-1 last eight games
— All five losses were by 13+ points.

Hornets (12-8):
— won six of last seven games
— 1-7 ATS last eight road games.
— under 6-1 last seven games
— 5-1 ATS as home underdog.
— 0-4 ATS if they played night before.

Bulls (12-7):
— Lost three of last five games.
— 6-3 ATS at home, 6-4 ATS on road.
— under 6-2 last eight home games.
— 3-0 ATS on front end of a back/back.

Cavaliers (9-10):
— Lost their last five games SU.
— 13-4 vs spread in last 17 games
— over 3-1 last four games
— 7-3 ATS at home, 6-3 on road.

Mavericks (10-7):
— Lost three of last four games SU.
— Over 5-2 last seven games overall.
— Under 4-2-1 at home.
— 4-1 ATS last five road games.

Nuggets (9-9):
— Lost their last five games
— 2-6 ATS on the road.
— over 5-1 last six games.
— 3-5 ATS as a favorite.

Pistons (4-14):
— Lost five of last six games
— 4-5 ATS as home underdog, 3-5 as road underdog.
— under 5-3 last eight home games.
— 6-4 ATS in last ten games overall.

Warriors (16-2):
— won 12 of last 13 games SU
— covered last five games.
— 9-1-1 ATS as home favorite
— 5-2 ATS on the road.

Rockets (2-16):
— Lost 15 of their last 16 games.
— Under 6-1 last seven games.
— 1-4 ATS as a home underdog.
— 2-7 ATS last nine games overall.

Pacers (8-12):
— Lost four of last six games.
— 0-5 ATS as a road favorite, 5-2 as a road dog.
— under 8-1 last nine road games.
— 4-1 ATS last five home tilts.

Clippers (10-8):
— Lost four of last six games
— under 4-2 on road.
— over 5-2 last seven home games.
— 0-2 ATS if they played night before.

Lakers (10-10):
— 3-5 SU in last eight games
— 3-7 ATS as a home favorite.
— over 4-1 last five home games
— 4-0 SU in overtime games.

Grizzlies (9-9):
— won three of last five games SU.
— last five games went over total.
— 2-4 ATS last six road games.
— 6-4 ATS at home

Heat (9-5):
— won four of last six games SU
— under 3-0-1 last four road games.
— 6-1 ATS at home
— 5-0 ATS as an underdog.

Bucks (11-8):
— won last five games SU, all at home.
— 3-7 ATS at home, 5-4 on road
— under 5-1 last six games overall
— 0-3 ATS on front end of a back/back.

Timberwolves (9-9):
— won last five games, covered last six.
— All five of those wins were by 10+ points.
— under 4-1-1 last six games
— 2-0 ATS on front end of a back/back.

Pelicans (4-16):
— split last four games SU
— 4-4 ATS last eight games
— 6-3 ATS home underdog, 2-8 ATS road underdog
— under 8-1 last nine road games

Knicks (10-8):
— lost four of last six games SU.
— under last five games overall
— 1-5 ATS last six home games
— 3-9 ATS last dozen games overall.

Thunder (6-12):
— covered their last six road games
— 5-4 ATS at home
— last three games overall went over total.
— under 7-2 in their road games.

Magic (4-15):
— lost seven of last eight games SU
— covered four of last five games
— under 8-4 last dozen games
— 2-6 ATS as a home underdog.

76ers (10-9):
— lost seven of last nine games SU
— under 4-1 last five games
— 3-5 ATS at home, 7-4 ATS on road
— 5-2 ATS when favored, 5-7 as underdog.

Suns (15-3):
— won last 14 games SU
— Despite that, they’re 1-5 ATS last six games
— 5-2 ATS last seven home games
— over 4-0 last four games overall

Trailblazers (10-9):
— won four of last five games SU
— 1-8 ATS on the road
— 7-3 ATS at home
— over 4-1 last five road games

Kings (7-12):
— lost eight of last ten games
— under 7-3 at home
— 3-7 ATS at home
— 1-4 ATS as home underdog, 3-2 as road dog.

