Liberty vs North Texas 10/23/2021

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Liberty is a heavy favorite winning 79% of simulations over North Texas. Malik Willis is averaging 301 passing yards and 3.19 TDs per simulation and Malik Willis is projected for 153 rushing yards and a 91% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 21% of simulations where North Texas wins, Jace Ruder averages 1.52 TD passes vs 1.03 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.83 TDs to 1.45 interceptions. DeAndre Torrey averages 104 rushing yards and 0.73 rushing TDs when North Texas wins and 94 yards and 0.41 TDs in losses. Liberty has a 56% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 86% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NTEX +22.5 --- Over/Under line is 60.5
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