CNOTES COLLEGE BASKETBALL 2021-2022 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

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DECEMBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date W-L-T % Units Record

12/02/2021............10-10-0............50.00%.............- 5.00
12/01/2021............37-20-0............64.91%............+75.00

TOTALS..................47-30-0............61.03%............+70.00

**************************

BEST BETS:

12/02/2021..........5 - 7 -0...............41.66%.............-13.50
12/01/2021.........13-11-0............54.16%................+ 4.50

TOTALS...............18-18-0............50.00%.................-9.00


UPDATED 12/02/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack:

NFL teams with worst turnover ratio:
minus-15- NJ Jets
minus-13- Jacksonville
minus-7- Atlanta, Baltimore, Kansas City, Tennessee
minus-6- Carolina
minus-4- Chicago, Pittsburgh, San Francisco, Washington
minus-1- Cincinnati, Detroit, Miami, Philadelphia

Quote of the Day
“Hardest part was being completely powerless once game begins. You’re so used to making decisions every 40 seconds. And you learn the team doesn’t need you!!”
Browns’ coach Kevin Stefanski, who missed a game because of COVID

Friday’s quiz
Hakeem Olajuwon was 1st pick in the 1984 NBA Draft; Michael Jordan was the 3rd pick. Who was the second pick?

Thursday’s quiz
Alfre Woodard played Anfernee Hardaway’s mother in the basketball movie Blue Chips.

Wednesday’s quiz
Brett Favre played his college football at Southern Mississippi.


****************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here…….

13) Dallas 27, New Orleans 17:
— Pollard had a 58-yard TD run late in third quarter.
— Watkins salted game away on a pick-6 with 2:52 left.
— Dallas won despite converting only 2-13 on third down.
— Cowboys have outscored foes 69-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
— Five of last six Dallas games stayed under the total.

— Saints lost last five games, giving up 29.6 ppg.
— Hill threw three INTs in 11-pass span in 4th quarter.
— New Orleans has 39 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 55.
— Last four weeks, New Orleans was outscored 73-20 in first half.

12) This week, a published report accused major league baseball of secretly using two different baseballs during the 2021 season.

In a statement, MLB acknowledged that it had used two different baseballs, blamed differences on production difficulties caused by the pandemic.

Between gambling and fantasy baseball, there is a boatload of money involved in major league games, aside from the actual business of MLB; that kind of information would be helpful in handicapping/fantasy, no?

11) Now that baseball is in a lockout, what does MLB Network show every day? Winter meetings were always lot of fun and educational, but there won’t be any this year. Too bad, unless they get their butts back to negotiating.

10) Saint Mary’s 60, Utah State 58:
— Gaels were down 7 with 10:13 left.
— Utah State outscored Gaels 15-5 on foul line.
— Gaels shot 57% inside arc; this is a quality road win.

9) Liberty 66, Missouri 45— No offense to Liberty, but SEC teams aren’t supposed to lose to Atlantic Sun teams by 20 points- this game was 35-14 at halftime. Liberty is 4-3; this is their first win over a team in the top 300.

8) Memphis 152, Oklahoma City 79— This is the biggest margin of victory in NBA history, a record that had stood since 1991. Nine of 12 Memphis players scored in double figures but Ja Morant, their best player, didn’t even play.

7) Last time a Big 14 team won the national title in college basketball?

Try 2000, when Michigan State won out in Indianapolis. 22 years is a long time for a league not to win a national title.

6) ESPN was supposed to air the Laker-Clipper game Friday night, but they dumped it in favor of the Phoenix-Golden State game, the two best basketball teams on earth.

5) Other night, I stumbled across highlights of Kurt Warner playing in an Arena Bowl, for the Iowa Barnstormers against Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay’s QB that night; former Washington coach Jay Gruden.

4) More college football coaching stuff:
— Colorado State fired Steve Addazio after only two years.
— Bronco Mendenhall resigned at Virginia, after 11 years.

3) Tampa Bay WR Antonio Brown gets suspended for three games for lying about his COVID vaccine status, and getting a fake vaccination card- the suspension will cost him $547,059.

Would’ve been a lot easier/cheaper to just get the shot, no?

2) Temple’s best basketball player, Khalif Battle, hurt his foot, is out for the year; terrible news for the 4-3 Owls, who won their last three games.

1) I want to puke when a baseball player signs for huge money and then says “It isn’t about the money, I just want to win.”

Max Scherzer said that; he just signed for $43M a year with the freakin’ Mets., not exactly the gold standard of major league franchises. Scherzer left the Dodgers, who make the playoffs every year, but they weren’t offering $43M a year.

Go figure.
 

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, December 3

Kansas @ St John’s (@ UBS Arena, Elmont NY)

— Kansas (5-1) ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #47
— Experience: #152
— Continuity: #93
— Kansas’ only loss: 74-73 to #102 Dayton.
— Jayhawks are shooting 58.8% inside arc (#12)
— Kansas’ best win: 87-74 over #24 Michigan State.
— Jayhawks have played four neutral court games; this is their first road tilt.
— Kansas’ schedule, to this point: #275
— bench minutes: #66

— St John’s (5-1) ranked #55 by KenPom
— Tempo: #28
— Experience: #164
— Continuity: #254
— St John’s hasn’t beaten anyone ranked higher than #183.
— Red Storm’s one loss: 76-74 at Indiana.
— St John’s struggled to beat St Francis/NJIT last two games.
— Red Storm is forcing turnovers 24.7% of time (#19)
— St John’s schedule, to this point: #356
— bench minutes: #71

Notre Dame @ Boston College
— Notre Dame (3-3) ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #228
— Experience: #171
— Continuity: #37
— Notre Dame lost last three D-I games, by 3-6-10 points.
— Notre Dame’s best win: 70-61 over #262 High Point.
— Opponents have made 44% of their 3’s (#356)
— Notre Dame lost its one road game, 82-72 at #22 Illinois.
— Notre Dame’s schedule, to this point: #67
— bench minutes: #338

— Boston College (5-3) ranked #131 by KenPom
— Tempo: #333
— Experience: #237
— Continuity: #281
— Boston College is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 8-7-6 points.
— Eagles’ best win: 64-49 over #216 South Florida.
— Boston College is shooting 47.2% inside arc (#228)
— Eagles are getting 21.2% of point on foul line (#56)
— Boston College’s schedule, to this point: #303
— bench minutes: #305

— Notre Dame won 15 of last 17 series games.
— Fighting Irish won 7 of last 8 visits here; they lost 94-90 LY.