Spurs (4-13):
— lost last six games SU
— over 7-0-1 at home, 2-7 on road.
— 2-6 ATS last eight games
— 5-7 ATS as an underdog

Raptors (9-10):
— lost seven of last ten games (3-7 ATS)
— 1-7 ATS at home, 7-4 on road.
— over 6-1 last seven games
— 1-4 ATS as a favorite

Jazz (12-6):
— won four of last five games
— over 5-1 last six games
— 5-4 ATS as home favorite, 5-3 as road favorite
— Scored 110+ points in last five games.

Wizards (10-3):
— lost four of last five games (1-4 ATS)
— under 6-0 last six home games
— 1-5 ATS last six home games
— 4-0 ATS as home dogs, 2-4 as road dogs
 

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MIAMI is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) in road games after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half since 1997.

SAN DIEGO is 39-17 ATS (20.3 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) since 1997.

NEW ORLEANS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

N TEXAS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

ALABAMA is 19-7 ATS (11.3 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

ST JOSEPHS are 48-26 ATS (19.4 Units) in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game.

HAWAII is 6-20 ATS (-16 Units) after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers since 1997.

VMI is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) vs. horrible rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 7+/game since 1997.

SOUTHERN MISS are 227-187 ATS (21.3 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week since 1997.

NEW MEXICO
is 108-70 ATS (31 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games since 1997.

MARYLAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.

BELMONT is 23-9 ATS (13.1 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds in the last 3 seasons.

UNC-WILMINGTON is 50-31 ATS (15.9 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

TOWSON ST is 34-15 ATS (17.5 Units) in road games after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game since 1997.

MISSISSIPPI ST is 23-11 ATS (10.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% in the last 3 seasons.

SAN DIEGO ST is 23-8 ATS (14.2 Units) in road games after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, November 25

UConn vs Michigan State (@ Nassau, Bahamas)

— UConn (5-0) ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #100
— Experience: #138
— Continuity: #29
— UConn won in double OT Wednesday; 4 guys played 31:00+
— Huskies shot 15-26 on arc, needed double OT to win.
— UConn blew 15-point lead with 11:00 left to play.
— Huskies are forcing turnovers 26.6% of time (#13)
— UConn’s schedule, to this point: #349
— bench minutes: #64

— Michigan State (4-1) ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #61
— Experience: #225
— Continuity: #196
— MSU won last four games, giving up 54.5 ppg.
— Spartans’ one loss was 87-74 to Kansas on a neutral floor.
— MSU has #16 eFG% defense in country.
— Spartans led 9-0 yesterday, won 63-61 (trailed by 9 in 2nd half)
— MSU’s schedule, to this point: #72
— bench minutes: #49

Loyola vs Auburn (@ Nassau, Bahamas)
— Loyola (4-1) ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #200
— Experience: #55
— Continuity: #52
— Loyola led by nine in 2nd half, lost 63-61 to Michigan St yesterday.
— Ramblers best win so far: 89-77 over #196 Florida Gulf Coast
— Loyola is shooting 43.5% on arc (#7)
— Ramblers have #8 eFG% in country.
— Loyola’s schedule, to this point: #344
— bench minutes: #137

— Auburn (3-1) ranked #30 by KenPom
— Tempo: #49
— Experience: #309
— Continuity: #280
— Auburn lost in 2 OT’s Wednesday (five guys 32:00+).
— Best team Tigers have beaten: #177 Morehead State.
— Opponents are shooting 42.9% inside arc (#41)
— Tigers are forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#62)
— Auburn’s schedule, to this point: #178
— bench minutes: #77

VCU vs Baylor (@ Nassau, Bahamas)
— VCU (3-2) ranked #98 by KenPom
— Tempo: #257
— Experience: #190
— Continuity: #193
— VCU held Syracuse to 0.77 ppp yesterday.
— Rams are scoring only 54 ppg.
— VCU is turning ball over 25.6% of time (#343)
— Rams are shooting 29.3% on arc (#263)
— VCU’s schedule, to this point: #121
— bench minutes: #160

