Ohio State vs Indiana 10/23/2021

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Ohio State is a heavy favorite winning 90% of simulations over Indiana. C.J. Stroud is averaging 229 passing yards and 2.65 TDs per simulation and Master Teague III is projected for 143 rushing yards and a 87% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 10% of simulations where Indiana wins, Michael Penix Jr. averages 1.68 TD passes vs 0.56 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.81 TDs to 0.81 interceptions. Stephen Carr averages 83 rushing yards and 0.56 rushing TDs when Indiana wins and 74 yards and 0.3 TDs in losses. Ohio State has a 31% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 95% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IND +19 --- Over/Under line is 60
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