Rutgers @ Illinois
— Rutgers (4-3) ranked #88 by KenPom
— Tempo: #311
— Experience: #150
— Continuity: #99
— Rutgers lost three of its last four games.
— Their three losses are by total of 7 points.
— Knights’ best win: 74-64 over #53 Clemson
— Rutgers is shooting 26% on arc (#335)
— Detroit’s schedule, to this point: #272
— bench minutes: #248

— Illinois (5-2) ranked #22 by KenPom
— Tempo: #164
— Experience: #124
— Continuity: #165
— Illinois won last three games, beating K-State/Notre Dame.
— Illini split four games vs top 100 teams.
— Illinois is turning ball over 23.4% of time (#322)
— Illini is grabbing 39.6% of its misses (#8)
— Illinois’ schedule, to this point: #142
— bench minutes: #49

— Illinois won nine of last 12 series games.
— Rutgers lost last five visits here, last two by 5-3 points.

Fairfield @ Canisius
— Fairfield (3-3) ranked #226 by KenPom
— Tempo: #287
— Experience: #109
— Continuity: #8
— Fairfield has #262 eFG% defense.
— Four of Stags’ five D-I games were decided by 8 or less points.
— Fairfield is shooting 35.8% on arc (#92)
— 36.6% of Stags’ points came on the arc (#79)
— Fairfield’s schedule, to this point: #205
— bench minutes: #175

— Canisius (2-5) ranked #269 by KenPom
— Tempo: #81
— Experience: #73
— Continuity: #16
— Canisius is 1-5 vs D-I teams (76-75 over #316 Coppin State)
— Griffins are giving up 78.8 ppg vs D-I teams.
— Canisius is shooting 42.6% inside arc (#316)
— Opponents are shooting 58% inside arc (#341).
— Canisius’ schedule, to this point: #122
— bench minutes: #176

— Fairfield won three of last four series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.

Manhattan @ Siena
— Manhattan (5-1) ranked #245 by KenPom
— Tempo: #238
— Experience: #1
— Continuity: #53
— Manhattan won its last three games.
— Jaspers’ only loss: 79-58 at #194 Old Dominion.
— Manhattan is turning ball over 23.8% of time (#330)
— Jaspers are #331 team in country on defensive boards.
— Manhattan’s schedule, to this point: #322
— bench minutes: #246

— Siena (2-5) ranked #295 by KenPom
— Tempo: #326
— Experience: #72
— Continuity: #294
— Siena won two of last three games, after an 0-4 start.
— Saints are shooting 43.2% inside arc (#308)
— Siena split two games vs teams ranked outside top 200.
— Opponents are shooting 41.3% on arc (#340)
— Siena’s schedule, to this point: #159
— bench minutes: #130

— Siena won six of last seven series games.
— Jaspers lost last four visits here, by 13-13-5-8 points.

Monmouth @ Niagara
— Monmouth (5-1) ranked #166 by KenPom
— Tempo: #83
— Experience: #16
— Continuity: #156
— Monmouth won its last five games after 68-66 loss to #236 Charlotte.
— Hawks upset #74 Cincinnati 61-59 Saturday.
— Monmouth is shooting 39.8% on arc (#20), 84.8% on line (#2).
— Hawks won three of four true road games.
— Monmouth’s schedule, to this point: #183
— bench minutes: #328

— Niagara (3-3) ranked #196 by KenPom
— Tempo: #334
— Experience: #51
— Continuity: #173
— Niagara is 3-1 vs teams outside top 100.
— Eagles are shooting 39.4% on arc (#25)
— Niagara’s best win: 70-59 at #128 Colgate.
— Eagles are #282 team in country on defensive boards.
— Niagara’s schedule, to this point: #87
— bench minutes: #215

— Teams split last six series games.
— Monmouth lost four of its last five visits here.
 

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Rider @ Iona
— Rider (3-6) ranked #270 by KenPom
— Tempo: #152
— Experience: #100
— Continuity: #168
— Rider lost five of its last six games.
— Broncs have #343 eFG% in country.
— Rider is 0-5 vs teams in top 300.
— Broncs’ best win: 85-79 over #307 Bucknell.
— Rider’s schedule, to this point: #256
— bench minutes: #183

— Iona (7-2, 1-0) ranked #117 by KenPom
— Tempo: #86
— Experience: #116
— Continuity: #189
— Iona won MAAC opener, 78-71 at Marist Wednesday.
— Iona outscored Marist 14-0 over final 2:41 of game.
— Gaels also beat Alabama; their losses are to top 60 teams.
— Iona is getting 23.6% of its points on foul line (#16)
— Iona’s schedule, to this point: #102
— bench minutes: #192

— Iona won last six series games.
— Rider lost last three visits to Iona, by 27-1-6 points.