— Baylor (5-0) ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #112
— Experience: #219
— Continuity: #247
— Baylor played only two guys more than 26:00 yesterday.
— Bears beat Stanford/Arizona St last two games.
— Baylor is forcing turnovers 28.7% of time (#7)
— Bears are grabbing 38.7% of their missed shots (#17)
— Baylor’s schedule, to this point: #325
— bench minutes: #73

Syracuse vs Arizona State (@ Nassau, Bahamas)
— Syracuse (2-2) ranked #58 by KenPom
— Tempo: #145
— Experience: #93
— Continuity: #268
— Syracuse lost to Colgate/VCU by 15-12 points.
— Best Syracuse win was 75-60 over #173 Drexel.
— Four Orangemen played 36:00+ yesterday.
— 52.4% of opponents’ shots have been 3’s (36.4%, #268)
— Syracuse’s schedule, to this point: #243
— bench minutes: #314

— Arizona State (2-3) ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #133
— Experience: #224
— Continuity: #313
— ASU is 0-3 vs top 200 teams, losing by 1-2-12 points.
— Sun Devils are shooting 31.4% on arc (#230)
— Sun Devils played nine guys 13:00+ yesterday.
— ASU’s two wins are over teams ranked #306/244.
— ASU’s schedule, to this point: #143
— bench minutes: #102

Dayton vs Miami (@ Kissimmee, FL)
— Dayton (1-3) ranked #132 by KenPom
— Tempo: #335
— Experience: #358
— Continuity: #293
— Dayton is least experienced team in country.
— Flyers lost last three games, all to teams outside top 200.
— Dayton’s only win was over #253 Ill-Chicago.
— Flyers are shooting 22.8% on arc (#352)
— Dayton’s schedule, to this point: #341
— bench minutes: #47

— Miami (3-1) ranked #84 by KenPom
— Tempo: #142
— Experience: #161
— Continuity: #206
— Miami’s only top 200 game: 95-89 home loss to UCF.
— Hurricanes are getting 27.8% of points on foul line (#5)
— Miami is shooting 28.8% on arc (#276)
— Hurricanes’ best win: 68-66 at #205 Florida Atlantic.
— Miami’s schedule, to this point: #263
— bench minutes: #248

Alabama vs Iona (@ Kissimmee, FL)
— Alabama (4-0) ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #9
— Experience: #267
— Continuity: #229
— Alabama beat So Dakota St by 16, Oakland by 27.
— Crimson Tide is shooting 61.4% inside arc (#7)
— Alabama is grabbing 38.3% of their missed shots (#19)
— Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #187
— bench minutes: #245
— This is Alabama’s first game away from home.

— Iona (5-0) ranked #143 by KenPom
— Tempo: #110
— Experience: #171
— Continuity: #39
— Iona is getting 26.6% of points on foul line (#9)
— Pitino’s Gaels have #26 eFG% defense.
— Iona has three wins by 8 or fewer points.
— Gaels won two games on this site last weekend.
— Iona’s schedule, to this point: #276
— bench minutes: #335
 

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Belmont vs Drake (@ Kissimmee, FL)
— Belmont (3-2) ranked #77 by KenPom
— Tempo: #48
— Experience: #152
— Continuity: #17
— Belmont lost its last game 83-53 to LSU.
— Bruins’ best win was in OT over Furman.
— Belmont is shooting 57.3% inside arc (#29)
— Bruins get 36.9% of points on arc (#77)
— Belmont’s schedule, to this point: #113
— bench minutes: #207

— Drake (3-0) ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #173
— Experience: #48
— Continuity: #36
— Drake beat Richmond by 3, their only top 200 game.
— Bulldogs have made 42.3% of their 3’s (#15)
— Drake has #24 eFG% defense in country.
— Drake’s schedule, to this point: #196
— bench minutes: #16
— This is Drake’s first game away from home.

