South Alabama vs Louisiana-Monroe 10/23/2021

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South Alabama is a solid favorite with a 70% chance to beat Louisiana-Monroe. Jared Wilson is projected for 74 rushing yards and a 53% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 30% of simulations where Louisiana-Monroe wins, Colby Suits averages 2.07 TD passes vs 0.55 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.02 TDs to 0.74 interceptions. Josh Johnson averages 95 rushing yards and 0.92 rushing TDs when Louisiana-Monroe wins and 84 yards and 0.49 TDs in losses. South Alabama has a 35% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 78% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is LAMON +12.5 --- Over/Under line is 51.5
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