Saint Peter’s @ Quinnipiac
— Saint Peter’s (1-3) ranked #183 by KenPom
— Tempo: #131
— Experience: #195
— Continuity: #29
— St Peter’s beat LIU 64-62, its only game vs team outside top 100.
— Peacocks are turning ball over 23.6% of time (#327)
— St Peter’s are forcing turnovers 24.6% of time (#20)
— Peacocks have #293 eFG% in country.
— Saint Peter’s schedule, to this point: #18
— bench minutes: #143

— Quinnipiac (3-3) ranked #271 by KenPom
— Tempo: #40
— Experience: #143
— Continuity: #84
— Quinnipiac’s only D-I wins are vs teams #341/#344
— Bobcats lost last two games, by 15-11 points.
— Bobcats are shooting 30.6% on arc (#256)
— 49.7% of Quinnipiac’s shots are 3’s (#12)
— Quinnipiac’s schedule, to this point: #332
— bench minutes: #230

— Saint Peter’s won three of last four series games.
— Peacocks are 5-3 in last eight visits here.

Pitt @ Virginia
— Pitt (2-5) ranked #201 by KenPom
— Tempo: #318
— Experience: #265
— Continuity: #319
— Pitt lost last three games, scoring 60.7 ppg.
— Panthers are turning ball over 23.5% of time (#324)
— Pitt is shooting 26.7% on arc (#333), 61% on line (#343)
— Panthers’ best win: 63-59 over #179 Towson State.
— Pitt’s schedule, to this point: #240
— bench minutes: #201

— Virginia (5-3) ranked #468 by KenPom
— Tempo: #358 (slowest in country)
— Experience: #176
— Continuity: #258
— Virginia won four of its last five games.
— Cavaliers have #69 eFG% defense in country.
— Virginia lost last game 75-74 to Iowa, after being down 21.
— Cavaliers are getting 20.2% of points on foul line (#83)
— Virginia’s schedule, to this point: #172
— bench minutes: #283

— Virginia won last six series games.
— Pitt lost last four visits here, by 12-25-24-7 points.

Iowa @ Purdue
— Iowa (7-0) ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #53
— Experience: #238
— Continuity: #184
— Iowa won its only top 100 game, 75-74 at Virginia.
— Hawkeyes blew a 21-point lead in that game.
— Iowa has #8 eFG% in country (39.6% on arc, #23)
— Hawkeyes are shooting 57.6% inside arc (#17)
— Iowa’s schedule, to this point: #352
— bench minutes: #3

— Purdue (7-0) ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #193
— Experience: #246
— Continuity: #27
— Purdue has three top 40 wins (UNC, Villanova, Florida St)
— Boilers scored 88.7 ppg in those three games.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Boilers are making 44.2% of their 3’s (#2)
— Purdue is shooting 61.7% inside arc (#2)
— Purdue’s schedule, to this point: #134
— bench minutes: #37

— Purdue won four of last five series games.
— Iowa lost last three games in Mackey, by 22-16-36 points.

Charleston at Furman
— Charleston (5-2) ranked #213 by KenPom
— Tempo: #1
— Experience: #267
— Continuity: #331
— Charleston won last two games, by total of six points.
— Cougars are shooting 42% inside arc (#325)
— Both Charleston losses are to top 50 teams (Okla St/UNC)
— Cougars are grabbing 34.8% of their misses (#44)
— Charleston’s schedule to this point: #219
— bench minutes: #13

— Furman (5-2) ranked #109 by KenPom
— Tempo: #209
— Experience: #89
— Continuity: #122
— Furman has already played three overtime games.
— Paladins are shooting 38% on arc (#46)
— Furman beat Louisville, lost to Navy; go figure.
— Paladins are getting 39% of points on arc (#51)
— Furman’s schedule, to this point: #150
— bench minutes: #348

Tulsa @ Boise State
— Tulsa (4-3) ranked #148 by KenPom
— Tempo: #310
— Experience: #146
— Continuity: #204
— Tulsa split its four top 200 games.
— Hurricane lost its one true road game, 87-80 to Oral Roberts.
— Tulsa forces turnovers 22.5% of time (#56)
— Hurricane has #319 eFG% defense in country.
— Tulsa’s schedule, to this point: #279
— bench minutes: #156

— Boise State (3-4) ranked #75 by KenPom
— Tempo: #316
— Experience: #17
— Continuity: #63
— Boise State is 0-4 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Broncos are shooting 28.4% on arc (#303), 56.4% on line (#355)
— Three of Boise State’s four losses are to top 100 teams.
— Broncos are forcing turnovers 20.8% of time (#106)
— Boise’s schedule, to this point: #83
— bench minutes: #247

Pepperdine @ Cal-Santa Barbara
— Pepperdine (2-7) ranked #227 by KenPom
— Tempo: #128
— Experience: #274
— Continuity: #285
— Pepperdine lost its last five games, scoring 59.4 ppg.
— Waves are turning ball over 21.8% of time (#281)
— Pepperdine is 0-7 vs top 200 teams.
— Waves’ best win: 72-67 over #205 Cal-Davis.
— Pepperdine’s schedule, to this point: #126
— bench minutes: #318

— UCSB (3-2) ranked #105 by KenPom
— Tempo: #249
— Experience: #140
— Continuity: #131
— Last game, UCSB got upset 70-62 by #256 Tex-Arlington.
— Gauchos’ two D-i wins are over teams #356/#357
— UCSB has #17 eFG% defense in country.
— Gauchos are grabbing 35.7% of their misses (#29)
— UCSB’s schedule, to this point: #358
— bench minutes: #134
 

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NCAAB

Friday, December 3


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Trend Report
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LPWlV3U.png



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Rutgers has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games.
Illinois has failed to cover the spread in five of its last seven games.
Rutgers has gone OVER the point total in five of its last seven games.