UAB vs New Mexico (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
— UAB (4-1) ranked #53 by KenPom
— Tempo: #117
— Experience: #86
— Continuity: #202
— UAB’s only loss was 66-63 at South Carolina.
— Blazers’ best win is 85-71 over #175 Morehead State.
— UAB is forcing turnovers 27.9% of time (#9)
— Blazers have made 39.3% of their 3’s (#33)
— UAB’s schedule, to this point: #311
— bench minutes: #37

— New Mexico (4-1) ranked #260 by KenPom
— Tempo: #23
— Experience: #315
— Continuity: #343
— New Mexico lost only top 100 game 87-76 at #59 Colorado.
— Lobos scored 85.5 ppg in their D-I games.
— New Mexico is forcing turnovers 23.9% of time (#41)
— Lobos are shooting 38.5% on arc (#45)
— New Mexico’s schedule, to this point: #281
— bench minutes: #288

San Francisco vs Towson (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
— USF (6-0) ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #165
— Experience: #78
— Continuity: #102
— USF has top 100 wins over Davidson, Nevada.
— Dons are shooting 63% inside arc (#3)
— 51.9% of USF’s shots are 3’s (37.1%, #75)
— USF’s schedule, to this point: #282
— bench minutes: #217
— This is their first game away from home.

— Towson (3-2) ranked #195 by KenPom
— Tempo: #252
— Experience: #109
— Continuity: #230
— Towson lost its two top 200 games, by 8-4 points.
— Tigers’ best win was 76-61 over #210 Penn.
— Towson is forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#66)
— Tigers are shooting only 27.5% on arc (#296)
— Towson’s schedule, to this point: #313
— bench minutes: #112

Maryland vs Richmond (@ Nassau, Bahamas)
— Maryland (4-1) ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #251
— Experience: #130
— Continuity: #216
— Maryland’s only loss: 71-66 to #141 George Mason.
— Terps’ best win: 68-57 over #102 Vermont.
— Maryland is shooting 25.4% on arc (#329)
— Maryland’s schedule, to this point: #275
— bench minutes: #156
— This is Maryland’s first game away from home.

— Richmond (3-2) ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #223
— Experience: #35
— Continuity: #30
— Richmond lost its two top 100 games, by 11-3 points.
— Spiders’ best win: 94-78 over #106 Georgia State.
— Richmond is shooting 40.9% on arc (#23)
— Spiders are shooting 60.3% on foul line (#339)
— Richmond’s schedule, to this point: #147
— bench minutes: #242

Louisville vs Mississippi State (@ Nassau, Bahamas)
— Louisville (3-1) ranked #49 by KenPom
— Tempo: #188
— Experience: #106
— Continuity: #277
— These are last two games of Louisville coach Mack’s suspension.
— This is Cardinals’ first top 100 game this season.
— Louisville’s loss was 80-72 at home to Furman, in OT.
— Louisville’s schedule, to this point: #302
— bench minutes: #54
— This is Louisville’s first game away from home.

— Mississippi State (4-0) ranked #43 by KenPom
— Tempo: #311
— Experience: #130
— Continuity: #129
— Best team Miss State has played so far: #165 Montana.
— Bulldogs are shooting 45.7% on arc (#3)
— Miss State is giving up only 52 ppg, vs a weak schedule.
— Miss State’s schedule, to this point: #338
— bench minutes: #236
— This is Miss State’s first game away from home.

USC vs St Joe’s (@ Anaheim, CA)
— USC (4-0) ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #131
— Experience: #119
— Continuity: #87
— USC scored 85.3 ppg in its first four games.
— Trojans are shooting 58.8% inside arc (#17)
— Opponents are shooting 38.4% inside arc (#9).
— Trojans already have road wins at Temple, FGCU.
— USC’s schedule, to this point: #282
— bench minutes: #149

— St Joe’s (2-2) ranked #238 by KenPom
— Tempo: #47
— Experience: #276
— Continuity: #110
— St Joe’s lost last two games, to Drexel/Monmouth.
— Opponents are shooting 48.2% on arc (#356)
— St Joe’s two wins are over teams #353/#295
— St Joe’s schedule, to this point: #347
— bench minutes: #193
— This is St Joe’s first game away from home.

