Indianapolis Colts vs San Francisco 49ers 10/24/2021

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Expect a close game with the Indianapolis Colts winning 47% of simulations, and the San Francisco 49ers 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Indianapolis Colts commit fewer turnovers in 62% of simulations and they go on to win 63% when they take care of the ball. The San Francisco 49ers wins 79% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jonathan Taylor is averaging 55 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. Elijah Mitchell is averaging 59 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (12% chance) then he helps his team win 81%.
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