Kansas has failed to cover the spread in four of its last six games.
Kansas has failed to cover the spread in four of its last six games when playing as the favorite.
Kansas has gone OVER the point total in five of its last six games.
St. John's has gone OVER the point total in four of its last six games.


Iowa has won 10 straight games when playing at night.
Purdue has won the second half in nine straight games.
Iowa has won the second half in four of its last five games when facing Purdue.
Purdue has won the first half in four of its last five games when facing Iowa.
Purdue has won four of its last five games when facing Iowa.
 

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FRIDAY, DECEMBER 3
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


ND at BC 06:00 PM
ND -5.0
U 131.0
+500 +500

MAN at SIE 07:00 PM
MAN +3.0
U 126.5

+500 +500

COPP at COR 07:00 PM
COPP +8.0
O 162.0

+500 +500

SCST at USF 07:00 PM
SCST +14.5
+500

KU at SJU 07:00 PM
O 158.0
+500

UTRGV at TEX 07:00 PM
UTRGV +25.5
+500

COFC at FUR 07:00 PM
O 162.5
+500

PITT at UVA 08:00 PM
U 112.5
+500

NMSU at UTEP 08:00 PM
U 135.0
+500

TLSA at BSU 09:00 PM
BSU -10.0
+500

PEPP at UCSB 10:00 PM
PEPP +8.0
O 141.0
+500 +500

VMI at PORT 10:00 PM
PORT -4.5
O 144.5

+500 +500

UND at SJSU 10:00 PM
U 134.5
+500
 

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[B]DECEMBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date W-L-T % Units Record
.
12/03/2021...............9-9-0............50.00%..............-4.50
12/02/2021............10-10-0............50.00%.............- 5.00
12/01/2021............37-20-0............64.91%............+75.00

TOTALS..................56-39-0............58.94%............+65.50

**************************

BEST BETS:

12/03/2021..........5-7-0...............41.66%.............-13.50
12/02/2021..........5-7-0...............41.66%.............-13.50
12/01/2021.........13-11-0............54.16%.............+ 4.50

TOTALS...............23-25-0............47.91%..............-22.50


UPDATED 12/03/2021
[/B]
 

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack:

College hoop teams playing fastest tempos:
1) Charleston
2) Marshall
3) Marquette
5) New Mexico
8) Louisiana
9) Memphis

Quote of the Day
“When you compete, you have exposure to the highs and lows of competition. And competition comes with great joy, and it also comes with grief and frustration and anger. And when you step in that ring, that’s what you expose yourself to is all of those things.It’s why the joy feels so good, because when you get punched and you taste your own blood, it doesn’t feel right.”
Oklahoma City coach Mark Daigneault

Saturday’s quiz
Maryland won national title in basketball 20 years ago; who was their coach?

Friday’s quiz
Hakeem Olajuwon was 1st pick in the 1984 NBA Draft; Michael Jordan was the 3rd pick. Sam Bowie was the second pick, by Portland

Thursday’s quiz
Alfre Woodard played Anfernee Hardaway’s mother in the basketball movie Blue Chips.

*************************************

Two Dens for Saturday: NHL trends and favorite quotes

NHL trends (thru Thursday)
Anaheim 13-8-3

— Won three of last four games.
— Ducks are 9-4-1 at home, 4-4-2 on road.
— last three games went over.
— over 6-2 last eight on road.

Arizona 5-16-2
— 4-3 last seven games, after an 1-15 start.
— 2-6-1 at home, 3-10-1 on road.
— under 9-1 last ten road games.
— over 4-1 last five games overall.

Boston 12-8
— 2-3 in last five games.
— 7-4 at home, 5-4 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games.
— 1-0 in OT/shootouts

Buffalo 8-12-3
— Lost six of last seven games.
— 6-6-1 at home, 2-6-2 on road.
— over 5-2 last seven road games.
— 0-4 if they played the night before.

Calgary 14-4-5
— won six of their last seven games.
— Flames are 4-2-3 at home, 10-2-2 on road.
— Under 6-1 last seven home games
— Flames are 2-5 in OT/shootouts.

Carolina 15-6-1
— lost four of their last five games
— 6-3 at home, 9-3-1 on road.
— under 7-3-1 last 11 games
— 7-3 in one-goal games.

Chicago 8-12-2
— 7-3 in their last ten games.
— 5-5-1 at home, 3-7-1 on road.
— under 5-0 last five home games
— Chicago is 1-12 if it allows 3+ goals.

Colorado 12-7-1
— Colorado won seven of last nine games
— 7-2-1 at home, 5-5 on road.
— won last four home games.
— over is 5-0 in their last five home games

Columbus 12-9
— lost last three games, outscored 15-5.
— 8-3 at home, 4-6 on road.
— over 11-2 last thirteen games
— 5-0 in OT/shootouts.

Dallas 12-7-2
— Dallas won last six games, allowing 8 goals.
— 8-2-1 at home, 4-5-1 on road.
— won their last seven home games
— last six games stayed under total.

Detroit 12-9-3
— Red Wings won their last three games, two in OT/SO
— 8-2 at home, 4-7-1 on road.
— Detroit lost seven of last nine road games.
— Under is 8-3 in their home games.

Edmonton 16-5
— Oilers won four of last five games.
— Oilers are 9-1 at home, 7-4 on road.
— Over is 7-1 in last eight home games.
— 3-0 in OT/shootouts.

Florida 12-2-3
— Panthers won five of last seven games.
— 13-1 at home, 3-3-3 on road.
— Over is 9-4 in their home games,
— Under is 6-3 in their road games.