Georgetown vs San Diego State (@ Anaheim, CA)
— Georgetown (2-1) ranked #88 by KenPom
— Tempo: #86
— Experience: #324
— Continuity: #276
— Georgetown hasn’t played team ranked higher than #261
— Georgetown lost 69-60 at home to #261 Dartmouth
— Hoyas are shooting 41.5% on arc (#18)
— Georgetown’s schedule, to this point: #354
— bench minutes: #122
— This is Georgetown’s first game away from home.

— San Diego State (3-1) ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #289
— Experience: #36
— Continuity: #121
— San Diego State lost by 6 at BYU, beat Arizona State by 2.
— Aztecs are shooting 24.6% on arc (#334)
— San Diego State is getting 29.3% of points on foul line (#2)
— Aztecs are giving up only 61 ppg.
— San Diego State’s schedule, to this point: #135
— bench minutes: #119
 

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Thursday, November 25


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Michigan State @ Connecticut
Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State's last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing Michigan State

UNC Wilmington @ Montana
UNC Wilmington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of UNC Wilmington's last 7 games on the road
UNC Wilmington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Montana
Montana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Louisville is 1-5 ATS in the past six games overall.
Louisville is 1-4 ATS in the past five neutral-site games.
Mississippi State is 3-7 ATS in the past 10 neutral-site games.
The OVER is 6-2 in the past eight neutral-site games for Mississippi State.


Georgetown is 4-1 ATS in the past five neutral-site games.
San Diego State is 2-8 ATS in the past 10 games dating back to last season.
San Diego State is 1-6 ATS in the past seven against winning teams.
The UNDER is 14-4 in the past 18 for San Diego State in neutral-site games.
 

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THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 25
Game Time(ET) Pick Units



DAY at MIA 12:00 PM
DAY +6.0
U 135.5

+500 +500

CONN at MSU 12:00 PM
CONN -2.0
+500

USA at USD 01:30 PM
USD -2.5
+500

UNT at KU 02:30 PM
U 130.5
+500

AUB at L-IL 02:30 PM
O 145.5
+500

************************

CARK at VMI 04:00 PM
VMI -9.0
+500

HAW at UIC 04:00 PM
UIC +1.0
U 133.5
+500 +500

*************************

BAY at VCU 05:00 PM
VCU +12.5
+500

ALA at IONA 05:00 PM
O 152.5
+500

**********************

MD at RICH 07:00 PM
RICH +2.0
+500

UAB at UNM 07:00 PM
UNM +12.0
O 150.0

+500 +500

ASU at SYR 07:30 PM
U 141.5
+500

BEL at DRKE 07:30 PM
DRKE -3.0
+500

USC at STJOE 09:30 PM
STJOE +18.0
O 148.5

+500 +500

GTWN at SDSU 11:59 PM
SDSU -8.0
U 131.5
+500 +500
 

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NOVEMBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

11/24/2021........31-34-1\.........47.69%........-32.00
11/23/2021........29-17-1...........62.77%.......+51.50
11/22/2021........22-29-0..........43.13%........-49.50
11/21/2021..........18-8-0..........69.23%.......+46.00
11/20/2021.........12-16-0.........42.86%.........-28.00
11/19/2021..........9-16-1..........36.00%.........-43.00
11/18/2021.........19-21-1.........47.50%.........-20.50
11/17/2021.........15-24-0..........38.46%.........-57.00
11/16/2021.........28-26-1..........51.85%.........- 3.00
11/15/2021.........32-33-1..........49.24%..........-21.50
11/14/2021............8-9-0..........47.06%...........-..9.50
11/13/2021.........10-16-1..........38.89%..........- 38.00
11/12/2021.........39-36-5..........52.00%..........- 3.00
11/11/2021............6-7-0..........46.15%...........- 8.50
11/10/2021............8-12-0 .........40.00%...........-26.00
11/09/2021..........31-47-0..........38.96%..........-103.50

TOTALS.............313-351-9..........47.13%.........-345.50

BEST BETS:

