Ultimately look at QB and pass rush
Also look at how a team is playing in the playoffs
TB is a perfect example
Last year their defense wasn't impressive until the playoffs(especially starting 2nd game)
They got after the Qb and defense was really good
Take what you know and watch teams playing in the playoffs and how they may have evolved and how bad they want it
Colts back when they won their SB had a poordefense that year. They played good in the playoffs though
But as far as picking teams as of now you look at pass rush and QB
Even more so once the playoffs start
Also look at how a team is playing in the playoffs
TB is a perfect example
Last year their defense wasn't impressive until the playoffs(especially starting 2nd game)
They got after the Qb and defense was really good
Take what you know and watch teams playing in the playoffs and how they may have evolved and how bad they want it
Colts back when they won their SB had a poordefense that year. They played good in the playoffs though
But as far as picking teams as of now you look at pass rush and QB
Even more so once the playoffs start
Also look at how a team is playing in the playoffs
A bit O/T but colts also ran pure with the Patriots upsetting the chargers in San Diego, Marlon McRees fumble being the big play in that 1.
As well as their defense played, it would’ve been a tall task to keep that up against the Chargers running game that year. No one thinks of playing the Patriots as good fortune so kinda forgotten over time.
A bit O/T but colts also ran pure with the Patriots upsetting the chargers in San Diego, Marlon McRees fumble being the big play in that 1.
As well as their defense played, it would’ve been a tall task to keep that up against the Chargers running game that year. No one thinks of playing the Patriots as good fortune so kinda forgotten over time.
How is his loss whatever? He’s 1 of the best offensive skill position players in the league.
Having the best running game has been hugely instrumental in Tannehill resurrection. Most teams just not equipped to defend that type of running game now.
id like their chances to pivot to a more pass centric offense a lot more if Julio wasn’t hurt every 3rd week.
I will attempt this but with tiers, this takes into account upside/sustainability etc…..I’ll try not to include schedule too much even tho that’s going to play a big role
Bills
Ravens
Chiefs
Browns
Titans
Patriots
Colts
Chargers (I don’t put too much into special teams these days but this is a legitimate flaw with this team, as well as lack of HF)
Raiders
Broncos
Bengals
Steelers
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Well we tend disagree on the RB position in general. This season a lot of his production is volume based. He leads the league with 219 rush att (next most is 150) and 937 rush yards. Yards and attempts are volume based stats and more indicative of the type of offense they run. This season he's 28th in success rate and 17th in dvoa along rb. Sunday night the rushing success and epa for the Titans wasn't much different without him. Clearly I'm not saying his loss has no relation to the outcome of the rest of the season but I don't see it as being as huge an impact as losing Tannehill or AJ Brown.
On paper, absolutely. Lets look at remaining SOS compared to Buffalo.
Buffalo's combined future opponents are 37-39. Slightly below average.
Titans combined future opponents are 24-44. That's putrid.
The Bills schedule isn't all that hard. But the Titans is a joke. In an easy way.
The Titans hold the 1st tie breaker over the Bills due to head to head win as well. Yet Buffalo is still a considerable favorite to win the AFC over Tennessee. Hmmmmm... What can we decipher from this?
I don’t think we disagree on the RB position in general (although I do think the pendulum has swung so far towards passing that there is value in zigging while others zag, also think in the right spot some of these RBs can matter more in January weather)
You can’t use pure efficiency stats with Henry of course with that type of volume some efficiency is going to wane. He also had bad games the last 2 skewing the numbers.
PFF #1 RB and the Titans rushing offense had the value of a top 5-10 passing offense last year.
Then there is just his gravitational pull in general, a game like vs KC the chiefs have to commit bodies to him and Tannehill is able to shred. He’s 1 of 1 at what he’s been able to do.
Agree he isn’t as valuable as those 2 guys but that’s because QB positional value being what it is and because healthy AJB should be in best WR in NFL conversation
Also any WAR/AV approximating value metric is going to have him as worth an elite player that is non-QB, I.e Titans line moving a pt after the injury was announced
You can’t use pure efficiency stats with Henry of course with that type of volume some efficiency is going to wane. He also had bad games the last 2 skewing the numbers.
PFF #1 RB and the Titans rushing offense had the value of a top 5-10 passing offense last year.
Then there is just his gravitational pull in general, a game like vs KC the chiefs have to commit bodies to him and Tannehill is able to shred. He’s 1 of 1 at what he’s been able to do.
Agree he isn’t as valuable as those 2 guys but that’s because QB positional value being what it is and because healthy AJB should be in best WR in NFL conversation
Also any WAR/AV approximating value metric is going to have him as worth an elite player that is non-QB, I.e Titans line moving a pt after the injury was announced
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Bills and Ravens still have a ton of upside, but one needs to fix their Offense and the other their d
This thread title is perfect, I wouldn’t be surprised to see 6 different teams win the AFC. But home field still means a lot to me. And Tennessee needs to get Henry back healthy that’s a big if.
That Vegas still likes Buffalo more than Tennessee. And I really don’t disagree with it, every team is capable of throwing up a stinker like Buffalo just did. Shit, Tennessee lost to the Jets. But Buffalo’s offense needs to run the ball, I’m talking about their backs not just Allen. When they abandon the run like they did against Jacksonville they’re very beatable.
This thread title is perfect, I wouldn’t be surprised to see 6 different teams win the AFC. But home field still means a lot to me. And Tennessee needs to get Henry back healthy that’s a big if.
Tennessee didnt even play well on offense...
It felt Ten was in control and played well but stats paint a different picture.
Certainly on offense they werent anything special
Just my recollection but teams that outperformed their stats to that degree, are bad bets the following weak, especially as favorites
What's odd is Tennessee seems to have a lot of questions on defense, in general. Last night was different. They were all over Stafford, especially in the first half yesterday.
I think a lot of what we saw last night was just an absolute dud from the Rams. Titans were in control more because of Rams' offensive deficiencies. Rams were also committing penalties like it was their day job. Just an awful game from them.
Titans are like a nice top 8-10 team in the league with a healthy Henry if you really break down their roster. I think they ran into some solid teams these past few weeks who all didn't seem to play their best on game day. That's not to take anything away from Tennessee; I just think it's what happened....