Los Angeles 9-9-4
— LA lost five of its last six games.
— Kings are at 6-6-2 home, 3-3-2 on road.
— Under is 5-2 in their road games.
— 3-4 in OT/shootouts.

Minnesota 16-6-1
— Wild won last four games, outscoring foes 21-7.
— 9-2 at home, 7-4-1 on road.
— over is 10-1 in their home games
— 5-1 in OT/SO

Montreal 6-17-2
— Montreal lost seven of last nine games
— Canadiens are 4-8-1 at home, 2-9-1 on road.
— Three of their last four games stayed under total.
— Montreal scored two or fewer goals in 19 of 25 games.

Nashville 12-10-1
— Predators won six of last ten games overall.
— Nashville is 7-5 at home, 5-5-1 on road.
— Under is 8-3 in their home games
— Nashville is 3-1 in OT/shootouts

New Jersey 9-8-4
— Devils lost six of their last eight games.
— Devils are 6-4 at home, 3-4-2 on road.
— over is 7-1 in their last eight games.
— New Jersey is 3-4 in OT/shootouts.

NY Islanders 5-10-3
— Islanders lost their last eight games.
— Islanders are 0-4-1 at home, 5-6-2 on road.
— under is 6-2 in their last eight games.
— Islanders have been outscored 15-4 at home

NY Rangers 14-4-3
— Rangers won eight of last nine games.
— New York is 6-1-1 at home, 8-3-2 on road.
— under is 8-4-1 in their road games.
— Rangers are 2-3 in OT/shootouts.

Ottawa 5-15-1
— Senators lost 11 of last 13 games overall.
— Ottawa is 3-8 at home, 2-7-1 on road.
— over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.
— Ottawa is 2-3 if it played night before.

Philadelphia 8-9-4
— lost their last six games.
— Flyers are 4-4-2 at home, 4-5-2 on road.
— under is 7-2 in their last nine road games.
— Philly is 1-4 in OT/shootouts..

Pittsburgh 10-8-5
— Pittsburgh lost last three games, outscored 13-6.
— Penguins are 5-5-2 at home, 5-3-3 on road.
— Under is 4-1 in last five Penguin road games.
— Pittsburgh is 2-5 in OT/shootouts.

St Louis 12-8-3
— Home side won last seven St Louis games.
— Blues are 7-3-1 at home, 5-5-2 on road.
— four of their last five games went over.
— St Louis is 2-3 in OT/shootouts.

San Jose 13-9-1
— Sharks won four of their last five games.
— Sharks are 5-4-1 at home, 8-5 on road.
— under is 7-1 in San Jose’s last eight games.
— under is 7-2 in their last nine road tilts.

Seattle 8-13-2
— Seattle is 3-2 in its last five games.
— Kraken are 5-6 at home, 3-7-2 on road.
— Over is 11-2 in their last 13 games.
— Over is 8-3-1 in their road games.

Tampa Bay 13-5-4
— Lightning won seven of last ten games.
— Lightning is 8-3-2 at home, 5-2-2 on road.
— under 6-2 last eight home games.
— Tampa Bay is 5-3 in OT/SO games.

Toronto 17-6-1
— Toronto won last five games, outscoring foes 26-7.
— Maple Leafs are 10-3-1 at home, 7-3 on road.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five home games.
— Toronto is 3-1 in OT/shootouts.

Vancouver 8-14-2
— Vancouver is 3-8 in last 11 games, but won last two.
— Canucks are 3-6-1 at home, 5-8-1 on road.
— five of last seven road games went over
— Canucks are 2-2 in OT/shootouts

Vegas 12-10
— Knights lost three of their last four games.
— Knights are 7-5 at home, 5-5 on road.
— over 9-3-1 last 13 games overall.
— Vegas is 2-0 in OT/shootouts.

Washington 14-4-6
— Caps split their last six games.
— Washington is 7-1-4 at home, 7-3-2 on road..
— Washington is 0-6 in OT/shootouts.
— last six games went over the total.

Winnipeg 10-8-4
— Jets lost six of their last seven games.
— Jets are 7-3-1 at home, 3-5-3 on road.
— under is 9-3 in last 12 Winnipeg games.
— Jets are 2-4 in OT/shootouts.

********************************

Saturday’s Den: Some of my favorite TV/movie quotes

13) “There’s no such thing as a sure thing, thats why they call it gambling.”
Oscar Madison, The Odd Couple

12) “I’ve got a trig midterm tomorrow and I’m being chased by Guido, the killer pimp.”
Miles, Risky Business

11) “You’re a goddamn quarterback! You know what that means? It’s the top spot, kid. It’s the guy who takes the fall. It’s the guy everybody’s looking at first – the leader of a team – who will support you when they understand you. Who will break their ribs and their noses and their necks for you, because they believe. ‘Cause you make them believe. That’s a quarterback.”
Al Pacino, Any Given Sunday

10) “He’s a great player, but I don’t think we can get him in academically.”
Jerry Tarkanian, Blue Chips

9) “A little song, a little dance……a little seltzer down your pants”
Chuckles the Clown, from The Mary Tyler Moore Show

8) “I’ll get to the bottom of this……if I have to go all the way to the top.”
Colonel Flagg, M*A*S*H*

7) “Listen, Lupus, you didn’t come into this life just to sit around on a dugout bench, did ya? Now get your ass out there and do the best you can.”
Walter Matthau in The Bad News Bears

6) “God likes me!!! He really, really likes me!!! What a day!!! What a fabulous day!!!”
Richard Dreyfuss in Let It Ride

5) “Being perfect is not about that scoreboard out there. It’s not about winning. It’s about you and your relationship with yourself, your family and your friends. Being perfect is about being able to look your friends in the eye and know that you didn’t let them down because you told them the truth…….”
Billy Bob Thornton, Friday Night Lights