11/25/2021...........5-8-0............38.46%........-19.50
11/24/2021............8-9-0...........47.05%.........- 9.50
11/23/2021..........10-7-0...........58.82............+ 11.50
11/22/2021..........8-13-0...........38.09%..........- 31.50
11/21/2021..........12-7-0...........63.17%..........+25.00
11/20/2021...........5-13-0..........27.77%...........-46.50
11/19/2021...........6-10-1..........37.50%............-25.00
11/18/2021...........6-12-1..........33.33%...........- 36.00
11/17/2021...........9-12-0..........42.85%...........- 15.00
11/16/2021.........23-12-0..........65.71%..........+ 49.00
11/15/2021.........11-16-0..........40.74%............-33.00
11/14/2021............6-8-0...........42,83%............-14.00
11/13/2021...........7-12-0.........36.84%.............-31.00
11/12/2021..........21-18-1.........53.84%...........+ 6.00
11/11/2021............4-04-0.........50.00%............- 2.00
11/10/2021............5-06-0..........45.45%...........- 8.00
11/09/2021............6-16-0..........27.27%..........- 58.00

TOTALS.............142-170-3..........45.51%.........- 231.50


UPDATED 11/25/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack:

Six of college basketball’s most experienced teams:
1) Manhattan
2) Cleveland State
5) Detroit Mercy
7) Penn State
8) Illinois-Chicago
10) Northern Colorado

Quote of the Day
“I’m human, I make mistakes, and I own up to them. I don’t (bleep)ing hide from them, that’s not me,”
Kelly Stafford, Mrs Matthew Stafford; she threw a pretzel at a fan in San Francisco 2 weeks ago

Friday’s quiz
What is the name of the minor league baseball team that Michael Jordan played for?

Thursday’s quiz
Before moving to Baltimore and becoming the Ravens, the Ravens were the Cleveland Browns. The new Cleveland Browns started playing three years after they became the Ravens.

Wednesday’s quiz
Dick Vitale coached the Detroit Pistons after coaching at U of Detroit.

****************************************

Friday’s Den: Hope you had a good Thanksgiving Day

13) Here’s something to store away for March; 11 of the last 12 years, team that won the national title in college basketball won one of these tournaments played before conference play, mostly in November. So teams that are winning tournaments this weekend are improving their chances to go home with a much bigger trophy in April.

Later on this month, I’ll post a list of the teams that win these events.

12) Las Vegas 36, Dallas 33 OT:
— Raiders blew 24-13 third quarter lead, kicked FG in OT for the win.
— Total yards: Las Vegas 509, Dallas 437
— Raiders are 10-5 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
— Las Vegas allowed 20+ points in 10 of 11 games this year.
— Raiders are 6-1 in OT with Carr at QB.

— Prescott threw for 200+ yards, just in 4th quarter.
— Pollard ran kickoff back 100 yards for a TD.
— Both teams converted only 3-13 third down plays.
— Cowboys are 2-3 in last five games SU, after a 6-0 run.
— Dallas is 3-5 SU in last eight Thanksgiving games.

11) Chicago 16, Detroit 14:
— Santos kicked 28-yard FG for win, ending 18-play drive.
— Chicago kicked FG at 0:00 of both halves.
— Dalton threw for 317 yards in his first start since Week 2.
— Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Chicago games.
— Bears won seven of last eight series games.

— Chicago ran 69 plays for 378 yards, Lions 45 for 239 yards.
— Detroit is winless, but is 7-4 ATS (4-1 last five).
— Last eight games, Lions were outscored 117-39 in first half.
— Lions lost last five Thanksgiving games (1-4 ATS)

10) Buffalo 31, New Orleans 6:
— Buffalo outgained the Saints, 361-190.
— Bills scored TD’s on 3 of first 4 drives in second half.
— Buffalo is 8-5 ATS last thirteen games as road favorites.
— Bills are 0-3 in games decided by less than 15 points.

— Bills were 8-13 on third down, New Orleans 5-14
— Last four weeks, New Orleans was outscored 60-13 in first half.
— Saints lost last four games, giving up 30.3 ppg.
— Last three years, home side is 0-9 SU on Thanksgiving.

