Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins 10/24/2021

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Expect a close game with the Atlanta Falcons winning 52% of simulations, and the Miami Dolphins 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Atlanta Falcons commit fewer turnovers in 34% of simulations and they go on to win 86% when they take care of the ball. The Miami Dolphins wins 66% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Matt Ryan is averaging 276 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (32% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. Myles Gaskin is averaging 55 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 71%.
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