Utah vs Oregon State 10/23/2021

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Utah winning 49% of simulations, and Oregon State 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Utah commits fewer turnovers in 28% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. Oregon State wins 66% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Micah Bernard is averaging 142 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. Jack Colletto is averaging 79 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (43% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ORST +3.5 --- Over/Under line is 56.5
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