Wisconsin vs Purdue 10/23/2021

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Wisconsin is a solid favorite with a 65% chance to beat Purdue. Nakia Watson is projected for 119 rushing yards and a 69% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 35% of simulations where Purdue wins, Jack Plummer averages 2.48 TD passes vs 0.45 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.26 TDs to 0.53 interceptions. Zander Horvath averages 38 rushing yards and 0.31 rushing TDs when Purdue wins and 33 yards and 0.16 TDs in losses. Wisconsin has a 14% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 77% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is PUR +3.5 --- Over/Under line is 40
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