4) “……here’s the thing. If you can’t spot the sucker in your first half hour at the table, then you ARE the sucker.”
Mike McDermott, Rounders

3) “It’s supposed to be hard. If it wasn’t hard, everyone would do it. The hard… is what makes it great.”
Tom Hanks in A League of Their Own

2) “Why would you want to dance with someone who doesn’t want to dance with you?”
Adam Sandler, The Wedding Singer

1) “Do whats in your heart, son. You’ll be fine.”
Robin Williams, from Good Will Hunting
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, December 4

Memphis @ Ole Miss

— Memphis (5-2) ranked #29 by KenPom
— Tempo: #11
— Experience: #269
— Continuity: #168
— Memphis lost last two games, giving up 82-78 points.
— Tigers are turning ball over 25.2% of time (#349)
— Memphis has two top 100 wins (Saint Louis, Va Tech)
— Tigers are grabbing 38.7% of their misses (#10)
— Memphis’ schedule, to this point: #147
— bench minutes: #34

— Ole Miss (5-2) ranked #68 by KenPom
— Tempo: #266
— Experience: #86
— Continuity: #148
— Ole Miss is 0-2 vs top 100 teams (Marquette/Boise St)
— Rebels’ five wins are all over teams outside top 200.
— Ole Miss is shooting only 64.3% on foul line (#315)
— Opponents are shooting 42.7% inside arc (#24)
— Ole Miss schedule, to this point: #353
— bench minutes: #77

Clemson @ Miami
— Clemson (5-3) ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #283
— Experience: #138
— Continuity: #190
— Clemson lost three of its last four games.
— Tigers are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 3-7-10 points.
— Clemson is shooting 41.7% on arc (#9)
— Opponents are shooting 44% inside arc (#45)
— Clemson’s schedule, to this point: #192
— bench minutes: #257

— Miami (5-3) ranked #100 by KenPom
— Tempo: #117
— Experience: #163
— Continuity: #229
— Miami is 1-2 vs top 100 teams, winning by 5 at Penn State
— Hurricanes are shooting 28.6% on arc (#300)
— Miami has #307 eFG% defense in country.
— Hurricanes are getting 22.6% of points on foul line (#31)
— Miami’s schedule, to this point: #101
— bench minutes: #276

— Clemson is 6-4 on last ten series games.
— Tigers lost five of last six visits to Miami.

Marquette @ Wisconsin
— Marquette (7-1) ranked #78 by KenPom
— Tempo: #3
— Experience: #354
— Continuity: #350
— Marquette won three of four top 100 games.
— Eagles’ only loss: 70-54 to #40 St Bonaventure on neutral floor.
— This is Marquette’s first true road game this season.
— Eagles are forcing turnovers 21.6% of time (#77)
— Marquette’s schedule, to this point: #175
— bench minutes: #71

— Wisconsin (6-1) ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #317
— Experience: #306
— Continuity: #225
— Wisconsin won its last four games, all vs top 100 teams.
— Badgers’ only loss: 63-58 at home to #58 Providence.
— Wisconsin is shooting 30.1% on arc (#260), 46% inside arc (#256)
— Opponents are shooting 42.1% inside arc (#21)
— Wisconsin’s schedule, to this point: #54
— bench minutes: #304

— Marquette won three of last four series games.
— Teams split last last six meetings played here.

San Diego State @ Michigan
— San Diego State (5-2) ranked #43 by KenPom
— Tempo: #304
— Experience: #51
— Continuity: #121
— San Diego State lost only road game, 66-60 at #26 BYU
— Aztecs’ losses are both to top 30 teams (BYU/USC)
— San Diego State has #10 eFG% defense in country.
— Aztecs are shooting 27.6% on arc (#316), 65.6% on line (#297)
— San Diego State’s schedule, to this point: #116
— bench minutes: #99

— Michigan (4-3) ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #288
— Experience: #285
— Continuity: #246
— Michigan is 2-3 in last five games (all 3 losses to top 40 teams)
— Wolverines’ only top 100 win: 88-76 over #83 Buffalo.
— Michigan is turning ball over 21.3% of time (#272)
— Wolverines have #51 eFG% defense in country.
— Michigan’s schedule, to this point: #48
— bench minutes: #279

— Steve Fisher won national title at Michigan, build the Aztecs’ program.

Louisville @ NC State
— Louisville (5-2) ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #98
— Experience: #128
— Continuity: #283
— Louisville won four of last five, losing last game 73-64 at Mich State.
— Cardinals won two of three top 100 games.
— Louisville is shooting 29.2% on arc (#288)
— Opponents are shooting 41.9% inside arc (#20)
— Louisville’s schedule, to this point: #94
— bench minutes: #45

— NC State (6-1) ranked #67 by KenPom
— Tempo: #193
— Experience: #308
— Continuity: #234
— NC State won its last game in 4OT’s Wednesday.
— Four Wolfpack guys played 46:00+; Seabron played 56:00.
— NC State is getting 24.3% of points on foul line (#10)
— Wolfpack’s only loss: 74-68 to #44 Oklahoma State.
— NC State’s schedule, to this point: #277
— bench minutes: #246

— Louisville won five of last six series games.
— Cardinals won two of last three visits to Raleigh.

Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech
— Wake Forest (7-1) ranked #89 by KenPom
— Tempo: #61
— Experience: #94
— Continuity: #268
— Wake Forest’s last two wins both came in OT.
— Deacons are shooting 56.9% inside arc (#20)
— Wake Forest’s only loss: 75-61 to #15 LSU
— This is Deacons’ first true road game (1-1 on neutral court)
— Wake Forest’s schedule, to this point: #328
— bench minutes: #266

— Virginia Tech (6-2) ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #335
— Experience: #111
— Continuity: #102
— Tech lost two of three top 100 games, scoring 60.3 ppg.
— Hokies’ best win: 62-58 at #46 Maryland, who then fired their coach.
— Tech is shooting 40.6% on arc (#17)
— Hokies have #11 eFG% defense in country.
— Virginia Tech’s schedule, to this point: #146
— bench minutes: #320

— Virginia Tech won four in row, seven of last eight meetings.
— Teams split last four meetings played here.
 

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Loyola @ DePaul
— Loyola (6-2) ranked #30 by KenPom
— Tempo: #306
— Experience: #45
— Continuity: #48
— Loyola’s two losses are to top 25 teams (Mich St/Auburn)
— Ramblers’ best win: 77-59 over #101 Arizona State.
— Loyola is forcing turnovers 23% of time (#47)
— Ramblers are shooting 42.3% on arc (#7), have #5 eFG%.
— Loyola’s schedule, to this point: #279
— bench minutes: #104

— DePaul (6-0) ranked #108 by KenPom
— Tempo: #36
— Experience: #60
— Continuity: #301
— DePaul has one top 100 win, 73-70 over #96 Rutgers.
— DePaul has only one win over a top 150 team.
— Blue Demons are shooting 57% inside arc (#19)
— Opponents are shooting 40.9% inside arc (#13)
— DePaul’s schedule, to this point: #343
— bench minutes: #336

— Inner-city rivals are playing for first time in nine years.

Syracuse @ Florida State
— Syracuse (4-3) ranked #60 by KenPom
— Tempo: #85
— Experience: #82
— Continuity: #273
— Syracuse lost three of its last five games.
— Orangemen won last game 112-110 in double OT vs Indiana.
— Syracuse has #314 eFG% defense in country.
— This is first true road game for Orangemen
— Syracuse’s schedule, to this point: #90
— bench minutes: #344

— Florida State (5-2) ranked #32 by KenPom
— Tempo: #161
— Experience: #241
— Continuity: #245
— FSU is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 16-28 points.
— Seminoles’ best win: 73-45 over #103 LMU
— FSU is forcing turnovers 25.9% of time (#12)
— Seminoles are grabbing 35.6% of their misses (#31)
— Florida State’s schedule, to this point: #60
— bench minutes: #51

— Florida State won four of last five meetings.
— Syracuse lost last three visits to FSU, by 5-11-3 points.

Louisiana Tech @ Santa Clara
— Louisiana Tech (5-2) ranked #91 by KenPom
— Tempo: #119
— Experience: #329
— Continuity: #133
— Tech is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, giving up 93-90 points.
— Bulldogs’ best win: 87-60 over #240 Texas Southern
— Tech is shooting 56.9% inside arc (#22)
— Bulldogs are #303 team in country on defensive boards.
— Louisiana Tech’s schedule, to this point: #264
— bench minutes: #197

— Santa Clara (6-2) ranked #82 by KenPom
— Tempo: #105
— Experience: #72
— Continuity: #162
— Santa Clara lost two of its last three games.
— Broncos won three of four top 100 games.
— Santa Clara’s losses: 59-52 Fresno/69-64 Irvine.
— Broncos are shooting 40.9% on arc (#13), have #9 eFG%.
— Santa Clara’s schedule, to this point: #190
— bench minutes: #345

USC @ Washington State
— USC (7-0, 1-0) ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #195
— Experience: #141
— Continuity: #108
— USC has two top 100 wins, by 15-20 points.
— Trojans have road wins at Temple, Florida Gulf Coast.
— USC is shooting only 57.4% on foul line (#353)
— Opponents are shooting 39.8% on arc (#7)
— USC’s schedule, to this point: #213
— bench minutes: #191

— Washington State (6-1, 1-0) ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #218
— Experience: #289
— Continuity: #156
— Wazzu waxed Arizona State 51-29 last game. 51-29
— Coogs lost previous game 76-71 to #229 Eastern Washington
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Wazzu is grabbing 37.7% of its misses (#11)
— Opponents are shooting 40.3% inside arc (#10)
— Washington State’s schedule, to this point: #312
— bench minutes: #32

— USC won last ten series games.
— Trojans won last six visits to Pullman, all by 9+ points.

Alabama at Gonzaga (@ Seattle)
— Alabama (6-1) ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #24
— Experience: #267
— Continuity: #227
— Alabama’s only loss: 72-68 to #109 Iona on neutral floor.
— Crimson Tide is shooting 59.8% inside arc (#5)
— Alabama 4-0 vs top 100 teams (Drake, Miami, La Tech, So Dakota St)
— Crimson Tide has #70 eFG% defense in country.
— Alabama’s schedule to this point: #99
— bench minutes: #209

— Gonzaga (7-1) ranked #1 by KenPom
— Tempo: #37
— Experience: #294
— Continuity: #237
— Gonzaga’s only loss: 84-81 to Duke last Friday.
— Zags struggled with #185 Tarleton State (74-65) last game.
— Gonzaga is shooting 66.6% inside arc (#1)
— Zags have #25 eFG% defense in country.
— Gonzaga’s schedule, to this point: #224
— bench minutes: #205

UAB @ Saint Louis
— UAB (6-2) ranked #50 by KenPom
— Tempo: #86
— Experience: #84
— Continuity: #193
— UAB’s two losses are by total of five points.
— Blazers are 2-2 vs teams in top 150.
— UAB is forcing turnovers 28.3% of time (#5)
— Blazers lost only true road game, 66-63 at South Carolina.
— UAB’s schedule, to this point: #251
— bench minutes: #47