9) I’ve read for years how the NFL wants more scoring in its games, because more scoring leads to better TV ratings which leads to more money, which is what they really want.

Here’s a hint; CALL FEWER HOLDING PENALTIES!!!!!

No one pays to watch officials throw flags; holding is very subjective- you could call it on most every play, if you wanted to. Penalties grind the game to a halt; the fewer the better.

8) Blind resume for college football coaches. Here is one, for a guy in his third year as a college head coach.
2019— School A- Goes 5-7, then jumps to a new school.
2020— School B— Goes 2-5 in a year where the pandemic screwed things up.
2021— Is 9-2 in his second year at School B, a school in a major league.

Three years as a head coach, 16-14 record. Any guesses who he is?
Will let you know tomorrow.

7) Iona 72, Alabama 68:
— Rick Pitino as a 12-point underdog? Big win for the Gaels.
— Alabama led by 9 with 12:27 left.
— Crimson Tide was only 13-25 on the foul line.

6) UConn 115, Auburn 109, 2OT (Wednesday game)
— Auburn led 21-10 early.
— UConn led by 15 in second half.
— Teams combined to make 27-56 on arc, 65-79 on foul line.

High-level game; looked like a March game.

5) Maryland 86, Richmond 80:
— Richmond led by 12 late in first half.
— Maryland scored 54 points in second half.
— Terps were 10-23 on arc, 20-25 on foul line.

4) There used to be a tournament called the Alaskan Shootout which was played this week; it was fun, the last first round game would start around 2:30am on Thursday night. At one time, big-time schools went up there to play, but then ESPN started sponsoring events in Bahamas and South Carolina, warm weather places with great beaches, and that killed the Alaskan Shootout. Too bad.

3) Pitcher Steven Matz signed on with St Louis for four years, $44M. Matz was 14-7, 3.82 in 29 starts for Toronto LY. He is from Long Island, but spurned the hometown Mets (his old team) to pitch for the Cardinals.

2) Ohio State-Michigan is noon Saturday; can’t remember a time when this game wasn’t the noon game on Saturday of Thanksgiving weekend— they probably moved it to Friday once or twice, but I can’t remember when.

Problem is, when one team wins 16 of 17 meetings, like Ohio State has against the Wolverines, it makes the rivalry a little less appealing. Michigan is 10-1 this year; we’ll see if they can hang with the Buckeyes this time around.

1) Boise State is at San Diego State is also at noon ET Saturday; the thing is, noon ET is 9am in San Diego. Isn’t 9am a little early to play a football game?

Understood that teams are desperate to get TV attention, but having teams eat their pregame meal at 5am seems ridiculous.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, November 26

Baylor vs Michigan State (@ Nassau, Bahamas)

— Baylor (6-0) ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #90
— Experience: #218
— Continuity: #240
— Baylor didn’t play anyone more than 30:00 yesterday.
— Opponents are shooting 41.4% inside arc (#27)
— Baylor is forcing turnovers 28.5% of time (#7)
— Bears are grabbing 39.7% of their missed shots (#13)
— Baylor’s schedule, to this point: #284
— bench minutes: #69

— Michigan State (5-1) ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #64
— Experience: #220
— Continuity: #196
— MSU won its last five games, giving up 55.6 ppg.
— Spartans’ one loss was 87-74 to Kansas on a neutral floor.
— MSU has #15 eFG% defense in country.
— Spartans outscored UConn 16-5 over final 4:29 yesterday.
— MSU’s schedule, to this point: #47
— bench minutes: #76

VCU vs UConn (@ Nassau, Bahamas)
— VCU (3-3) ranked #94 by KenPom
— Tempo: #263
— Experience: #190
— Continuity: #192
— VCU has #4 eFG% defense in country.
— Rams are scoring only 55.2 ppg.
— VCU is turning ball over 25.9% of time (#346)
— Rams are also forcing turnovers 25.9% of time (#14)
— VCU’s schedule, to this point: #64
— bench minutes: #194