— Saint Louis (7-1) ranked #84 by KenPom
— Tempo: #94
— Experience: #332
— Continuity: #208
— Saint Louis’ only loss: 90-74 at #29 Memphis.
— Billikens won its other top 100 game: 86-82 in OT over #80 Boise St.
— Saint Louis is forcing turnovers 23% of time (#48)
— Billikens are grabbing 37.3% of their misses (#16)
— Saint Louis’ schedule, to this point: #270
— bench minutes: #153

Iowa State @ Creighton
— Iowa State (7-0) ranked #79 by KenPom
— Tempo: #122
— Experience: #106
— Continuity: #334
— Iowa State has two top 100 wins (Xavier/Memphis)
— Cyclones are forcing turnovers 26.6% of time (#9)
— This is Iowa State’s first true road game.
— Cyclones are grabbing 33.7% of their misses (#60)
— Iowa State’s schedule, to this point: #341
— bench minutes: #141

— Creighton (7-1) ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #194
— Experience: #305
— Continuity: #333
— Creighton’s only loss: 95-81 to #45 Colorado State
— Bluejays’ best win: 77-69 at #95 Nebraska
— Creighton is shooting 59.6% inside arc (#7)
— Bluejays are shooting 31.4% on arc (#238), 65.2% on line (#302)
— Creighton’s schedule, to this point: #288
— bench minutes: #240
 

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Saturday, December 4


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Memphis has failed to cover the spread in two straight games.


The Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in the past seven games overall.
The Wolverines are 2-5 ATS in the past seven games overall.
The Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in the past five as a favorite.
The UNDER is 6-1 in seven games overall for San Diego State.
The UNDER is 5-1 in the past six games for Michigan.


Tennessee is 1-3-1 ATS in the past five road games.
Tennessee is 1-7 ATS in the past eight following a cover.
Colorado is 2-6-1 ATS in the past nine games overall.
Colorado is 0-3-1 ATS in the past four home games.
The UNDER is 7-3 in the past 10 road games for Tennessee.
The OVER is 27-11-1 in the past 39 home games for Colorado.


Marquette has covered the spread in three of its last four games as the underdog.
Wisconsin has covered the spread in four of its last six games as the favorite.
Marquette has gone OVER the point total in five of its last eight games.


Alabama is 5-2 ATS across the past seven games overall.
Gonzaga is 12-5 ATS across the past 17 neutral-site games.
The OVER is 4-1 in Alabama's past five neutral-site games.
The OVER is 15-7 in Gonzaga's past 22 neutral-site games.


Creighton has gone UNDER the point total in six of its last eight games.
Iowa State has covered the spread in two straight games when playing away from Ames.
Creighton has failed to cover the spread in four of its last six games when playing as the favorite.
 

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SATURDAY, DECEMBER 4
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


NEB at IND 12:00 PM
NEB +11.5
+500

HARV at MASS 12:00 PM
MASS -3.0
+500

STJOE at VILL 12:00 PM
STJOE +22.5
+500

RMU at MILW 12:00 PM
MILW -3.0
+500

CLEM at MIA 12:00 PM
MIA -2.0
+500

MEM at MISS 12:00 PM
MISS +1.0
+500

OAK at INDPU 12:00 PM
OAK -13.5
+500

MARQ at WIS 12:30 PM
MARQ +5.5
+500

M-OH at INST 01:00 PM
M-OH -3.0
+500

SDSU at MICH 01:00 PM
MICH -8.5
+500

EWU at NEOM 01:00 PM
O 147.5
+500

NKU at PFW 01:00 PM
PFW +3.0
U 142.0
+500 +500

**********************

YALE at AUB 02:00 PM
AUB -16.5
+500

NIU at DAY 02:00 PM
NIU +17.5
+500

UTM at WIU 02:00 PM
WIU -12.5
+500

CWM at DAV 03:00 PM
DAV -19.5
+500

WEBB at ECU 03:00 PM
ECU -4.0
+500

WRST at CLEVST 03:00 PM
CLEVST -3.0
+500

***************

CAMP at VCU 04:00 PM
CAMP +10.0
+500

SMC at CSU 04:00 PM
CSU -4.0
+500

ARMY at AFA 04:00 PM
AFA -3.0
+500

UALR at ARK 04:00 PM
ARK -27.5
+500

L-IL at DEP 04:00 PM
DEP +4.0
+500

GRAM at CONN 04:00 PM
CONN -26.0
+500

MCNS at WYO 04:00 PM
WYO -20.0
+500

*****************

LT at SCU 05:00 PM
SCU -3.5
+500

ARPB at BAY 05:00 PM
BAY -39.0
+500

TOL at MSU 05:00 PM
MSU -13.5
+500

NORF at HAMP 05:30 PM
NORF -3.0
+500

WCU at SCUS 06:00 PM
SCUS +2.0
+500
 

Active member
Joined
Sep 26, 2005
Messages
104,154
Tokens
EVENING BEST BETS AND OPINIONS:

SOU at AKR 07:00 PM
AKR -11.0
+500

EKY at WKU 07:00 PM
WKU -5.0
O 154.5
+500 +500

HP at ELON 07:00 PM
HP +5.5
+500

STET at FIU 07:00 PM
FIU -7.5
+500

ALA at GONZ 08:00 PM
GONZ -10.0
+500

PAC at CSF 08:00 PM
CSF -3.0
+500

ORU at HBU 08:00 PM
HBU +14.0
+500

PRST at WEB 08:00 PM
WEB -15.0
+500

USA at JVST 08:30 PM
USA +3.5
+500

ISU at CREI 09:00 PM
CREI -5.5
+500

UNLV at SF 10:00 PM
SF -10.5
U 133.5

+500 +500
 

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