— UConn (5-1) ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #102
— Experience: #136
— Continuity: #40
— UConn was outscored 16-5 over final 4:29 yesterday.
— Huskies shot 15-26 on arc Wednesday, 2-16 yesterday.
— Opponents are shooting 38.3% inside arc (#6)
— Huskies are forcing turnovers 25.2% of time (#22)
— UConn’s schedule, to this point: #330
— bench minutes: #107

Syracuse vs Auburn (@ Nassau, Bahamas)
— Syracuse (3-2) ranked #58 by KenPom
— Tempo: #121
— Experience: #82
— Continuity: #269
— Syracuse lost to Colgate/VCU by 15-12 points.
— Syracuse scored 1.28 ppp in 92-84 win yesterday.
— Five Orangemen played 35:00+ yesterday.
— 53.3% of opponents’ shots have been 3’s (36.9%, #281)
— Syracuse’s schedule, to this point: #188
— bench minutes: #335

— Auburn (4-1) ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #83
— Experience: #310
— Continuity: #282
— Auburn lost in 2 OT’s Wednesday (five guys 32:00+).
— Tigers played nine guys 10:00+ yesterday; no one played 30:00.
— Opponents scored 54.8 ppg in Auburn’s four wins.
— Tigers are forcing turnovers 23.3% of time (#52)
— Auburn’s schedule, to this point: #113
— bench minutes: #70

Loyola vs Arizona State (@ Nassau, Bahamas)
— Loyola (4-2) ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #251
— Experience: #49
— Continuity: #46
— Loyola scored 61-53 points in losing last two days.
— Ramblers best win so far: 89-77 over #196 Florida Gulf Coast
— Loyola is shooting 41.5% on arc (#15)
— Ramblers have #11 eFG% in country.
— Loyola’s schedule, to this point: #303
— bench minutes: #112

— Arizona State (2-4) ranked #74 by KenPom
— Tempo: #132
— Experience: #224
— Continuity: #313
— ASU is 0-4 vs top 200 teams, losing by 1-2-12-7 points.
— Sun Devils was 15-39 on arc, 16-30 inside arc yesterday.
— Sun Devils are 0-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
— ASU’s two wins are over teams ranked #306/244.
— ASU’s schedule, to this point: #97
— bench minutes: #109

Dayton vs Kansas (@ Kissimmee, FL)
— Dayton (2-3) ranked #119 by KenPom
— Tempo: #331
— Experience: #358
— Continuity: #287
— Dayton is least experienced team in country.
— Flyers made 11-19 on arc in win over Miami yesterday.
— Dayton played three guys 30:00+.
— Flyers are turning ball over 20.8% of time (#245)
— Dayton’s schedule, to this point: #320
— bench minutes: #43

— Kansas (4-0) ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #80
— Experience: #153
— Continuity: #115
— Kansas beat #17 Michigan State by 13 on neutral floor.
— Jayhawks are shooting 39.2% on arc (#30)
— Kansas has #14 eFG% in country.
— Jayhawks had stress-free win over North Texas yesterday.
— Kansas’ schedule, to this point: #157
— bench minutes: #157

Alabama vs Drake (@ Kissimmee, FL)
— Alabama (4-1) ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #10
— Experience: #263
— Continuity: #227
— Alabama got upset 72-68 by Iona; they were 13-25 on line.
— Three guys played 31:00+ yesterday.
— Alabama led 46-37 with 12:27 left yesterday.
— Crimson Tide is shooting 59.2% inside arc (#12)
— Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #187
— bench minutes: #245

— Drake (3-1) ranked #58 by KenPom
— Tempo: #179
— Experience: #39
— Continuity: #34
— Drake beat Richmond by 3, lost Belmont by 5.
— Bulldogs have made 39% of their 3’s (#34)
— Drake starts five seniors; four of them played 28:00+ yesterday.
— Bulldogs were 5-12 on foul line in yesterday’s 74-69 loss.
— Drake’s schedule, to this point: #134
— bench minutes: #47
 

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